Masoko ya Utabiri wa Trump

Masoko ya utabiri wa Trump ni miongoni mwa shughuli zaidi za Polymarket: muda wa utawala, mchakato wa kisheria, sera za kigeni (Ukraini, China, Mashariki ya Kati), sera za ndani, na idhini kwa ujumla. Volumeni zinazidi mamia ya milioni ya dola.

Masoko haya yanajibu kwa nguvu kwa kila tamko kubwa, kupitia Truth Social, mahojiano, au matangazo ya Ikulu. Uandishi wa habari wa wakati halisi unaunda fursa za biashara.

Masoko 100 hai
Panga
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
19%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$9.9M Kiasi 01/01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3172%NdiyoHapana
October 3151%NdiyoHapana
$19.5M Kiasi 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%NdiyoHapana
August 25August 2599%NdiyoHapana
$2.7M Kiasi 30/09
Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kabla ya 2027? Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kabla ya 2027?
8%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$401.4K Kiasi 31/12
Je, Marekani itavamia Iran kabla ya 2027? Je, Marekani itavamia Iran kabla ya 2027?
17%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$234.4K Kiasi 31/12
Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran...?Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran...?
March 31, 202769%NdiyoHapana
December 31, 202652%NdiyoHapana
$119K Kiasi 01/04
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%NdiyoHapana
October 3114%NdiyoHapana
$6M Kiasi 01/01
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2499%NdiyoHapana
August 3192%NdiyoHapana
$46.5K Kiasi 01/09
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%NdiyoHapana
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%NdiyoHapana
$6.2M Kiasi 01/01
Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Oktoba?Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Oktoba?
No change72%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase25%NdiyoHapana
$2.1M Kiasi 28/10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3015%NdiyoHapana
September 158%NdiyoHapana
$674.7K Kiasi 01/10
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf41%NdiyoHapana
Steve WitkoffSteve Witkoff37%NdiyoHapana
$26.5K Kiasi 31/12
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$275.9K Kiasi 01/09
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina55%NdiyoHapana
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3141%NdiyoHapana
$25.1K Kiasi 31/12
Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Desemba? Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Desemba?
14%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$24.3K Kiasi 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3039%NdiyoHapana
August 3110%NdiyoHapana
$917.3K Kiasi 01/10
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
98%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$23.6K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$30.5K Kiasi 31/08
Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran kitakuwa wapi...?Kikao kijacho cha mazungumzo ya amani ya Marekani-Iran kitakuwa wapi...?
Hakuna Mkutano kabla ya 30 Septemba75%NdiyoHapana
Uswizi10%NdiyoHapana
$17.2K Kiasi 30/09
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Lara TrumpLara Trump38%NdiyoHapana
Scott JenningsScott Jennings36%NdiyoHapana
$151.8K Kiasi 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$30.5K Kiasi 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%NdiyoHapana
YMTCYMTC18%NdiyoHapana
$186.9K Kiasi 30/06
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+99%NdiyoHapana
180-19911%NdiyoHapana
$16.1K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$10.4K Kiasi 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%NdiyoHapana
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin48%NdiyoHapana
$14.5K Kiasi 31/12
What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?
College99%NdiyoHapana
Transgender99%NdiyoHapana
$10K Kiasi Inaisha leo
What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
Network99%NdiyoHapana
Evade / Evasion99%NdiyoHapana
$9.8K Kiasi Inaisha leo
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Karoline / Leavitt99%NdiyoHapana
Ballroom99%NdiyoHapana
$9.1K Kiasi Siku 7 zimebaki
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
86%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$7.2K Kiasi 31/12
Je, Xi Jinping atatembelea Marekani kabla ya 2027?Je, Xi Jinping atatembelea Marekani kabla ya 2027?
December 3197%NdiyoHapana
October 3196%NdiyoHapana
$740K Kiasi 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro85%NdiyoHapana
Delcy Rodríguez10%NdiyoHapana
$95.8M Kiasi 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%43%NdiyoHapana
4.0%31%NdiyoHapana
$6.8M Kiasi 09/12
Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Desemba?Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Desemba?
No change61%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase29%NdiyoHapana
$2.1M Kiasi 09/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%NdiyoHapana
4914%NdiyoHapana
$2.9M Kiasi 03/11
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?What will JD Vance say during remarks in Maine?
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime99%NdiyoHapana
Ass29%NdiyoHapana
$4.3K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk13%NdiyoHapana
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%NdiyoHapana
$14.5K Kiasi 31/08
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$260.1K Kiasi 31/12
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
2%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$4.3K Kiasi 31/12
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Movie Star52%NdiyoHapana
Green New Scam52%NdiyoHapana
$3.7K Kiasi 31/08
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil29%NdiyoHapana
John Brennan18%NdiyoHapana
$389.1K Kiasi
Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Januari?Uamuzi wa Fed mwezi Januari?
No change61%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase22%NdiyoHapana
$2.1M Kiasi 27/01
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1220%NdiyoHapana
1019%NdiyoHapana
$10.5K Kiasi 03/11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%NdiyoHapana
September 302%NdiyoHapana
$29.1M Kiasi 01/01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%NdiyoHapana
March 31, 202744%NdiyoHapana
$6M Kiasi 01/07
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+5%NdiyoHapana
40+2%NdiyoHapana
$3.2K Kiasi 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+82%NdiyoHapana
180-19916%NdiyoHapana
$16.1K Kiasi Siku 4 zimebaki
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
September 3085%NdiyoHapana
September 1580%NdiyoHapana
$2.8K Kiasi 01/10
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
554%NdiyoHapana
618%NdiyoHapana
$12K Kiasi 03/11
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
200+38%NdiyoHapana
180-19926%NdiyoHapana
$16.1K Kiasi 01/09
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Iran 5+ times63%NdiyoHapana
Illegal / Illegals61%NdiyoHapana
$2.3K Kiasi 31/08
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Good Morning79%NdiyoHapana
Productivity77%NdiyoHapana
$46.2K Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz53%NdiyoHapana
Elon MuskElon Musk44%NdiyoHapana
$2.3K Kiasi 31/08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3117%NdiyoHapana
June 301%NdiyoHapana
$2.1M Kiasi 01/01
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
July 171%
December 3125%
$189.1K Kiasi 01/01
What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?
State 5+ times94%NdiyoHapana
Border 3+ times91%NdiyoHapana
$2.1K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
53%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$308.5K Kiasi 31/12
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202727%
$43.4K Kiasi 01/07
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$109.1K Kiasi 31/12
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28? Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
19%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$3.6K Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
4863%NdiyoHapana
4717%NdiyoHapana
$7.2K Kiasi 03/11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%NdiyoHapana
October 318%NdiyoHapana
$1.1M Kiasi 31/12
Weed rescheduled by...?Weed rescheduled by...?
December 3119%NdiyoHapana
September 3018%NdiyoHapana
$1.6K Kiasi 01/01
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Xi JinpingXi Jinping71%NdiyoHapana
Delcy RodriguezDelcy Rodriguez58%NdiyoHapana
$1.5K Kiasi 31/08
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
December 31, 20265%
June 30, 202711%
$26.1K Kiasi 01/07
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Communist / Communism91%NdiyoHapana
Crime87%NdiyoHapana
$1.7K Kiasi Siku 7 zimebaki
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.6K Kiasi 31/08
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M53%NdiyoHapana
270M1%NdiyoHapana
$59.4K Kiasi 09/09
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan SalameRyan Salame23%NdiyoHapana
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz21%NdiyoHapana
$428.5K Kiasi 31/12
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
IrelandIreland98%NdiyoHapana
UjerumaniUjerumani40%NdiyoHapana
$1.2K Kiasi 31/12
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Kaitlan CollinsKaitlan Collins29%NdiyoHapana
Candace OwensCandace Owens28%NdiyoHapana
$1.1K Kiasi 31/08
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3063%NdiyoHapana
September 1132%NdiyoHapana
$57.5K Kiasi 01/10
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%NdiyoHapana
August 311%NdiyoHapana
$6.3M Kiasi 01/01
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%NdiyoHapana
September 302%NdiyoHapana
$22.3K Kiasi 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$64.7K Kiasi 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202620%
June 30, 20262%
$55.5K Kiasi 01/01
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%NdiyoHapana
September 302%NdiyoHapana
$152.2K Kiasi 01/01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$798 Kiasi 31/12
Trump approval rating on August 28?Trump approval rating on August 28?
38.0–38.435%NdiyoHapana
37.5–37.929%NdiyoHapana
$794 Kiasi Siku 5 zimebaki
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
173%NdiyoHapana
221%NdiyoHapana
$3.9K Kiasi 03/11
Will Trump launch a coin by ___?Will Trump launch a coin by ___?
December 31, 202620%
March 31, 20266%
$89K Kiasi 01/01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
14%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.6M Kiasi 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%NdiyoHapana
Rigetti76%NdiyoHapana
$173.1K Kiasi 31/12
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%NdiyoHapana
December 3150%NdiyoHapana
$2.9M Kiasi 01/01
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3128%NdiyoHapana
September 307%NdiyoHapana
$6.4M Kiasi 01/01
US strike on Mexico by...?US strike on Mexico by...?
December 3112%NdiyoHapana
January 311%NdiyoHapana
$3.4M Kiasi 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%NdiyoHapana
UswisiUswisi3%NdiyoHapana
$560 Kiasi 31/12
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$547 Kiasi 31/12
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India20%NdiyoHapana
Kanada19%NdiyoHapana
$504 Kiasi 31/12
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
433%NdiyoHapana
533%NdiyoHapana
$6.1K Kiasi 03/11
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time39%NdiyoHapana
60+33%NdiyoHapana
$676.4K Kiasi 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202611%
$494 Kiasi 01/01
Iran inakubali kukabidhi akiba ya uranium iliyotajwa...?Iran inakubali kukabidhi akiba ya uranium iliyotajwa...?
31 Desemba8%NdiyoHapana
31 Oktoba3%NdiyoHapana
$17.8M Kiasi 01/01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$10.6M Kiasi 31/12
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202629%NdiyoHapana
August 31, 20263%NdiyoHapana
$87.4K Kiasi 01/01
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%35%25%NdiyoHapana
30%30%6%NdiyoHapana
$430 Kiasi 31/12
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
August 31, 202610%
December 31, 202647%
$3.4K Kiasi 01/01
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%NdiyoHapana
June 263%NdiyoHapana
$1.6M Kiasi 01/09
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
342%NdiyoHapana
226%NdiyoHapana
$4.7K Kiasi 03/11
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
15%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$7.4K Kiasi Siku 7 zimebaki
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$4.3K Kiasi 20/01
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