Рынки прогнозов: Война в Украине

53 активные рынки

Ukraine war prediction markets — ceasefire, territory and Western support

Путин уйдет с поста президента России до 31 декабря 2026 года?Путин уйдет с поста президента России до 31 декабря 2026 года?
June 30, 202714%ДаНет
December 31, 20268%ДаНет
$69,1 тыс. Объём 01/07
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%ДаНет
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%ДаНет
$6,2 млн Объём 01/01
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%ДаНет
October 3115%ДаНет
$5,9 млн Объём 01/01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
вероятность
Да Нет
$17,8 тыс. Объём 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3152%ДаНет
ChinaChina45%ДаНет
$14,9 тыс. Объём 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%ДаНет
September 3010%ДаНет
$382,8 тыс. Объём 01/01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202757%ДаНет
March 31, 202741%ДаНет
$6 млн Объём 01/07
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Donald TuskDonald Tusk86%ДаНет
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen70%ДаНет
$351,2 тыс. Объём 31/12
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2540%ДаНет
August 2640%ДаНет
$5,8 тыс. Объём 31/08
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3183%ДаНет
October 3178%ДаНет
$5,5 тыс. Объём 31/12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
1%
вероятность
Да Нет
$5,8 тыс. Объём 31/08
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
August 311%ДаНет
July 171%ДаНет
$428,6 тыс. Объём 31/08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 тыс. Объём 01/01
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 311%
September 302%
$477,2 тыс. Объём 30/09
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
15%
вероятность
Да Нет
$115 тыс. Объём 31/12
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%ДаНет
September 302%ДаНет
$152 тыс. Объём 01/01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16%
вероятность
Да Нет
$5,8 тыс. Объём 31/12
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%ДаНет
October 318%ДаНет
$1,1 млн Объём 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%ДаНет
August 311%ДаНет
$6,3 млн Объём 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%ДаНет
ШвейцарияШвейцария3%ДаНет
$988 Объём 31/12
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
вероятность
Да Нет
$64,7 тыс. Объём 31/12
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
7%
вероятность
Да Нет
$606,3 тыс. Объём 31/12
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2294%
August 3194%
$493 Объём 31/08
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2177%
August 2893%
$381 Объём Осталось 5 дней
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
8%
вероятность
Да Нет
$161 Объём 31/12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
вероятность
Да Нет
$123 Объём 31/08
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
4%
вероятность
Да Нет
$118 Объём 31/12
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Russia coup attempt in 2026?
7%
вероятность
Да Нет
$126,3 тыс. Объём 31/12
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
9%
вероятность
Да Нет
$100 Объём 31/12
Ukraine election called by...?Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 202616%ДаНет
August 31, 20261%ДаНет
$1,8 млн Объём 01/01
U.S. nuclear test by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20264%ДаНет
September 30, 20261%ДаНет
$794,1 тыс. Объём 01/01
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 202550%ДаНет
December 31, 20265%ДаНет
$481 тыс. Объём 01/01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
1%
вероятность
Да Нет
$41 Объём 31/08
Ukraine coup attempt by...?Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 312%
June 301%
$169,3 тыс. Объём 01/01
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
December 315%ДаНет
September 305%ДаНет
$660,8 тыс. Объём 01/01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
вероятность
Да Нет
$30 Объём 31/12
Another NATO article 4 by...?Another NATO article 4 by...?
December 3131%ДаНет
October 3114%ДаНет
$156,5 тыс. Объём 01/01
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 311%
August 318%
$22 Объём 31/08
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
6%
вероятность
Да Нет
$20 Объём 31/12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
7%
вероятность
Да Нет
$41 Объём 31/12
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 202550%ДаНет
December 31, 20264%ДаНет
$2,6 млн Объём 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 316%ДаНет
September 303%ДаНет
$526,5 тыс. Объём 01/01
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
June 301%
December 315%
$461,8 тыс. Объём 01/01
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
3%
вероятность
Да Нет
$53,5 тыс. Объём 31/12
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
3%
вероятность
Да Нет
$1,2 млн Объём 31/12
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
8%
вероятность
Да Нет
$114,2 тыс. Объём 31/12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 3111%ДаНет
August 311%ДаНет
$912,2 тыс. Объём 01/01
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
August 311%
June 301%
$124,6 тыс. Объём 01/09
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
4%
вероятность
Да Нет
$148,3 тыс. Объём 31/12
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
7%
вероятность
Да Нет
$2,6 тыс. Объём 01/01
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$261,7 тыс. Объём 01/01
Ukraine election held by...?Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 202550%ДаНет
December 31, 20266%ДаНет
$2,5 млн Объём 01/01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
6%
вероятность
Да Нет
$85,4 тыс. Объём 31/12
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