Voorspellingsmarkten voor wetenschap en tech

Verhandel de grootste open vragen in wetenschap en technologie op Polymarket. Deze categorie volgt live voorspellingsmarkten over ruimte (aantal SpaceX-lanceringen, maanmissies), klimaat (recordtemperaturen, orkanen die aan land gaan), natuurgebeurtenissen (grote aardbevingen, meteorietinslagen) en gezondheid (aantal ziektegevallen, FDA-goedkeuringen). Elke markt toont de realtime kans van de menigte, bijgewerkt zodra er nieuwe data binnenkomt.

57 actieve markten
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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%JaNee
September 3091%JaNee
$221,8K Volume 01/07
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$307,4K Volume 31/12
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX63%JaNee
AnthropicAnthropic36%JaNee
$5,5 mln. Volume 31/12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 314%JaNee
September 301%JaNee
$65,5 mln. Volume 01/01
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
12%
kans
Ja Nee
$20,8K Volume 31/12
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$144,5K Volume 31/03
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Fewer than 2042%JaNee
20 to 3439%JaNee
$3K Volume 31/03
Neerslag in Hong Kong in augustus?Neerslag in Hong Kong in augustus?
<425mm81%JaNee
475-500mm9%JaNee
$9,8K Volume 01/09
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
171%JaNee
225%JaNee
$3,4 mln. Volume 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3k99%JaNee
↑3.5k95%JaNee
$1,1K Volume 31/12
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$811,3K Volume 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-9939%JaNee
100–11936%JaNee
$6K Volume 01/09
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202714%
$48K Volume 31/12
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$10,7K Volume 31/12
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5K Volume 01/01
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
1382%JaNee
1412%JaNee
$424 Volume 31/08
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<563%JaNee
5-630%JaNee
$406 Volume 31/12
Natural Disaster in 2026? Natural Disaster in 2026?
28%
kans
Ja Nee
$241,7K Volume 31/12
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
1.42–1.45ºC49%JaNee
1.38–1.41ºC39%JaNee
$3,3K Volume 01/09
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–1642%JaNee
17–1937%JaNee
$250 Volume 31/12
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
9%
kans
Ja Nee
$11,5K Volume 31/12
Neerslag in Seattle in augustus?Neerslag in Seattle in augustus?
minder dan 0.5"minder dan 0.5"89%JaNee
0.5-1"0.5-1"11%JaNee
$234 Volume 01/09
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2%
kans
Ja Nee
$116,5K Volume 31/12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
16%
kans
Ja Nee
$340,8K Volume 31/12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 202836%JaNee
December 31, 202732%JaNee
$1,9K Volume 01/01
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
062%JaNee
126%JaNee
$1,2 mln. Volume 31/03
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
December 31, 20261%
December 31, 202715%
$11K Volume 01/01
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 5kt meteor strike in 2026?
29%
kans
Ja Nee
$52 Volume 31/12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
kans
Ja Nee
$578,7K Volume 31/12
Neerslag in Seoul in augustus?Neerslag in Seoul in augustus?
<150mm48%JaNee
150-200mm44%JaNee
$283 Volume 01/09
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
kans
Ja Nee
$196K Volume 31/12
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
kans
Ja Nee
$38,9K Volume 30/06
New pandemic in 2026? New pandemic in 2026?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$47 Volume 31/12
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13%
kans
Ja Nee
$139,5K Volume 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$425 Volume 31/12
100kt meteor strike in 2026? 100kt meteor strike in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$8,9K Volume 31/12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 202768%JaNee
June 30, 202754%JaNee
$935,7K Volume 01/01
Neerslag in NYC in augustus?Neerslag in NYC in augustus?
meer dan 6"meer dan 6"56%JaNee
4-5"4-5"3%JaNee
$2,5K Volume 01/09
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
kans
Ja Nee
$8 Volume 31/12
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest99%JaNee
2nd hottest2%JaNee
$1,8K Volume 01/09
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15950%JaNee
160-17941%JaNee
$424 Volume 31/12
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97%
kans
Ja Nee
$1,1K Volume 01/10
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
10,000+99%JaNee
15,000+99%JaNee
$5 Volume 31/08
Neerslag in London in augustus?Neerslag in London in augustus?
<30mm60%JaNee
30-40mm36%JaNee
$7,6K Volume 01/09
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$650 Volume 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3K Volume 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+88%JaNee
1200–12496%JaNee
$81,9K Volume 10/01
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$16,5K Volume 31/12
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
89%
kans
Ja Nee
$2,6K Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
72%
kans
Ja Nee
$8 Volume 31/12
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
December 31December 3163%JaNee
October 31October 3156%JaNee
$4,7K Volume
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31December 3144%JaNee
August 30August 3042%JaNee
$1,4K Volume 01/01
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$23,4K Volume 31/12
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
October 31, 202650%JaNee
September 30, 202619%JaNee
$1,9K Volume 01/11
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below75%JaNee
8.0 – 8.19%JaNee
$2,4K Volume 04/01
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
10%
kans
Ja Nee
$101,8K Volume 31/12
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$2 mln. Volume 31/12
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FAQ over wetenschap- en techmarkten

Welke wetenschapsmarkten kan ik verhandelen op Polymarket?
Actieve markten beslaan ruimte (totaal aantal SpaceX-lanceringen, maanmissies), klimaat- en weerrecords, grote aardbevingen en natuurrampen, en volksgezondheidsvragen zoals het aantal ziektegevallen en FDA-goedkeuringen van medicijnen.
Hoe worden wetenschap- en klimaatmarkten afgewikkeld?
Elke markt wikkelt af tegen een genoemde gezaghebbende bron: USGS voor aardbevingen, CDC of WHO voor ziektegevallen, NOAA voor temperatuur- en orkaanrecords, en officiële lanceermanifesten voor ruimtemissies. De afwikkelingsbron staat op elke marktpagina.
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$1K
Virtueel geld
500+
Markten
$0
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