Israël-voorspellingsmarkten

Israël-voorspellingsmarkten dekken de centrale scenario's: verkiezingsuitslagen, coalitiesamenstelling, ambtstermijn van de premier, veiligheids- en oorlogsgebeurtenissen en macro-economische ontwikkelingen. Polymarket prijst in realtime op basis van de diepte van het orderboek.

Deze markten zijn vooral actief rond beslisdata: verkiezingsdag, vergaderingen van het veiligheidskabinet, regeringszittingen. Het volume weerspiegelt de wereldwijde belangstelling voor de gebeurtenissen.

71 actieve markten
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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%JaNee
August 25August 2599%JaNee
$2,7 mln. Volume 30/09
Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027? Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027?
8%
kans
Ja Nee
$394,8K Volume 31/12
Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027? Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$233,8K Volume 31/12
Wie wordt de volgende premier van Israël na de volgende verkiezingen?Wie wordt de volgende premier van Israël na de volgende verkiezingen?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot55%JaNee
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu28%JaNee
$33 mln. Volume 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%JaNee
September 3089%JaNee
$26,3 mln. Volume 31/08
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%JaNee
October 3114%JaNee
$6,9 mln. Volume 01/01
Israël sluit zijn luchtruim op... ?Israël sluit zijn luchtruim op... ?
September 308%JaNee
August 312%JaNee
$27,4 mln. Volume 01/10
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%JaNee
September 3093%JaNee
$356,8K Volume 01/01
Netanyahu vóór... uit functie?Netanyahu vóór... uit functie?
December 3149%JaNee
May 311%JaNee
$7,1K Volume 01/01
Israël trekt zich terug uit Libanon tot...?Israël trekt zich terug uit Libanon tot...?
December 3110%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$8,4 mln. Volume 01/01
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Saoedi-ArabiëSaoedi-Arabië10%JaNee
LebanonLebanon10%JaNee
$4,1K Volume 31/12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3127%JaNee
September 307%JaNee
$3,2K Volume 01/01
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
September 3077%JaNee
September 1566%JaNee
$3,1K Volume 01/10
Israel military action against Beirut by...?Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 315%JaNee
July 311%JaNee
$309,1K Volume 31/08
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%JaNee
November 3050%JaNee
$3,6 mln. Volume 01/01
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
477%JaNee
513%JaNee
$2,1K Volume 31/12
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,7K Volume 31/12
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,6K Volume 31/08
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$22,3K Volume 01/01
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-2935%JaNee
20-2431%JaNee
$106K Volume 27/10
Bank of Israel Decision in September?Bank of Israel Decision in September?
No Change93%JaNee
Decrease9%JaNee
$1,7K Volume 01/09
How many Israeli elections before government formed?How many Israeli elections before government formed?
178%JaNee
219%JaNee
$15,2K Volume 31/12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 314%JaNee
March 311%JaNee
$699 Volume 01/01
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%JaNee
December 3150%JaNee
$2,9 mln. Volume 01/01
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
91%
kans
Ja Nee
$3,5K Volume 27/10
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
No Endorsement65%JaNee
Likud31%JaNee
$29,3K Volume 28/10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,6K Volume 31/12
Israel military action against Yemen by...?Israel military action against Yemen by...?
September 3012%JaNee
August 312%JaNee
$190,4K Volume 31/08
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$2,1 mln. Volume 01/01
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3118%JaNee
August 311%JaNee
$1,7 mln. Volume 01/01
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
August 311%JaNee
June 301%JaNee
$137,5K Volume 31/08
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
14%
kans
Ja Nee
$9,8K Volume 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland17%JaNee
Lebanon9%JaNee
$154 Volume 31/12
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$138 Volume 31/12
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3111%JaNee
August 311%JaNee
$1,2 mln. Volume
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud53%JaNee
YasharYashar46%JaNee
$236,6K Volume 27/10
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list? Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
26%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,4K Volume 08/09
Will Israel annex any territory by...?Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%JaNee
June 30, 2026June 30, 20261%JaNee
$533,3K Volume 01/01
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
August 3110%JaNee
May 312%JaNee
$341,6K Volume 31/08
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
22%
kans
Ja Nee
$3,7K Volume 27/10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 315%JaNee
June 301%JaNee
$21,8 mln. Volume 01/01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$30 Volume 31/12
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
BelgiëBelgië17%JaNee
FinlandFinland15%JaNee
$28 Volume 31/12
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
August 313%JaNee
July 312%JaNee
$100,7K Volume 31/08
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
49%
kans
Ja Nee
$611 Volume 31/12
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
August 314%JaNee
July 311%JaNee
$16 Volume 31/08
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
94%
kans
Ja Nee
$13,7K Volume 27/10
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
August 319%JaNee
May 312%JaNee
$166,3K Volume 31/08
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
8%
kans
Ja Nee
$6 Volume 31/12
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 304%
$140,3K Volume 01/10
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$3,5 mln. Volume 01/01
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$7,1K Volume 31/12
US announces military base in Israel in 2026? US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
18%
kans
Ja Nee
$484 Volume 31/12
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$477,9K Volume 01/01
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$194,2K Volume 31/12
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
June 301%
December 3114%
$142,2K Volume 01/01
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 3150%JaNee
December 31, 20268%JaNee
$940,1K Volume 01/01
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
13%
kans
Ja Nee
$33K Volume 31/12
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
18%
kans
Ja Nee
$53,6K Volume 31/12
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
December 3117%JaNee
April 302%JaNee
$52,7K Volume 01/01
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
9%
kans
Ja Nee
$90K Volume 31/12
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
9%
kans
Ja Nee
$185,9K Volume 31/12
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
11%
kans
Ja Nee
$236K Volume 31/12
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$3K Volume 31/12
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
12%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,1K Volume 31/12
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?
June 30, 20261%
August 31, 20261%
$95,7K Volume 01/09
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
October 3150%JaNee
December 3150%JaNee
$4,1 mln. Volume 01/01
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
39%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,5K Volume 31/12
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
15%
kans
Ja Nee
$99,4K Volume 31/12
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$117,8K Volume 01/01
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30? Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$2K Volume 30/09
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