Wahlen Vorhersagemärkte

Wahlmärkte sind das Herzstück von Polymarket: US-Präsidentschaftswahlen, Parteivorwahlen, Kongresswahlen und jede Abstimmung in einer großen Demokratie. Die Wahlmärkte für die USA 2024 verzeichneten Milliarden an Volumen.

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80 aktive Märkte
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Präsidentschaftswahl in BrasilienPräsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%JaNein
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro33%JaNein
$132,1 Mio. Vol 04/10
Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl 2028Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl 2028
JD VanceJD Vance23%JaNein
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%JaNein
$692,1 Mio. Vol 07/11
Nächste Französische PräsidentschaftswahlNächste Französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%JaNein
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%JaNein
$121,3 Mio. Vol 30/04
Demokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028Demokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez23%JaNein
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%JaNein
$1,3 Mrd. Vol 07/11
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson90%JaNein
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%JaNein
$4 Mio. Vol 13/09
Republikanischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028Republikanischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%JaNein
$690,7 Mio. Vol 07/11
Welche Partei wird bei der russischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen?Welche Partei wird bei der russischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%JaNein
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%JaNein
$21,7 Mio. Vol 20/09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%JaNein
September 3089%JaNein
$26,3 Mio. Vol 31/08
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%JaNein
R Senate, D House39%JaNein
$10,4 Mio. Vol 03/11
Wer wird der nächste Premierminister Israels nach der nächsten Wahl sein?Wer wird der nächste Premierminister Israels nach der nächsten Wahl sein?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%JaNein
Benjamin NetanjahuBenjamin Netanjahu27%JaNein
$33 Mio. Vol 31/12
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$128,2 Tsd. Vol 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%JaNein
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%JaNein
$419,1 Tsd. Vol 05/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%JaNein
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%JaNein
$1,4 Mio. Vol 13/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%JaNein
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%JaNein
$5,2 Mio. Vol 04/10
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%JaNein
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%JaNein
$20,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33942%JaNein
340–35422%JaNein
$211,2 Tsd. Vol 20/09
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%JaNein
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)49%JaNein
$870,8 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%JaNein
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%JaNein
$147,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%JaNein
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%JaNein
$586,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%JaNein
September 3093%JaNein
$356,8 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%JaNein
Brett Smiley47%JaNein
$22,4 Tsd. Vol 09/09
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva52%JaNein
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%JaNein
$20,9 Tsd. Vol 06/06
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Edin FortoEdin Forto21%JaNein
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%JaNein
$64,1 Tsd. Vol
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço73%JaNein
Lorenzo Pazolini25%JaNein
$29,9 Tsd. Vol 05/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%JaNein
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 20/09
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%JaNein
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%JaNein
$38,8 Tsd. Vol 08/09
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%JaNein
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%JaNein
$113,7 Tsd. Vol 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%JaNein
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto15%JaNein
$16,7 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo40%JaNein
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%JaNein
$23 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%JaNein
121-12423%JaNein
$10,6 Tsd. Vol 12/10
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath51%JaNein
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%JaNein
$28,7 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha59%JaNein
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior38%JaNein
$15 Tsd. Vol 04/10
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%JaNein
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud93%JaNein
$309,2 Tsd. Vol 17/04
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$29,2 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%JaNein
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%JaNein
$485,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite34%JaNein
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%JaNein
$22,6 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%67%JaNein
7-9%22%JaNein
$13,6 Tsd. Vol 13/09
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke57%JaNein
CDUCDU26%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 20/09
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira39%JaNein
Julio CesarJulio Cesar29%JaNein
$17,3 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%JaNein
William Peña FarfánWilliam Peña Farfán23%JaNein
$18,4 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
58%
Chance
Ja Nein
$167,5 Tsd. Vol 20/09
Netanyahu bis... aus dem Amt?Netanyahu bis... aus dem Amt?
December 3149%JaNein
May 311%JaNein
$6 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Princess FakuPrincess Faku59%JaNein
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali7%JaNein
$14,9 Tsd. Vol 18/11
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães34%JaNein
GaguimGaguim32%JaNein
$14,2 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%JaNein
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)48%JaNein
$183 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes66%JaNein
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta31%JaNein
$13,9 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil74%JaNein
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé25%JaNein
$39,7 Tsd. Vol 31/08
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$67,1 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes40%JaNein
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%JaNein
$18,7 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%45%JaNein
5-7%40%JaNein
$8 Tsd. Vol 06/09
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$39,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez37%JaNein
Duber Alberto Fernández SilvaDuber Alberto Fernández Silva25%JaNein
$6,2 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS48%JaNein
SV26%JaNein
$197,4 Tsd. Vol 03/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro63%JaNein
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei27%JaNein
$11,1 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas94%JaNein
Jim PriestJim Priest6%JaNein
$117,8 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%JaNein
59-6129%JaNein
$7,2 Tsd. Vol 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%JaNein
Javier Antonio Onofre CcamaJavier Antonio Onofre Ccama15%JaNein
$8 Tsd. Vol 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%JaNein
Democratic Party5%JaNein
$42,3 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%JaNein
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick5%JaNein
$5,4 Tsd. Vol 06/02
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party5%JaNein
$37,5 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ72%JaNein
PLQPLQ17%JaNein
$807,5 Tsd. Vol 05/10
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%JaNein
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon47%JaNein
$92,3 Tsd. Vol 30/04
Sonora Governor Election WinnerSonora Governor Election Winner
Lorenia Valles SampedroLorenia Valles Sampedro37%JaNein
Luis Donaldo Colosio RiojasLuis Donaldo Colosio Riojas31%JaNein
$20,7 Tsd. Vol 06/06
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$260,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
36%
Chance
Ja Nein
$372,3 Tsd. Vol 06/09
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%JaNein
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%JaNein
$210,5 Tsd. Vol 11/10
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro41%JaNein
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni38%JaNein
$10,1 Tsd. Vol 04/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour71%JaNein
Olivier Faure61%JaNein
$70,6 Tsd. Vol 23/04
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%JaNein
4914%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 03/11
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli41%JaNein
Fabiano ContaratoFabiano Contarato32%JaNein
$15,3 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina35%JaNein
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo28%JaNein
$13,9 Tsd. Vol 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%JaNein
$13,8 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1024%JaNein
1220%JaNein
$10,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election WinnerSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTPMLSTP68%JaNein
ADIADI30%JaNein
$8,9 Tsd. Vol 27/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone97%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman2%JaNein
$19,8 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira37%JaNein
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro34%JaNein
$28,3 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?
Mattias OttossonMattias Ottosson63%JaNein
Marie MorellMarie Morell21%JaNein
$15,5 Tsd. Vol 13/09
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer55%JaNein
Vanderlan CardosoVanderlan Cardoso20%JaNein
$23,6 Tsd. Vol 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos58%JaNein
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana27%JaNein
$16,2 Tsd. Vol 04/10
VA-03 House Election WinnerVA-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party2%JaNein
$60,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
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