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100 active markets
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)86%YesNo
1 (25 bps)10%YesNo
$49.5M Volume 31/12
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA93%YesNo
AppleApple5%YesNo
$160.4K Volume 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA98%YesNo
AppleApple2%YesNo
$160.4K Volume 31/08
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX63%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic36%YesNo
$5.5M Volume 31/12
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA73%YesNo
AppleApple14%YesNo
$160.4K Volume 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%YesNo
AlphabetAlphabet5%YesNo
$6.4K Volume 31/08
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%YesNo
AppleApple3%YesNo
$5K Volume 31/08
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic90%YesNo
$4.7K Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%YesNo
$5.50-$6.0020%YesNo
$8.4K Volume 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$318.9K Volume 31/12
US recession by end of 2026? US recession by end of 2026?
8%
chance
Yes No
$4.3K Volume 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes No
$103.6K Volume 01/01
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%YesNo
$6.00-$6.5027%YesNo
$8.4K Volume 31/10
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%YesNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%YesNo
$18.2M Volume 31/12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3042%YesNo
August 3111%YesNo
$1.7K Volume 01/10
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%YesNo
$0.75-$1.0024%YesNo
$1.7K Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%YesNo
$5.50-$6.0022%YesNo
$8.4K Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%YesNo
$5.00-$5.5025%YesNo
$2.9K Volume 31/08
OpenAI IPO by...?OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 202617%YesNo
September 30, 20261%YesNo
$2.9M Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0029%YesNo
$4.00-$4.5027%YesNo
$2.9K Volume 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
chance
Yes No
$1.2K Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0026%YesNo
$3.00+24%YesNo
$2.6K Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%YesNo
$0.50-$0.5524%YesNo
$1.6K Volume 31/10
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%YesNo
AlphabetAlphabet37%YesNo
$6.4K Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%YesNo
$3.00-$3.2526%YesNo
$2.6K Volume 31/08
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%YesNo
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley29%YesNo
$50.9K Volume 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%YesNo
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat14%YesNo
$227.6K Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%YesNo
$2.75-$3.0019%YesNo
$2.6K Volume 30/09
US recession by end of 2027? US recession by end of 2027?
36%
chance
Yes No
$4.3K Volume 31/12
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%YesNo
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%YesNo
$577 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%YesNo
$0.45-$0.5029%YesNo
$1.6K Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%YesNo
$6.00-$6.5025%YesNo
$8.4K Volume 31/08
Kraken IPO by ___ ?Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 3150%YesNo
December 31, 202616%YesNo
$1.6M Volume 01/01
AI bubble burst by...?AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 202611%YesNo
$2.9M Volume 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of September?2nd Largest Company end of September?
AppleApple76%YesNo
AlphabetAlphabet21%YesNo
$6.4K Volume 30/09
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
LloydsLloyds3%YesNo
US BankUS Bank3%YesNo
$211 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $4.0086%YesNo
↑ $6.0072%YesNo
$181 Volume 31/12
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
6%
chance
Yes No
$178 Volume 31/12
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%76%YesNo
80%45%YesNo
$166 Volume 31/12
Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
↑ 200B HKD72%YesNo
↑ 250B HKD30%YesNo
$14.2K Volume 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of September?3rd Largest Company end of September?
AlphabetAlphabet69%YesNo
AppleApple19%YesNo
$5K Volume 30/09
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+41%YesNo
1T–1.25T20%YesNo
$7.1K Volume 31/12
JIO Platforms IPO by...?JIO Platforms IPO by...?
December 3166%YesNo
September 3027%YesNo
$12K Volume 01/01
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
26%
chance
Yes No
$82.3K Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.0023%YesNo
$5.00-$5.5019%YesNo
$2.9K Volume 30/09
CopperTech Metals IPO Closing Market CapCopperTech Metals IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before September 202697%YesNo
$4.8B-$5.4B2%YesNo
$70 Volume 01/09
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
28%
chance
Yes No
$304.2K Volume 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAIOpenAI30%YesNo
GoogleGoogle17%YesNo
$49 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $5.5077%YesNo
↓ $5.0077%YesNo
$45 Volume 31/12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B83%YesNo
$1T76%YesNo
$1.5M Volume 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AlphabetAlphabet45%YesNo
AppleApple26%YesNo
$5K Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.0034%YesNo
$2.00-$2.5016%YesNo
$2.6K Volume 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
chance
Yes No
$100.3K Volume 31/12
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
chance
Yes No
$20 Volume 31/12
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
19%
chance
Yes No
$16 Volume 31/12
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
ICEICE22%YesNo
ForecastExForecastEx11%YesNo
$16 Volume 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
chance
Yes No
$425 Volume 31/12
FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?
September 21, 202644%YesNo
September 7, 202641%YesNo
$8.1K Volume
Deepseek IPO by...?Deepseek IPO by...?
December 31, 202776%YesNo
September 30, 202748%YesNo
$15.3K Volume 01/01
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
3%
chance
Yes No
$10 Volume 31/12
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T25%YesNo
$4.50-$5.00T22%YesNo
$82 Volume 31/12
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
Juice Head44%YesNo
Lucy42%YesNo
$654 Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
chance
Yes No
$8 Volume 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
chance
Yes No
$7 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.50-$0.5536%YesNo
$0.45-$0.5033%YesNo
$1.6K Volume 30/09
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
16%
chance
Yes No
$1.4K Volume 01/01
Bloomberg IPO by...?Bloomberg IPO by...?
December 31, 202747%YesNo
June 30, 202737%YesNo
$4.6K Volume 01/01
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Sundar Pichai - GoogleSundar Pichai - Google8%YesNo
Sam Altman - OpenAISam Altman - OpenAI8%YesNo
$710.8K Volume 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
73%
chance
Yes No
$8 Volume 31/12
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs76%YesNo
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley23%YesNo
$42.8K Volume 31/12
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 202753%YesNo
June 30, 202751%YesNo
$606 Volume 01/01
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
JetBlueJetBlue9%YesNo
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%YesNo
$149.3K Volume 31/12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Ben Pasternak jailed?
3%
chance
Yes No
$50.7K Volume 31/12
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Up91%
Down9%
$26K Volume 28/02
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
18%
chance
Yes No
$51.7K Volume 31/12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
chance
Yes No
$72.9K Volume 31/12
3rd richest person on December 31?3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey BrinSergey Brin45%YesNo
Mark ZuckerbergMark Zuckerberg39%YesNo
$24.6K Volume 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11.3K Volume 31/12
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing19%YesNo
Necklace11%YesNo
$411.7K Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?
$1.00-$1.2594%YesNo
$1.25-$1.504%YesNo
$1.7K Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$1.00-$1.2569%YesNo
$0.75-$1.0022%YesNo
$1.7K Volume 30/09
Strava IPO Closing Market CapStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
7B–10B7B–10B32%YesNo
2B–3B2B–3B29%YesNo
$89.1K Volume 31/12
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$2.50T50%YesNo
$2.50-$3.00T50%YesNo
$0 Volume 31/12
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T36%YesNo
$3.00-$3.50T26%YesNo
$1.7K Volume 31/12
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+20%YesNo
$6.00-$6.50T18%YesNo
$3.5K Volume 31/12
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
15%
chance
Yes No
$298K Volume 31/12
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T23%YesNo
$4.50-$5.00T23%YesNo
$1.1K Volume 31/12
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
11%
chance
Yes No
$31.1K Volume 01/01
Perplexity IPO Closing Market CapPerplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 202865%YesNo
<20B8%YesNo
$147.4K Volume 31/12
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes No
$31.9K Volume 31/12
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%YesNo
3.6%3.6%5%YesNo
$225.4K Volume 31/12
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
Reliance Industries Ltd82%YesNo
Bajaj Finance Ltd10%YesNo
$13.1K Volume 31/12
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5%
chance
Yes No
$17K Volume 31/12
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3115%
September 3057%
$4.7K Volume 01/10
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic72%
OpenAI28%
$9 Volume 31/12
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes No
$4.6K Volume 31/12
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?1%
December 3146%
$732 Volume 01/01
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.5020%YesNo
$5.50-$6.0018%YesNo
$2.9K Volume 31/12
Discord IPO Closing Market CapDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
8–11B25%YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 202722%YesNo
$31.5K Volume 31/12
Discord IPO by __?Discord IPO by __?
December 3127%YesNo
November 3020%YesNo
$4.4K Volume 01/01
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