Masoko ya Utabiri wa Siasa

Masoko ya siasa ni miongoni mwa ya kina zaidi ya Polymarket: uchaguzi wa Marekani (rais, Congress), Israel, Uingereza, Ujerumani, Ufaransa na Brazil. Pia mizozo ya serikali, kura za kutokuwa na imani, kuondolewa madarakani na uteuzi wa baraza.

Kura ni moja ya ingizo kati ya mengi; masoko ya utabiri yanakusanya kura, maarifa ya wapiga kura, data za kijamii na makadirio ya wataalamu katika bei moja. Mara nyingi yana usahihi zaidi kuliko kura yoyote moja.

Masoko 100 hai
Panga
No changeNo change68%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase25 bps increase32%NdiyoHapana
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro33%NdiyoHapana
August 22August 2299%NdiyoHapana
August 25August 2599%NdiyoHapana
December 3173%NdiyoHapana
October 3153%NdiyoHapana
300-31941%NdiyoHapana
320-33937%NdiyoHapana
JD VanceJD Vance23%NdiyoHapana
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%NdiyoHapana
40-6479%NdiyoHapana
<4020%NdiyoHapana
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%NdiyoHapana
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%NdiyoHapana
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez23%NdiyoHapana
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%NdiyoHapana
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson90%NdiyoHapana
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%NdiyoHapana
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%NdiyoHapana
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%NdiyoHapana
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%NdiyoHapana
March 31, 202765%NdiyoHapana
December 31, 202652%NdiyoHapana
200-21920%NdiyoHapana
220-23920%NdiyoHapana
Democrats Sweep48%NdiyoHapana
R Senate, D House39%NdiyoHapana
June 30, 202714%NdiyoHapana
December 31, 20268%NdiyoHapana
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%NdiyoHapana
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%NdiyoHapana
200-21914%NdiyoHapana
220-23914%NdiyoHapana
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%NdiyoHapana
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%NdiyoHapana
September 308%NdiyoHapana
August 312%NdiyoHapana
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%NdiyoHapana
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%NdiyoHapana
Mojtaba Khamenei82%NdiyoHapana
Hakuna Kiongozi wa Nchi4%NdiyoHapana
December 314%NdiyoHapana
September 301%NdiyoHapana
June 30, 202725%NdiyoHapana
December 3116%NdiyoHapana
July 314%
August 314%
December 31December 315%NdiyoHapana
September 30September 305%NdiyoHapana
Elon MuskElon Musk11%NdiyoHapana
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%NdiyoHapana
40-6446%NdiyoHapana
65-8929%NdiyoHapana
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%NdiyoHapana
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%NdiyoHapana
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%NdiyoHapana
December 31December 3152%NdiyoHapana
October 31October 3119%NdiyoHapana
Hakuna Mkutano kabla ya 30 Septemba74%NdiyoHapana
Uswizi10%NdiyoHapana
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%NdiyoHapana
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf42%NdiyoHapana
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%NdiyoHapana
Iran Reconstruction FundingIran Reconstruction Funding17%NdiyoHapana
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)11%NdiyoHapana
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya8%NdiyoHapana
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy5%NdiyoHapana
325–33942%NdiyoHapana
340–35422%NdiyoHapana
December 3118%NdiyoHapana
October 3111%NdiyoHapana
880-91924%NdiyoHapana
840-87919%NdiyoHapana
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3152%NdiyoHapana
ChinaChina45%NdiyoHapana
December 3152%NdiyoHapana
September 3010%NdiyoHapana
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%NdiyoHapana
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)49%NdiyoHapana
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%NdiyoHapana
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%NdiyoHapana
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%NdiyoHapana
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%NdiyoHapana
June 30, 202758%NdiyoHapana
March 31, 202741%NdiyoHapana
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202668%NdiyoHapana
December9%NdiyoHapana
December 3196%NdiyoHapana
September 3093%NdiyoHapana
David Morales52%NdiyoHapana
Brett Smiley47%NdiyoHapana
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva53%NdiyoHapana
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%NdiyoHapana
Edin FortoEdin Forto21%NdiyoHapana
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%NdiyoHapana
Ricardo Ferraço73%NdiyoHapana
Lorenzo Pazolini25%NdiyoHapana
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%NdiyoHapana
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%NdiyoHapana
200+65%NdiyoHapana
180-19934%NdiyoHapana
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%NdiyoHapana
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%NdiyoHapana
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%NdiyoHapana
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin46%NdiyoHapana
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%NdiyoHapana
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%NdiyoHapana
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%NdiyoHapana
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto15%NdiyoHapana
August 2495%NdiyoHapana
August 2893%NdiyoHapana
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo40%NdiyoHapana
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%NdiyoHapana
125-12830%NdiyoHapana
121-12423%NdiyoHapana
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch51%NdiyoHapana
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath51%NdiyoHapana
200+88%NdiyoHapana
180-19911%NdiyoHapana
December 3117%NdiyoHapana
August 317%NdiyoHapana
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha59%NdiyoHapana
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior36%NdiyoHapana
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%NdiyoHapana
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud93%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
Benedita da SilvaBenedita da Silva48%NdiyoHapana
Carlos JordyCarlos Jordy47%NdiyoHapana
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%NdiyoHapana
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%NdiyoHapana
80-9980%NdiyoHapana
100-11910%NdiyoHapana
December 31December 3135%NdiyoHapana
September 30September 307%NdiyoHapana
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite34%NdiyoHapana
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%NdiyoHapana
5-7%63%NdiyoHapana
7-9%22%NdiyoHapana
LinkeLinke57%NdiyoHapana
CDUCDU26%NdiyoHapana
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira39%NdiyoHapana
Julio CesarJulio Cesar31%NdiyoHapana
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%NdiyoHapana
William Peña FarfánWilliam Peña Farfán23%NdiyoHapana
Nicolás Maduro86%NdiyoHapana
Delcy Rodríguez10%NdiyoHapana
December 3149%NdiyoHapana
May 311%NdiyoHapana
Rosa María Bayardo CabreraRosa María Bayardo Cabrera49%NdiyoHapana
Gricelda Valencia de la MoraGricelda Valencia de la Mora27%NdiyoHapana
Princess FakuPrincess Faku59%NdiyoHapana
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali7%NdiyoHapana
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães34%NdiyoHapana
GaguimGaguim32%NdiyoHapana

Unataka kufanya biashara katika masoko ya Siasa?

Fungua akaunti ya Polymarket na uanze biashara leo

Fungua Akaunti ya Polymarket

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Kuhusu Masoko ya Siasa

Je, masoko ya utabiri yana usahihi zaidi kuliko kura?

Mara nyingi, ndiyo. Yanakusanya taarifa mbalimbali (kura, maarifa ya ndani, uchambuzi) katika bei moja. Si kamilifu; zishughulike kama chombo muhimu, si pekee.

Ni uchaguzi gani unashughulikiwa kwenye Polymarket?

Uchaguzi wa rais na wa Congress wa Marekani, serikali za Ulaya na Asia, mbio muhimu za ndani, uchaguzi wa chama. Kila demokrasia kuu inapata mwangaza wa maana.

Nifanyeje biashara ya uchaguzi kwa njia ya busara?

Fuata kura za kawaida lakini epuka masoko yenye likiditi ndogo. Kujiandaa kabla ya mijadala au mahojiano makubwa kunaweza kupunguza hatari kwenye nafasi zilizokusanywa.

Anza Mafunzo ya Polymarket Bure
Trade soko la utabiri kwa pesa za virtual. Bei halisi, hatari sifuri. Shindana kwenye orodha ya washindani.
$1K
Fedha za Kijamii
500+
Masoko
$0
Hatari Halisi
Jifunze zaidi