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Wie viele Zinssenkungen nimmt die Fed 2026 vor?Wie viele Zinssenkungen nimmt die Fed 2026 vor?
0 (0 bps)86%JaNein
1 (25 bps)10%JaNein
$49,5 Mio. Vol 31/12
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA93%JaNein
AppleApple5%JaNein
$160,4 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA98%JaNein
AppleApple2%JaNein
$160,4 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Größter Börsengang nach Marktkapitalisierung 2026?Größter Börsengang nach Marktkapitalisierung 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX63%JaNein
AnthropicAnthropic36%JaNein
$5,5 Mio. Vol 31/12
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA73%JaNein
AppleApple14%JaNein
$160,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%JaNein
AlphabetAlphabet5%JaNein
$6,4 Tsd. Vol 31/08
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%JaNein
AppleApple3%JaNein
$5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%JaNein
AnthropicAnthropic90%JaNein
$4,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%JaNein
$5.50-$6.0020%JaNein
$8,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$318,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
US-Rezession bis Ende 2026? US-Rezession bis Ende 2026?
8%
Chance
Ja Nein
$4,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
Chance
Ja Nein
$103,6 Tsd. Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%JaNein
$6.00-$6.5027%JaNein
$8,4 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Welche Unternehmen werden vor 2027 übernommen?Welche Unternehmen werden vor 2027 übernommen?
PayPalPayPal46%JaNein
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%JaNein
$18,2 Mio. Vol 31/12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3042%JaNein
August 3111%JaNein
$1,7 Tsd. Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%JaNein
$0.75-$1.0024%JaNein
$1,7 Tsd. Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%JaNein
$5.50-$6.0022%JaNein
$8,4 Tsd. Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%JaNein
$5.00-$5.5025%JaNein
$2,9 Tsd. Vol 31/08
OpenAI-IPO bis ___?OpenAI-IPO bis ___?
December 31, 202617%JaNein
September 30, 20261%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0029%JaNein
$4.00-$4.5027%JaNein
$2,9 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0026%JaNein
$3.00+24%JaNein
$2,6 Tsd. Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%JaNein
$0.50-$0.5524%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 31/10
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%JaNein
AlphabetAlphabet37%JaNein
$6,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%JaNein
$3.00-$3.2526%JaNein
$2,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%JaNein
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley29%JaNein
$50,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%JaNein
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat14%JaNein
$227,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%JaNein
$2.75-$3.0019%JaNein
$2,6 Tsd. Vol 30/09
US-Rezession bis Ende 2027? US-Rezession bis Ende 2027?
36%
Chance
Ja Nein
$4,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%JaNein
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%JaNein
$577 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%JaNein
$0.45-$0.5029%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%JaNein
$6.00-$6.5025%JaNein
$8,4 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Kraken-IPO bis ___?Kraken-IPO bis ___?
December 3150%JaNein
December 31, 202616%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 01/01
AI bubble burst by...?AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 202550%JaNein
December 31, 202611%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of September?2nd Largest Company end of September?
AppleApple76%JaNein
AlphabetAlphabet21%JaNein
$6,4 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
LloydsLloyds3%JaNein
US BankUS Bank3%JaNein
$211 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $4.0086%JaNein
↑ $6.0072%JaNein
$181 Vol 31/12
Fed-Notzinssenkung vor 2027? Fed-Notzinssenkung vor 2027?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$178 Vol 31/12
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%76%JaNein
80%45%JaNein
$166 Vol 31/12
Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
↑ 200B HKD72%JaNein
↑ 250B HKD30%JaNein
$14,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of September?3rd Largest Company end of September?
AlphabetAlphabet69%JaNein
AppleApple19%JaNein
$5 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des OpenAI-BörsengangsSchluss-Marktkapitalisierung des OpenAI-Börsengangs
1.5T+41%JaNein
1T–1.25T20%JaNein
$7,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
JIO Platforms-IPO bis ___?JIO Platforms-IPO bis ___?
December 3166%JaNein
September 3027%JaNein
$12 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
26%
Chance
Ja Nein
$82,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.0023%JaNein
$5.00-$5.5019%JaNein
$2,9 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des CopperTech Metals-BörsengangsSchluss-Marktkapitalisierung des CopperTech Metals-Börsengangs
No IPO before September 202697%JaNein
$4.8B-$5.4B2%JaNein
$70 Vol 01/09
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
28%
Chance
Ja Nein
$304,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAIOpenAI30%JaNein
GoogleGoogle17%JaNein
$49 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $5.5077%JaNein
↓ $5.0077%JaNein
$45 Vol 31/12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B83%JaNein
$1T76%JaNein
$1,5 Mio. Vol 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AlphabetAlphabet45%JaNein
AppleApple26%JaNein
$5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.0034%JaNein
$2.00-$2.5016%JaNein
$2,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
Chance
Ja Nein
$100,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
Chance
Ja Nein
$20 Vol 31/12
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
19%
Chance
Ja Nein
$16 Vol 31/12
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
ICEICE22%JaNein
ForecastExForecastEx11%JaNein
$16 Vol 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$425 Vol 31/12
FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?
September 21, 202644%JaNein
September 7, 202641%JaNein
$8,1 Tsd. Vol
Deepseek-IPO bis ___?Deepseek-IPO bis ___?
December 31, 202776%JaNein
September 30, 202748%JaNein
$15,3 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
3%
Chance
Ja Nein
$10 Vol 31/12
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T25%JaNein
$4.50-$5.00T22%JaNein
$82 Vol 31/12
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
Juice Head44%JaNein
Lucy42%JaNein
$654 Vol 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
Chance
Ja Nein
$8 Vol 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.50-$0.5536%JaNein
$0.45-$0.5033%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
16%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Bloomberg-IPO bis ___?Bloomberg-IPO bis ___?
December 31, 202747%JaNein
June 30, 202737%JaNein
$4,6 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Sundar Pichai - GoogleSundar Pichai - Google8%JaNein
Sam Altman - OpenAISam Altman - OpenAI8%JaNein
$710,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
73%
Chance
Ja Nein
$8 Vol 31/12
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs76%JaNein
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley23%JaNein
$42,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 202753%JaNein
June 30, 202751%JaNein
$606 Vol 01/01
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
JetBlueJetBlue9%JaNein
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%JaNein
$149,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Ben Pasternak jailed?
3%
Chance
Ja Nein
$50,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Up91%
Down9%
$26 Tsd. Vol 28/02
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
18%
Chance
Ja Nein
$51,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
Chance
Ja Nein
$72,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
3rd richest person on December 31?3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey BrinSergey Brin45%JaNein
Mark ZuckerbergMark Zuckerberg39%JaNein
$24,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing19%JaNein
Necklace11%JaNein
$411,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?
$1.00-$1.2594%JaNein
$1.25-$1.504%JaNein
$1,7 Tsd. Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$1.00-$1.2569%JaNein
$0.75-$1.0022%JaNein
$1,7 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Strava-BörsengangsSchluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Strava-Börsengangs
7B–10B7B–10B32%JaNein
2B–3B2B–3B29%JaNein
$89,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$2.50T50%JaNein
$2.50-$3.00T50%JaNein
$0 Vol 31/12
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T36%JaNein
$3.00-$3.50T26%JaNein
$1,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+20%JaNein
$6.00-$6.50T18%JaNein
$3,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
15%
Chance
Ja Nein
$298 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T23%JaNein
$4.50-$5.00T23%JaNein
$1,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
11%
Chance
Ja Nein
$31,1 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Perplexity-BörsengangsSchluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Perplexity-Börsengangs
No IPO before 202865%JaNein
<20B8%JaNein
$147,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
9%
Chance
Ja Nein
$31,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%JaNein
3.6%3.6%5%JaNein
$225,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
Reliance Industries Ltd82%JaNein
Bajaj Finance Ltd10%JaNein
$13,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5%
Chance
Ja Nein
$17 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3115%
September 3057%
$4,7 Tsd. Vol 01/10
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic72%
OpenAI28%
$9 Vol 31/12
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$4,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?1%
December 3146%
$732 Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.5020%JaNein
$5.50-$6.0018%JaNein
$2,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Discord-BörsengangsSchluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Discord-Börsengangs
8–11B25%JaNein
No IPO by December 31, 202722%JaNein
$31,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Discord IPO by __?Discord IPO by __?
December 3127%JaNein
November 3020%JaNein
$4,4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
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