Mercati Business

100 mercati attivi
Federal Reserve Petrolio Finanza
Ordina
Quanti tagli dei tassi farà la Fed nel 2026?Quanti tagli dei tassi farà la Fed nel 2026?
0 (0 bps)86%SìNo
1 (25 bps)10%SìNo
$49,5 Mln Volume 31/12
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA90%SìNo
AppleApple8%SìNo
$194.839 Volume 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%SìNo
AppleApple5%SìNo
$194.839 Volume 31/08
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX64%SìNo
AnthropicAnthropic37%SìNo
$5,5 Mln Volume 31/12
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%SìNo
AppleApple14%SìNo
$194.839 Volume 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%SìNo
AlphabetAlphabet5%SìNo
$6.346 Volume 31/08
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%SìNo
AppleApple3%SìNo
$4.963 Volume 31/08
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%SìNo
AnthropicAnthropic90%SìNo
$4.693 Volume 31/12
Recessione USA entro fine 2026? Recessione USA entro fine 2026?
8%
probabilità
Sì No
$4.271 Volume 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$318.883 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0020%SìNo
$5.215 Volume 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$103.583 Volume 01/01
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3039%SìNo
August 3110%SìNo
$1.868 Volume 01/10
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%SìNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%SìNo
$18,2 Mln Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SìNo
$0.75-$1.0024%SìNo
$1.647 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%SìNo
$4.00-$4.5027%SìNo
$2.822 Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SìNo
$6.00-$6.5027%SìNo
$5.215 Volume 31/10
IPO di OpenAI entro ___?IPO di OpenAI entro ___?
December 31, 202617%SìNo
September 30, 20261%SìNo
$2,9 Mln Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0028%SìNo
$4.00-$4.5027%SìNo
$2.822 Volume 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$1.238 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%SìNo
$3.00+24%SìNo
$2.405 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SìNo
$0.50-$0.5525%SìNo
$1.554 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0022%SìNo
$5.215 Volume 30/09
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%SìNo
AlphabetAlphabet37%SìNo
$6.346 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%SìNo
$3.00-$3.2526%SìNo
$2.405 Volume 31/08
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%SìNo
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley29%SìNo
$50.949 Volume 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%SìNo
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat15%SìNo
$227.578 Volume 31/12
Recessione USA entro fine 2027? Recessione USA entro fine 2027?
36%
probabilità
Sì No
$4.271 Volume 31/12
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%SìNo
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%SìNo
$609 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%SìNo
$0.45-$0.5029%SìNo
$1.554 Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7527%SìNo
$2.75-$3.0019%SìNo
$2.405 Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%SìNo
$6.00-$6.5025%SìNo
$5.215 Volume 31/08
IPO di Kraken entro ___?IPO di Kraken entro ___?
December 3150%SìNo
December 31, 202616%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 01/01
AI bubble burst by...?AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 202550%SìNo
December 31, 202611%SìNo
$2,9 Mln Volume 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of September?2nd Largest Company end of September?
AppleApple76%SìNo
AlphabetAlphabet21%SìNo
$6.346 Volume 30/09
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
LloydsLloyds3%SìNo
Deutsche BankDeutsche Bank3%SìNo
$211 Volume 31/12
Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
↑ 200B HKD72%SìNo
↑ 250B HKD31%SìNo
$14.248 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $4.0087%SìNo
↑ $6.0070%SìNo
$181 Volume 31/12
Taglio dei tassi d'emergenza della Fed prima del 2027? Taglio dei tassi d'emergenza della Fed prima del 2027?
6%
probabilità
Sì No
$178 Volume 31/12
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%76%SìNo
80%46%SìNo
$136 Volume 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of September?3rd Largest Company end of September?
AlphabetAlphabet69%SìNo
AppleApple19%SìNo
$4.963 Volume 30/09
Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di OpenAICapitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di OpenAI
1.5T+41%SìNo
1T–1.25T20%SìNo
$7.051 Volume 31/12
IPO di JIO Platforms entro ___?IPO di JIO Platforms entro ___?
December 3166%SìNo
September 3027%SìNo
$12.004 Volume 01/01
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
26%
probabilità
Sì No
$82.303 Volume 31/12
Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di CopperTech MetalsCapitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di CopperTech Metals
No IPO before September 202697%SìNo
$4.8B-$5.4B2%SìNo
$70 Volume 01/09
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
28%
probabilità
Sì No
$304.176 Volume 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAIOpenAI30%SìNo
GoogleGoogle17%SìNo
$49 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $5.5080%SìNo
↓ $5.0077%SìNo
$45 Volume 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AlphabetAlphabet45%SìNo
AppleApple26%SìNo
$4.963 Volume 31/12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B83%SìNo
$1T76%SìNo
$1,5 Mln Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.0034%SìNo
$2.00-$2.5016%SìNo
$2.405 Volume 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
probabilità
Sì No
$100.349 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.0023%SìNo
$5.00-$5.5019%SìNo
$2.822 Volume 30/09
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
probabilità
Sì No
$20 Volume 31/12
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
19%
probabilità
Sì No
$16 Volume 31/12
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
ICEICE28%SìNo
CBOECBOE11%SìNo
$16 Volume 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
probabilità
Sì No
$425 Volume 31/12
FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?
September 21, 202644%SìNo
September 7, 202640%SìNo
$8.073 Volume
IPO di Deepseek entro ___?IPO di Deepseek entro ___?
December 31, 202776%SìNo
June 30, 202747%SìNo
$15.347 Volume 01/01
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$10 Volume 31/12
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T25%SìNo
$4.50-$5.00T22%SìNo
$82 Volume 31/12
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
Juice Head44%SìNo
Lucy42%SìNo
$654 Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
probabilità
Sì No
$8 Volume 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
probabilità
Sì No
$7 Volume 31/12
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
16%
probabilità
Sì No
$1.438 Volume 01/01
IPO di Bloomberg entro ___?IPO di Bloomberg entro ___?
December 31, 202747%SìNo
June 30, 202736%SìNo
$4.584 Volume 01/01
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - AmazonAndy Jassy - Amazon9%SìNo
Sundar Pichai - GoogleSundar Pichai - Google8%SìNo
$710.796 Volume 31/12
Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?
Marianne Lake50%SìNo
Doug Petno48%SìNo
$113 Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
71%
probabilità
Sì No
$8 Volume 31/12
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs76%SìNo
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley23%SìNo
$42.781 Volume 31/12
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 202753%SìNo
June 30, 202751%SìNo
$606 Volume 01/01
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
JetBlueJetBlue9%SìNo
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%SìNo
$149.263 Volume 31/12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Ben Pasternak jailed?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$50.671 Volume 31/12
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Up90%
Down10%
$25.972 Volume 28/02
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
18%
probabilità
Sì No
$51.738 Volume 31/12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
probabilità
Sì No
$72.884 Volume 31/12
3rd richest person on December 31?3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey BrinSergey Brin42%SìNo
Mark ZuckerbergMark Zuckerberg37%SìNo
$24.648 Volume 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11.260 Volume 31/12
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing19%SìNo
Necklace11%SìNo
$411.699 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?
$1.00-$1.2594%SìNo
$1.25-$1.504%SìNo
$1.647 Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$1.00-$1.2569%SìNo
$0.75-$1.0022%SìNo
$1.647 Volume 30/09
Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di StravaCapitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di Strava
7B–10B7B–10B30%SìNo
2B–3B2B–3B29%SìNo
$89.105 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.50-$0.5536%SìNo
$0.45-$0.5033%SìNo
$1.554 Volume 30/09
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$2.50T50%SìNo
$2.50-$3.00T50%SìNo
$0 Volume 31/12
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T34%SìNo
$3.00-$3.50T26%SìNo
$1.659 Volume 31/12
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+20%SìNo
$6.00-$6.50T18%SìNo
$3.549 Volume 31/12
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
15%
probabilità
Sì No
$298.026 Volume 31/12
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T26%SìNo
$4.50-$5.00T23%SìNo
$1.076 Volume 31/12
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
12%
probabilità
Sì No
$31.074 Volume 01/01
Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di PerplexityCapitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di Perplexity
No IPO before 202865%SìNo
<20B8%SìNo
$147.414 Volume 31/12
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
9%
probabilità
Sì No
$31.918 Volume 31/12
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%SìNo
3.6%3.6%5%SìNo
$225.403 Volume 31/12
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
Reliance Industries Ltd83%SìNo
Bajaj Finance Ltd10%SìNo
$13.129 Volume 31/12
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5%
probabilità
Sì No
$16.993 Volume 31/12
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3115%
September 3057%
$4.679 Volume 01/10
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic72%
OpenAI28%
$9 Volume 31/12
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
probabilità
Sì No
$4.599 Volume 31/12
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?1%
December 3146%
$732 Volume 01/01
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.5020%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0018%SìNo
$2.822 Volume 31/12
Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di DiscordCapitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di Discord
8–11B25%SìNo
No IPO by December 31, 202722%SìNo
$31.502 Volume 31/12
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