Полимаркет Россия: рынки прогнозов

Рынки прогнозов Полимаркет по России охватывают ключевые сценарии: президентские и парламентские выборы, продолжительность правления, ход войны и переговоров, санкции и макроэкономику. Цены формируются в реальном времени по глубине стакана заявок.

Активность на этих рынках растёт вокруг важных дат - дней голосования, встреч на высшем уровне, крупных решений. Объём торгов отражает международный интерес к событиям в России.

95 активные рынки
Какая партия получит больше всего мест на выборах в российский парламент?Какая партия получит больше всего мест на выборах в российский парламент?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%ДаНет
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%ДаНет
$21,7 млн Объём 20/09
Путин уйдет с поста президента России до 31 декабря 2026 года?Путин уйдет с поста президента России до 31 декабря 2026 года?
June 30, 202714%ДаНет
December 31, 20268%ДаНет
$69,1 тыс. Объём 01/07
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
вероятность
Да Нет
$128,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%ДаНет
October 3115%ДаНет
$5,9 млн Объём 01/01
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33942%ДаНет
340–35422%ДаНет
$211,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3152%ДаНет
ChinaChina45%ДаНет
$14,9 тыс. Объём 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%ДаНет
September 3010%ДаНет
$382,8 тыс. Объём 01/01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%ДаНет
March 31, 202741%ДаНет
$6 млн Объём 01/07
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%ДаНет
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%ДаНет
$3,3 млн Объём 20/09
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
58%
вероятность
Да Нет
$167,5 тыс. Объём 20/09
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2553%ДаНет
August 2640%ДаНет
$5,8 тыс. Объём 31/08
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3183%ДаНет
October 3178%ДаНет
$5,5 тыс. Объём 31/12
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
August 311%ДаНет
July 171%ДаНет
$428,6 тыс. Объём 31/08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 тыс. Объём 01/01
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
15%
вероятность
Да Нет
$115 тыс. Объём 31/12
Bank of Russia decision in September?Bank of Russia decision in September?
No Change67%ДаНет
Decrease33%ДаНет
$2,2 тыс. Объём 11/09
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%ДаНет
September 302%ДаНет
$152 тыс. Объём 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
вероятность
Да Нет
$64,7 тыс. Объём 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
December 31December 3137%ДаНет
September 30September 3014%ДаНет
$929,6 тыс. Объём 01/01
Omsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerOmsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF1%ДаНет
$6,3 тыс. Объём 20/09
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
7%
вероятность
Да Нет
$606,3 тыс. Объём 31/12
Bank of Russia decision in October?Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change51%ДаНет
Decrease40%ДаНет
$2,2 тыс. Объём 23/10
Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerSamara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%ДаНет
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia2%ДаНет
$2,9 тыс. Объём 20/09
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2177%
August 2893%
$381 Объём Осталось 5 дней
Tyumen Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerTyumen Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia1%ДаНет
$4 тыс. Объём 20/09
Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerOryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF1%ДаНет
$12,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 202712%ДаНет
December 316%ДаНет
$3,7 млн Объём 01/07
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
вероятность
Да Нет
$123 Объём 31/08
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
74%
вероятность
Да Нет
$1,8 тыс. Объём 31/10
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
4%
вероятность
Да Нет
$118 Объём 31/12
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Russia coup attempt in 2026?
7%
вероятность
Да Нет
$126,3 тыс. Объём 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
December 31December 315%ДаНет
September 30September 302%ДаНет
$1,2 млн Объём 01/01
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
November 30November 3050%ДаНет
December 31December 3150%ДаНет
$2,1 млн Объём 01/01
Adygea Parliament Election: Party WinnerAdygea Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%ДаНет
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%ДаНет
$7,5 тыс. Объём 20/09
Pskov Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerPskov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia95%ДаНет
YablokoYabloko3%ДаНет
$7,1 тыс. Объём 20/09
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
December 31December 3117%ДаНет
September 30September 303%ДаНет
$2,3 млн Объём 01/01
Orenburg Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerOrenburg Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia2%ДаНет
$1,5 тыс. Объём 20/09
Penza Oblast Gubernatorial Election WinnerPenza Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
Oleg MelnichenkoOleg Melnichenko96%ДаНет
Viktor YeroshenkoViktor Yeroshenko3%ДаНет
$1,4 тыс. Объём 20/09
U.S. nuclear test by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20264%ДаНет
September 30, 20261%ДаНет
$794,1 тыс. Объём 01/01
Leningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerLeningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia2%ДаНет
$3,4 тыс. Объём 20/09
Stavropol Krai Parliament Election: Party WinnerStavropol Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia94%ДаНет
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia3%ДаНет
$743 Объём 20/09
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
December 319%ДаНет
June 301%ДаНет
$293,2 тыс. Объём 01/01
Murmansk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerMurmansk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF2%ДаНет
$6,8 тыс. Объём 20/09
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 202550%ДаНет
December 31, 20265%ДаНет
$481 тыс. Объём 01/01
Altai Krai Parliament Election: Party WinnerAltai Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
New PeopleNew People3%ДаНет
$6,3 тыс. Объём 20/09
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$36 Объём 01/01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
1%
вероятность
Да Нет
$41 Объём 31/08
Ukraine coup attempt by...?Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 312%
June 301%
$169,3 тыс. Объём 01/01
Chechnya Gubernatorial Election WinnerChechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner
Ramzan KadyrovRamzan Kadyrov98%ДаНет
Ismail DenilkhanovIsmail Denilkhanov1%ДаНет
$10,6 тыс. Объём 20/09
Tambov Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerTambov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF1%ДаНет
$11,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Ingushetia Parliament Election: Party WinnerIngushetia Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF1%ДаНет
$2,1 тыс. Объём 20/09
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
6%
вероятность
Да Нет
$20 Объём 31/12
Tver Oblast Gubernatorial Election WinnerTver Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
Vitaly KorolevVitaly Korolev97%ДаНет
Olga LevinaOlga Levina2%ДаНет
$1 тыс. Объём 20/09
US x Cuba economic deal by...?US x Cuba economic deal by...?
December 3116%ДаНет
July 311%ДаНет
$434 тыс. Объём 01/01
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd PlaceRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)41%ДаНет
New People (NL)New People (NL)34%ДаНет
$62,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Kirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerKirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia93%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia1%ДаНет
$11,8 тыс. Объём 20/09
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31? Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
3%
вероятность
Да Нет
$135 Объём 31/10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
6%
вероятность
Да Нет
$409,3 тыс. Объём 31/12
Saint Petersburg Parliament Election: Party WinnerSaint Petersburg Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF1%ДаНет
$4,3 тыс. Объём 20/09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
7%
вероятность
Да Нет
$41 Объём 31/12
Karelia Parliament Election: Party WinnerKarelia Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
RodinaRodina2%ДаНет
$3,8 тыс. Объём 20/09
Tver Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerTver Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia95%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia1%ДаНет
$2,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Tomsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerTomsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF2%ДаНет
$6,4 тыс. Объём 20/09
Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerSverdlovsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
YablokoYabloko2%ДаНет
$1,4 тыс. Объём 20/09
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
December 31December 313%ДаНет
March 31March 311%ДаНет
$954,9 тыс. Объём 01/01
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$261,7 тыс. Объём 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 316%ДаНет
September 303%ДаНет
$526,5 тыс. Объём 01/01
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%ДаНет
YablokoYabloko1%ДаНет
$9,7 тыс. Объём 20/09
Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%ДаНет
RodinaRodina1%ДаНет
$6 тыс. Объём 20/09
Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerMoscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
New PeopleNew People2%ДаНет
$4,6 тыс. Объём 20/09
Lipetsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerLipetsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia1%ДаНет
$4,4 тыс. Объём 20/09
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
6%
вероятность
Да Нет
$85,4 тыс. Объём 31/12
Kursk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerKursk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
Party of PensionersParty of Pensioners1%ДаНет
$8,6 тыс. Объём 20/09
Mordovia Gubernatorial Election WinnerMordovia Gubernatorial Election Winner
Artyom ZdunovArtyom Zdunov99%ДаНет
Vladislav TulaevVladislav Tulaev1%ДаНет
$15 тыс. Объём 20/09
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
2%
вероятность
Да Нет
$53,5 тыс. Объём 31/12
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
August 311%
June 301%
$124,6 тыс. Объём 01/09
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
5%
вероятность
Да Нет
$74,5 тыс. Объём 31/12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 3111%ДаНет
August 311%ДаНет
$912,2 тыс. Объём 01/01
South Ossetia Presidential Election WinnerSouth Ossetia Presidential Election Winner
Marat KambolovMarat Kambolov98%ДаНет
Oleg KozaevOleg Kozaev1%ДаНет
$12,9 тыс. Объём 18/09
Tuva Gubernatorial Election WinnerTuva Gubernatorial Election Winner
Vladislav KhovalygVladislav Khovalyg97%ДаНет
Yegor ChistyakovYegor Chistyakov1%ДаНет
$1,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Ulyanovsk Oblast Gubernatorial Election WinnerUlyanovsk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
Alexey RusskikhAlexey Russkikh96%ДаНет
Sergey MarininSergey Marinin2%ДаНет
$5,3 тыс. Объём 20/09
Bryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election WinnerBryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
Yegor KovalchukYegor Kovalchuk96%ДаНет
Andrey ArkhitskyAndrey Arkhitsky3%ДаНет
$3,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Belgorod Oblast Gubernatorial Election WinnerBelgorod Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
Alexander ShuvaevAlexander Shuvaev96%ДаНет
Artyom ZotovArtyom Zotov2%ДаНет
$6,7 тыс. Объём 20/09
Chechnya Parliament Election: Party WinnerChechnya Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%ДаНет
CPRFCPRF2%ДаНет
$416 Объём 20/09
Chuvashia Parliament Election: Party WinnerChuvashia Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
New PeopleNew People1%ДаНет
$1,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Mordovia Parliament Election: Party WinnerMordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
New PeopleNew People3%ДаНет
$5,8 тыс. Объём 20/09
Kamchatka Krai Parliament Election: Party WinnerKamchatka Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia2%ДаНет
$2,4 тыс. Объём 20/09
Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament Election: Party WinnerKrasnoyarsk Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
LDPRLDPR2%ДаНет
$8,7 тыс. Объём 20/09
Amur Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerAmur Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%ДаНет
LDPRLDPR1%ДаНет
$7,6 тыс. Объём 20/09
Astrakhan Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerAstrakhan Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia3%ДаНет
$5,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerKaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia95%ДаНет
YablokoYabloko2%ДаНет
$4,2 тыс. Объём 20/09
Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party WinnerKhanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
LDPRLDPR1%ДаНет
$2,8 тыс. Объём 20/09
Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party WinnerChukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia97%ДаНет
New PeopleNew People1%ДаНет
$9,8 тыс. Объём 20/09
Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerJewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia4%ДаНет
$2,5 тыс. Объём 20/09
Vologda Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerVologda Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%ДаНет
A Just RussiaA Just Russia1%ДаНет
$4 тыс. Объём 20/09
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Частые вопросы о рынках России

Какие рынки по России есть на Полимаркет?

Президентские и парламентские выборы, сроки правления, ход войны и переговоров, санкции и экономические решения. Бинарные (Да/Нет) и многовариантные контракты.

Что двигает цены на рынках России?

Опросы, политические заявления, переговоры и экономические новости. Цены реагируют на важные события в течение нескольких минут.

Как определяются коэффициенты?

Нет ставки от заведения. Цены складываются из реальных заявок в стакане, поэтому каждая цена отражает живой консенсус рынка.

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