Masoko ya Utabiri wa Uchaguzi

Masoko ya uchaguzi ni msingi wa Polymarket: uchaguzi wa rais wa Marekani, uchaguzi wa chama, mbio za bunge, na kura za demokrasia yoyote kubwa. Masoko ya uchaguzi ya Marekani ya 2024 yalipata mabilioni katika kiasi.

Bei inachanganya kura, data za fedha za chama, viashiria vya kiuchumi na ripoti, yote yakiwa yamechujwa kuwa bei moja. Ni eneo tajiri la biashara kwa wachambuzi na wawekezaji wanaoendeshwa na maoni.

Masoko 80 hai
Panga
Uchaguzi wa Rais wa BrazilUchaguzi wa Rais wa Brazil
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro33%NdiyoHapana
$132.1M Kiasi 04/10
Mshindi wa Uchaguzi wa Rais wa 2028Mshindi wa Uchaguzi wa Rais wa 2028
JD VanceJD Vance23%NdiyoHapana
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%NdiyoHapana
$692.1M Kiasi 07/11
Uchaguzi wa Rais wa Ufaransa UjaoUchaguzi wa Rais wa Ufaransa Ujao
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%NdiyoHapana
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%NdiyoHapana
$121.3M Kiasi 30/04
Mgombea Urais wa Kidemokrasia 2028Mgombea Urais wa Kidemokrasia 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez23%NdiyoHapana
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%NdiyoHapana
$1.27B Kiasi 07/11
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson90%NdiyoHapana
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%NdiyoHapana
$4M Kiasi 13/09
Mgombea Urais wa Republican 2028Mgombea Urais wa Republican 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%NdiyoHapana
$690.7M Kiasi 07/11
Ni chama gani kitapata viti vingi zaidi katika Uchaguzi wa Bunge la Urusi?Ni chama gani kitapata viti vingi zaidi katika Uchaguzi wa Bunge la Urusi?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%NdiyoHapana
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%NdiyoHapana
$21.7M Kiasi 20/09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%NdiyoHapana
September 3089%NdiyoHapana
$26.3M Kiasi 31/08
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%NdiyoHapana
R Senate, D House39%NdiyoHapana
$10.4M Kiasi 03/11
Nani atakuwa Waziri Mkuu wa Israel baada ya uchaguzi ujao?Nani atakuwa Waziri Mkuu wa Israel baada ya uchaguzi ujao?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%NdiyoHapana
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%NdiyoHapana
$33M Kiasi 31/12
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$128.2K Kiasi 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%NdiyoHapana
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%NdiyoHapana
$419.1K Kiasi 05/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%NdiyoHapana
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%NdiyoHapana
$1.4M Kiasi 13/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%NdiyoHapana
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%NdiyoHapana
$5.2M Kiasi 04/10
Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Baraza la Wawakilishi mwaka 2026?Ni chama gani kitakachoshinda Baraza la Wawakilishi mwaka 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%NdiyoHapana
$20.6K Kiasi 03/11
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33942%NdiyoHapana
340–35422%NdiyoHapana
$211.2K Kiasi 20/09
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%NdiyoHapana
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)49%NdiyoHapana
$870.8K Kiasi 03/11
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%NdiyoHapana
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%NdiyoHapana
$147.5K Kiasi 31/12
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%NdiyoHapana
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%NdiyoHapana
$586.4K Kiasi 03/11
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%NdiyoHapana
September 3093%NdiyoHapana
$356.8K Kiasi 01/01
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%NdiyoHapana
Brett Smiley47%NdiyoHapana
$22.4K Kiasi 09/09
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva52%NdiyoHapana
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%NdiyoHapana
$20.9K Kiasi 06/06
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Edin FortoEdin Forto21%NdiyoHapana
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%NdiyoHapana
$64.1K Kiasi
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço73%NdiyoHapana
Lorenzo Pazolini25%NdiyoHapana
$29.9K Kiasi 05/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%NdiyoHapana
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%NdiyoHapana
$3.3M Kiasi 20/09
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%NdiyoHapana
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%NdiyoHapana
$38.8K Kiasi 08/09
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%NdiyoHapana
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%NdiyoHapana
$113.7K Kiasi 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%NdiyoHapana
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto15%NdiyoHapana
$16.7K Kiasi 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo40%NdiyoHapana
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%NdiyoHapana
$23K Kiasi 04/10
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%NdiyoHapana
121-12423%NdiyoHapana
$10.6K Kiasi 12/10
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath51%NdiyoHapana
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%NdiyoHapana
$28.7K Kiasi 01/09
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha59%NdiyoHapana
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior38%NdiyoHapana
$15K Kiasi 04/10
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%NdiyoHapana
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud93%NdiyoHapana
$309.2K Kiasi 17/04
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$29.2K Kiasi 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%NdiyoHapana
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%NdiyoHapana
$485.6K Kiasi 03/11
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite34%NdiyoHapana
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%NdiyoHapana
$22.6K Kiasi 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%67%NdiyoHapana
7-9%22%NdiyoHapana
$13.6K Kiasi 13/09
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke57%NdiyoHapana
CDUCDU26%NdiyoHapana
$3.3M Kiasi 20/09
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira39%NdiyoHapana
Julio CesarJulio Cesar29%NdiyoHapana
$17.3K Kiasi 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%NdiyoHapana
William Peña FarfánWilliam Peña Farfán23%NdiyoHapana
$18.4K Kiasi 04/10
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
58%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$167.5K Kiasi 20/09
Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?
December 3149%NdiyoHapana
May 311%NdiyoHapana
$6K Kiasi 01/01
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Princess FakuPrincess Faku59%NdiyoHapana
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali7%NdiyoHapana
$14.9K Kiasi 18/11
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães34%NdiyoHapana
GaguimGaguim32%NdiyoHapana
$14.2K Kiasi 04/10
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%NdiyoHapana
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)48%NdiyoHapana
$183K Kiasi 03/11
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes66%NdiyoHapana
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta31%NdiyoHapana
$13.9K Kiasi 04/10
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil74%NdiyoHapana
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé25%NdiyoHapana
$39.7K Kiasi 31/08
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$67.1K Kiasi 03/11
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes40%NdiyoHapana
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%NdiyoHapana
$18.7K Kiasi 04/10
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%45%NdiyoHapana
5-7%40%NdiyoHapana
$8K Kiasi 06/09
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$39.6K Kiasi 03/11
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez37%NdiyoHapana
Duber Alberto Fernández SilvaDuber Alberto Fernández Silva25%NdiyoHapana
$6.2K Kiasi 04/10
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS48%NdiyoHapana
SV26%NdiyoHapana
$197.4K Kiasi 03/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro63%NdiyoHapana
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei27%NdiyoHapana
$11.1K Kiasi 04/10
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas94%NdiyoHapana
Jim PriestJim Priest6%NdiyoHapana
$117.8K Kiasi Inaisha leo
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%NdiyoHapana
59-6129%NdiyoHapana
$7.2K Kiasi 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%NdiyoHapana
Javier Antonio Onofre CcamaJavier Antonio Onofre Ccama15%NdiyoHapana
$8K Kiasi 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party5%NdiyoHapana
$42.3K Kiasi 03/11
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%NdiyoHapana
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick5%NdiyoHapana
$5.4K Kiasi 06/02
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party5%NdiyoHapana
$37.5K Kiasi 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ72%NdiyoHapana
PLQPLQ17%NdiyoHapana
$807.5K Kiasi 05/10
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%NdiyoHapana
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon47%NdiyoHapana
$92.3K Kiasi 30/04
Sonora Governor Election WinnerSonora Governor Election Winner
Lorenia Valles SampedroLorenia Valles Sampedro37%NdiyoHapana
Luis Donaldo Colosio RiojasLuis Donaldo Colosio Riojas31%NdiyoHapana
$20.7K Kiasi 06/06
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$260.1K Kiasi 31/12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
36%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$372.3K Kiasi 06/09
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%NdiyoHapana
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%NdiyoHapana
$210.5K Kiasi 11/10
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro41%NdiyoHapana
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni38%NdiyoHapana
$10.1K Kiasi 04/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour71%NdiyoHapana
Olivier Faure61%NdiyoHapana
$70.6K Kiasi 23/04
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%NdiyoHapana
4914%NdiyoHapana
$2.9M Kiasi 03/11
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli41%NdiyoHapana
Fabiano ContaratoFabiano Contarato32%NdiyoHapana
$15.3K Kiasi 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina35%NdiyoHapana
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo28%NdiyoHapana
$13.9K Kiasi 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%NdiyoHapana
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%NdiyoHapana
$13.8K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1024%NdiyoHapana
1220%NdiyoHapana
$10.4K Kiasi 03/11
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election WinnerSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTPMLSTP68%NdiyoHapana
ADIADI30%NdiyoHapana
$8.9K Kiasi 27/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone97%NdiyoHapana
Ralph NormanRalph Norman2%NdiyoHapana
$19.8K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira37%NdiyoHapana
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro34%NdiyoHapana
$28.3K Kiasi 04/10
Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?
Mattias OttossonMattias Ottosson63%NdiyoHapana
Marie MorellMarie Morell21%NdiyoHapana
$15.5K Kiasi 13/09
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer55%NdiyoHapana
Vanderlan CardosoVanderlan Cardoso20%NdiyoHapana
$23.6K Kiasi 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos58%NdiyoHapana
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana27%NdiyoHapana
$16.2K Kiasi 04/10
VA-03 House Election WinnerVA-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party2%NdiyoHapana
$60.6K Kiasi 03/11
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Kwa nini masoko ya uchaguzi ni sahihi?

Yanahitaji 'ngozi kwenye mchezo': watu wanaweka pesa kwenye maoni yao, wakichuja kelele zisizo za ubora. Kiasi kikubwa, bei inakuwa ya kuaminika zaidi.

Ni masoko gani ya uchaguzi yanayoendelea sasa?

Marekani 2028, Israel (kwa tarehe), uchaguzi wa mitaa wa Uingereza na EU, pamoja na uchaguzi wa chama. Fuata ukurasa wetu kwa sasisho.

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Angalia likuiditi (kina cha kitabu cha maagizo), mabadiliko ya kihistoria, na tarehe ya uamuzi. Masoko yenye likuiditi finyu yanakabiliwa na bei zisizo bora.

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