📈 بازارهای پیش‌بینی: کسب‌وکار

100 بازارهای فعال

Business prediction markets — stocks, interest rates and inflation

فدرال‌رزرو در 2026 چند بار نرخ بهره را کاهش می‌دهد؟فدرال‌رزرو در 2026 چند بار نرخ بهره را کاهش می‌دهد؟
0 (0 bps)86%بلهخیر
1 (25 bps)10%بلهخیر
$49.5 میلیون حجم 31/12
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA88%بلهخیر
AppleApple9%بلهخیر
$201.2 هزار حجم 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%بلهخیر
AppleApple5%بلهخیر
$201.2 هزار حجم 31/08
بزرگ‌ترین عرضه اولیه سهام بر اساس ارزش بازار در ۲۰۲۶؟بزرگ‌ترین عرضه اولیه سهام بر اساس ارزش بازار در ۲۰۲۶؟
SpaceXSpaceX65%بلهخیر
AnthropicAnthropic36%بلهخیر
$5.5 میلیون حجم 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%بلهخیر
AppleApple4%بلهخیر
$9.3 هزار حجم 31/08
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%بلهخیر
AppleApple14%بلهخیر
$201.2 هزار حجم 31/12
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%بلهخیر
AnthropicAnthropic89%بلهخیر
$6.9 هزار حجم 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple93%بلهخیر
AlphabetAlphabet6%بلهخیر
$7.4 هزار حجم 31/08
رکود اقتصادی آمریکا تا پایان 2026؟ رکود اقتصادی آمریکا تا پایان 2026؟
8%
احتمال
بله خیر
$4.5 هزار حجم 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$318.9 هزار حجم 31/12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3034%بلهخیر
August 3110%بلهخیر
$2.1 هزار حجم 01/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%بلهخیر
$5.50-$6.0020%بلهخیر
$4.5 هزار حجم 31/12
کدام شرکت‌ها قبل از ۲۰۲۷ خریداری خواهند شد؟کدام شرکت‌ها قبل از ۲۰۲۷ خریداری خواهند شد؟
PayPalPayPal46%بلهخیر
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%بلهخیر
$18.2 میلیون حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%بلهخیر
$0.75-$1.0024%بلهخیر
$1.7 هزار حجم 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%بلهخیر
$5.00-$5.5021%بلهخیر
$3 هزار حجم 31/08
کاهش اضطراری نرخ بهره فدرال‌رزرو پیش از 2027؟ کاهش اضطراری نرخ بهره فدرال‌رزرو پیش از 2027؟
7%
احتمال
بله خیر
$1.3 هزار حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%بلهخیر
$6.00-$6.5026%بلهخیر
$4.5 هزار حجم 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%بلهخیر
$4.00-$4.5027%بلهخیر
$3 هزار حجم 31/10
IPO OpenAI تا ___؟IPO OpenAI تا ___؟
December 31, 202616%بلهخیر
September 30, 20261%بلهخیر
$2.9 میلیون حجم 31/12
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
احتمال
بله خیر
$1.2 هزار حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%بلهخیر
$0.50-$0.5530%بلهخیر
$2.2 هزار حجم 31/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%بلهخیر
$3.00+24%بلهخیر
$2.1 هزار حجم 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%بلهخیر
$0.45-$0.5032%بلهخیر
$2.2 هزار حجم 31/08
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple44%بلهخیر
AlphabetAlphabet32%بلهخیر
$7.4 هزار حجم 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%بلهخیر
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat14%بلهخیر
$227.8 هزار حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%بلهخیر
$5.50-$6.0022%بلهخیر
$4.5 هزار حجم 30/09
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%بلهخیر
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley28%بلهخیر
$50.9 هزار حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%بلهخیر
$3.00-$3.2526%بلهخیر
$2.1 هزار حجم 31/08
رکود اقتصادی آمریکا تا پایان 2027؟ رکود اقتصادی آمریکا تا پایان 2027؟
36%
احتمال
بله خیر
$4.5 هزار حجم 31/12
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%بلهخیر
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%بلهخیر
$582 حجم 31/12
AI bubble burst by...?AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 202550%بلهخیر
December 31, 202612%بلهخیر
$2.9 میلیون حجم 01/01
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%بلهخیر
$2.75-$3.0019%بلهخیر
$2.1 هزار حجم 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%بلهخیر
$6.00-$6.5025%بلهخیر
$4.5 هزار حجم 31/08
IPO Kraken تا ___؟IPO Kraken تا ___؟
December 3150%بلهخیر
December 31, 202616%بلهخیر
$1.6 میلیون حجم 01/01
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$4.00T28%بلهخیر
$4.00-$4.50T21%بلهخیر
$331 حجم 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of September?2nd Largest Company end of September?
AppleApple76%بلهخیر
AlphabetAlphabet20%بلهخیر
$7.4 هزار حجم 30/09
Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
↑ 200B HKD72%بلهخیر
↑ 250B HKD31%بلهخیر
$14.3 هزار حجم 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AlphabetAlphabet45%بلهخیر
AppleApple25%بلهخیر
$9.3 هزار حجم 31/12
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%76%بلهخیر
80%44%بلهخیر
$140 حجم 31/12
ارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه OpenAIارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه OpenAI
1.5T+41%بلهخیر
1.25T–1.5T20%بلهخیر
$8.5 هزار حجم 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of September?3rd Largest Company end of September?
AlphabetAlphabet69%بلهخیر
AppleApple19%بلهخیر
$9.3 هزار حجم 30/09
IPO JIO Platforms تا ___؟IPO JIO Platforms تا ___؟
December 3166%بلهخیر
September 3027%بلهخیر
$12 هزار حجم 01/01
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
26%
احتمال
بله خیر
$82.3 هزار حجم 31/12
ارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه CopperTech Metalsارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه CopperTech Metals
No IPO before September 202697%بلهخیر
$4.8B-$5.4B2%بلهخیر
$70 حجم 01/09
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $4.0087%بلهخیر
↑ $6.0072%بلهخیر
$59 حجم 31/12
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
US BankUS Bank3%بلهخیر
Deutsche BankDeutsche Bank3%بلهخیر
$51 حجم 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAIOpenAI30%بلهخیر
GoogleGoogle17%بلهخیر
$49 حجم 31/12
IPO Deepseek تا ___؟IPO Deepseek تا ___؟
December 31, 202776%بلهخیر
June 30, 202747%بلهخیر
$15.4 هزار حجم 01/01
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.0034%بلهخیر
$2.00-$2.5016%بلهخیر
$2.1 هزار حجم 31/12
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.50-$5.00T27%بلهخیر
$4.00-$4.50T21%بلهخیر
$39 حجم 31/12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B83%بلهخیر
$1T76%بلهخیر
$1.5 میلیون حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $5.5080%بلهخیر
↓ $5.0077%بلهخیر
$25 حجم 31/12
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
احتمال
بله خیر
$20 حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.0023%بلهخیر
$5.00-$5.5019%بلهخیر
$3 هزار حجم 30/09
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
14%
احتمال
بله خیر
$16 حجم 31/12
FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?
September 21, 202644%بلهخیر
September 7, 202640%بلهخیر
$8.1 هزار حجم
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
3%
احتمال
بله خیر
$10 حجم 31/12
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T25%بلهخیر
$4.50-$5.00T22%بلهخیر
$242 حجم 31/12
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
Juice Head44%بلهخیر
Lucy42%بلهخیر
$654 حجم 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
احتمال
بله خیر
$8 حجم 31/12
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%بلهخیر
3.6%3.6%5%بلهخیر
$225.4 هزار حجم 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
احتمال
بله خیر
$6 حجم 31/12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
احتمال
بله خیر
$72.9 هزار حجم 31/12
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
17%
احتمال
بله خیر
$1.4 هزار حجم 01/01
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - AmazonAndy Jassy - Amazon9%بلهخیر
Sundar Pichai - GoogleSundar Pichai - Google8%بلهخیر
$710.8 هزار حجم 31/12
Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?
Marianne Lake50%بلهخیر
Doug Petno48%بلهخیر
$113 حجم 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
74%
احتمال
بله خیر
$8 حجم 31/12
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs76%بلهخیر
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley23%بلهخیر
$42.8 هزار حجم 31/12
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 202753%بلهخیر
June 30, 202751%بلهخیر
$606 حجم 01/01
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
JetBlueJetBlue9%بلهخیر
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%بلهخیر
$149.3 هزار حجم 31/12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Ben Pasternak jailed?
3%
احتمال
بله خیر
$50.7 هزار حجم 31/12
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Up90%
Down10%
$26 هزار حجم 28/02
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
18%
احتمال
بله خیر
$51.7 هزار حجم 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
احتمال
بله خیر
$103.6 هزار حجم 01/01
3rd richest person on December 31?3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey BrinSergey Brin45%بلهخیر
Mark ZuckerbergMark Zuckerberg38%بلهخیر
$24.6 هزار حجم 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11.3 هزار حجم 31/12
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing18%بلهخیر
Necklace11%بلهخیر
$411.7 هزار حجم 31/12
ارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه Stravaارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه Strava
7B–10B7B–10B29%بلهخیر
2B–3B2B–3B29%بلهخیر
$89.1 هزار حجم 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?
$1.00-$1.2594%بلهخیر
$1.25-$1.504%بلهخیر
$1.7 هزار حجم 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$1.00-$1.2569%بلهخیر
$0.75-$1.0022%بلهخیر
$1.7 هزار حجم 30/09
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.50-$0.5536%بلهخیر
$0.45-$0.5033%بلهخیر
$2.2 هزار حجم 30/09
IPO Bloomberg تا ___؟IPO Bloomberg تا ___؟
December 31, 202747%بلهخیر
June 30, 202735%بلهخیر
$4.6 هزار حجم 01/01
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
14%
احتمال
بله خیر
$31.1 هزار حجم 01/01
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$2.50T50%بلهخیر
$2.50-$3.00T50%بلهخیر
$0 حجم 31/12
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T35%بلهخیر
$3.00-$3.50T26%بلهخیر
$1.7 هزار حجم 31/12
ارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه Perplexityارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه Perplexity
No IPO before 202865%بلهخیر
<20B8%بلهخیر
$147.4 هزار حجم 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
احتمال
بله خیر
$425 حجم 31/12
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
28%
احتمال
بله خیر
$304.2 هزار حجم 31/12
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
9%
احتمال
بله خیر
$31.9 هزار حجم 31/12
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
احتمال
بله خیر
$4.6 هزار حجم 31/12
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5%
احتمال
بله خیر
$17 هزار حجم 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
احتمال
بله خیر
$100.3 هزار حجم 31/12
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
15%
احتمال
بله خیر
$298 هزار حجم 31/12
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3115%
September 3057%
$4.7 هزار حجم 01/10
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic72%
OpenAI28%
$9 حجم 31/12
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?1%
December 3145%
$732 حجم 01/01
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
Reliance Industries Ltd85%بلهخیر
Bajaj Finance Ltd21%بلهخیر
$13.1 هزار حجم 31/12
ارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه Discordارزش بازار پایانی عرضه اولیه Discord
8–11B25%بلهخیر
No IPO by December 31, 202722%بلهخیر
$31.5 هزار حجم 31/12
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
ICEICE24%بلهخیر
CBOECBOE11%بلهخیر
$13.1 هزار حجم 31/12
Discord IPO by __?Discord IPO by __?
December 3127%بلهخیر
November 3020%بلهخیر
$4.4 هزار حجم 01/01
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