Midden-Oosten voorspellingsmarkten

Midden-Oostenmarkten prijzen de grootste vragen van de regio: staakt-het-vurens, sancties, nucleaire besprekingen, verkiezingen en conflict, als live kansen die met elke kop meebewegen.

Op Polymarket dragen deze markten vaak diepe liquiditeit rond nieuwsgebeurtenissen en lopen ze weken of maanden. Polymarkets volgt de echte koersen en kansen voor markten over Israël, Iran, Gaza en de Golf, zodat je de visie van de menigte realtime kunt lezen, scenario's kunt vergelijken en risicovrij kunt oefenen in de trainingsmodus voordat je op Polymarket handelt.

80 actieve markten
Iran Gaza Israël Gijzelaars Iran-Israël Israël-Hezbollah Israël-Hamas Jemen Nucleaire deal
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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%JaNee
August 25August 2599%JaNee
$2,5 mln. Volume 30/09
Eindovereenkomst over nucleaire wapens VS-Iran tot...?Eindovereenkomst over nucleaire wapens VS-Iran tot...?
31 december12%JaNee
November 307%JaNee
$16,2 mln. Volume 01/01
Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027? Zal de VS Iran binnenvallen voor 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$84,6K Volume 31/12
Wie wordt de volgende premier van Israël na de volgende verkiezingen?Wie wordt de volgende premier van Israël na de volgende verkiezingen?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%JaNee
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%JaNee
$33 mln. Volume 31/12
Will Iran target Jordan by...?Will Iran target Jordan by...?
September 3039%JaNee
September 1518%JaNee
$40,5K Volume 30/09
Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027? Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$79,4K Volume 31/12
Iranese leider eind 2026?Iranese leider eind 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei82%JaNee
Geen staatshoofd4%JaNee
$38,8 mln. Volume 31/12
Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking? Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking?
14%
kans
Ja Nee
$22,4K Volume 31/12
USD x Iranian rials End of August?USD x Iranian rials End of August?
2.0-2.1M46%JaNee
2.1-2.2M34%JaNee
$20,6K Volume 31/08
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%JaNee
October 3113%JaNee
$6,8 mln. Volume 01/01
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
September 3094%JaNee
August 3177%JaNee
$21,9K Volume 30/09
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 311%
September 303%
$108K Volume 01/10
Netanyahu vóór... uit functie?Netanyahu vóór... uit functie?
December 3149%JaNee
May 311%JaNee
$6K Volume 01/01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 3033%JaNee
September 1516%JaNee
$5K Volume 30/09
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 2478%JaNee
August 1776%JaNee
$21,9K Volume 31/08
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Saoedi-ArabiëSaoedi-Arabië10%JaNee
VenezuelaVenezuela10%JaNee
$4,2K Volume 31/12
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
August 225%
August 3130%
$3,5K Volume 31/08
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3128%JaNee
September 307%JaNee
$2,3K Volume 01/01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,7K Volume 31/12
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
477%JaNee
513%JaNee
$1,7K Volume 31/12
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by August 31?Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by August 31?
↑ 2.0M97%JaNee
↑ 2.1M58%JaNee
$1,6K Volume 31/08
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 311%
$1 mln. Volume 01/09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,7K Volume 31/08
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
August 3140%JaNee
September 3035%JaNee
$1,2K Volume 30/09
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
September 3050%JaNee
September 1520%JaNee
$1,1K Volume 30/09
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
September 1551%JaNee
September 3051%JaNee
$957 Volume 30/09
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
21%
kans
Ja Nee
$30,3K Volume 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%JaNee
June 263%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 01/09
Will Iran target Syria by...?Will Iran target Syria by...?
September 157%JaNee
September 307%JaNee
$674 Volume 30/09
Will Iran target Iraq by...?Will Iran target Iraq by...?
September 3040%JaNee
September 1534%JaNee
$647 Volume 30/09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,7K Volume 31/12
Stemt Iran vóór 30 september in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking? Stemt Iran vóór 30 september in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$22,4K Volume 30/09
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
September 3032%JaNee
September 1520%JaNee
$379 Volume 30/09
Will Iran target Qatar by...?Will Iran target Qatar by...?
September 30September 3023%JaNee
September 15September 1511%JaNee
$356 Volume 30/09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 314%JaNee
March 311%JaNee
$294 Volume 01/01
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$344,6K Volume 31/12
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
8%
kans
Ja Nee
$160,8K Volume 31/12
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
3%
kans
Ja Nee
$174,3K Volume 30/09
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3118%JaNee
August 311%JaNee
$1,7 mln. Volume 01/01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$146 Volume 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland16%JaNee
Lebanon9%JaNee
$143 Volume 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%
kans
Ja Nee
$73 Volume 31/12
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
December 31, 202550%JaNee
December 31, 202629%JaNee
$456,4K Volume 01/01
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%JaNee
December 3150%JaNee
$2,9 mln. Volume 01/01
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3111%JaNee
August 311%JaNee
$1,2 mln. Volume
Iran stemt in met overgave van verrijkt uranium tot...?Iran stemt in met overgave van verrijkt uranium tot...?
31 december8%JaNee
31 oktober3%JaNee
$17,8 mln. Volume 01/01
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
8%
kans
Ja Nee
$55 Volume 31/12
Will Israel annex any territory by...?Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%JaNee
June 30, 2026June 30, 20261%JaNee
$533,3K Volume 01/01
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
August 3111%JaNee
May 312%JaNee
$341,6K Volume 31/08
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$194,2K Volume 31/12
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$100,5K Volume 31/12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
October 3150%JaNee
December 3150%JaNee
$4,1 mln. Volume 01/01
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
June 301%JaNee
August 311%JaNee
$137,3K Volume 31/08
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
August 313%JaNee
July 312%JaNee
$100,7K Volume 31/08
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$158,4K Volume 31/12
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
9%
kans
Ja Nee
$15 Volume 31/12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$13 Volume 31/12
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$2,1 mln. Volume 01/01
Masoud Pezeshkian vóór... uit functie?Masoud Pezeshkian vóór... uit functie?
December 3115%JaNee
April 301%JaNee
$865,7K Volume 01/01
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
August 315%JaNee
July 311%JaNee
$11 Volume 31/08
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
August 3110%JaNee
May 312%JaNee
$166,3K Volume 31/08
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Iran nuclear test before 2027?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$6 Volume 31/12
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
18%
kans
Ja Nee
$6 Volume 31/12
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$632,2K Volume 31/12
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$111,4K Volume 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 315%JaNee
June 301%JaNee
$21,8 mln. Volume 01/01
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
8%
kans
Ja Nee
$12,4K Volume 01/01
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 316%
June 301%
$767,4K Volume 01/01
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 312%JaNee
June 151%JaNee
$185,3K Volume 01/01
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
8%
kans
Ja Nee
$185,9K Volume 31/12
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$117,8K Volume 01/01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
10%
kans
Ja Nee
$236K Volume 31/12
Will Iran target Egypt by...?Will Iran target Egypt by...?
September 304%JaNee
September 152%JaNee
$21,3K Volume 30/09
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
18%
kans
Ja Nee
$53,6K Volume 31/12
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
93%
kans
Ja Nee
$167,4K Volume 31/12
Will Iran target Oman by...?Will Iran target Oman by...?
September 306%JaNee
September 154%JaNee
$28K Volume 30/09
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$32,4K Volume 31/12
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 3150%JaNee
December 31, 20268%JaNee
$940,1K Volume 01/01
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
June 301%
December 3114%
$142,2K Volume 01/01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$3,5 mln. Volume 01/01
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FAQ over Midden-Oostenmarkten

Wat dekken Midden-Oostenmarkten?
Ontwikkelingen rond Israël en Iran, staakt-het-vurens in Gaza en de regio, sancties, onderhandelingen over de nucleaire deal, verkiezingen en bredere conflictuitkomsten, elk als ja/nee- of meerdere-uitkomstenmarkt met een live kans.
Hoe werken de kansen?
Elke uitkomst wordt verhandeld tussen 1¢ en 99¢; de koers is de impliciete kans van de markt. Koersen bewegen realtime terwijl traders op nieuws reageren, dus ze weerspiegelen de huidige consensus in plaats van een vaste lijn.
Kan ik ze volgen of testen zonder risico?
Ja. De gratis trainingsmodus van Polymarkets laat je elke markt papertraden met live koersen en 1.000 $ oefengeld, geen kaart en geen risico, voordat je naar Polymarket gaat.
Begin gratis met Polymarket-oefenen
Handel op voorspellingsmarkten met virtueel geld. Echte prijzen, geen risico. Strijd mee op de ranglijst.
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Virtueel geld
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