📈 예측 시장: 비즈니스

100 활성 시장

Business prediction markets — stocks, interest rates and inflation

연준은 2026년에 몇 번 금리를 인하할까?연준은 2026년에 몇 번 금리를 인하할까?
0 (0 bps)86%예아니오
1 (25 bps)10%예아니오
$4,948.8만 거래량 31/12
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA90%예아니오
AppleApple8%예아니오
$19.5만 거래량 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%예아니오
AppleApple5%예아니오
$19.5만 거래량 31/08
2026년 시가총액 기준 최대 IPO는?2026년 시가총액 기준 최대 IPO는?
SpaceXSpaceX64%예아니오
AnthropicAnthropic37%예아니오
$553.1만 거래량 31/12
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%예아니오
AppleApple14%예아니오
$19.5만 거래량 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%예아니오
AlphabetAlphabet5%예아니오
$6,346 거래량 31/08
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%예아니오
AppleApple3%예아니오
$4,963 거래량 31/08
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%예아니오
AnthropicAnthropic90%예아니오
$4,693 거래량 31/12
2026년 말까지 미국 경기침체? 2026년 말까지 미국 경기침체?
8%
확률
예 아니오
$4,271 거래량 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$31.9만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%예아니오
$5.50-$6.0020%예아니오
$5,215 거래량 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$10.4만 거래량 01/01
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3039%예아니오
August 3110%예아니오
$1,868 거래량 01/10
2027년 이전에 어떤 회사가 인수될까요?2027년 이전에 어떤 회사가 인수될까요?
PayPalPayPal46%예아니오
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%예아니오
$1,818만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%예아니오
$0.75-$1.0024%예아니오
$1,647 거래량 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%예아니오
$4.00-$4.5027%예아니오
$2,822 거래량 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%예아니오
$6.00-$6.5027%예아니오
$5,215 거래량 31/10
OpenAI ___까지 IPO?OpenAI ___까지 IPO?
December 31, 202617%예아니오
September 30, 20261%예아니오
$287.5만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0028%예아니오
$4.00-$4.5027%예아니오
$2,822 거래량 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$1,238 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%예아니오
$3.00+24%예아니오
$2,405 거래량 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%예아니오
$0.50-$0.5525%예아니오
$1,554 거래량 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%예아니오
$5.50-$6.0022%예아니오
$5,215 거래량 30/09
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%예아니오
AlphabetAlphabet37%예아니오
$6,346 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%예아니오
$3.00-$3.2526%예아니오
$2,405 거래량 31/08
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%예아니오
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley29%예아니오
$5.1만 거래량 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%예아니오
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat15%예아니오
$22.8만 거래량 31/12
2027년 말까지 미국 경기침체? 2027년 말까지 미국 경기침체?
36%
확률
예 아니오
$4,271 거래량 31/12
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%예아니오
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%예아니오
$609 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%예아니오
$0.45-$0.5029%예아니오
$1,554 거래량 31/08
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7527%예아니오
$2.75-$3.0019%예아니오
$2,405 거래량 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%예아니오
$6.00-$6.5025%예아니오
$5,215 거래량 31/08
Kraken ___까지 IPO?Kraken ___까지 IPO?
December 3150%예아니오
December 31, 202616%예아니오
$159.8만 거래량 01/01
AI bubble burst by...?AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 202550%예아니오
December 31, 202611%예아니오
$293.2만 거래량 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of September?2nd Largest Company end of September?
AppleApple76%예아니오
AlphabetAlphabet21%예아니오
$6,346 거래량 30/09
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
LloydsLloyds3%예아니오
Deutsche BankDeutsche Bank3%예아니오
$211 거래량 31/12
Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
↑ 200B HKD72%예아니오
↑ 250B HKD31%예아니오
$1.4만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $4.0087%예아니오
↑ $6.0070%예아니오
$181 거래량 31/12
2027 전에 연준 긴급 금리 인하? 2027 전에 연준 긴급 금리 인하?
6%
확률
예 아니오
$178 거래량 31/12
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%76%예아니오
80%46%예아니오
$136 거래량 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of September?3rd Largest Company end of September?
AlphabetAlphabet69%예아니오
AppleApple19%예아니오
$4,963 거래량 30/09
OpenAI IPO 종가 시가총액OpenAI IPO 종가 시가총액
1.5T+41%예아니오
1T–1.25T20%예아니오
$7,051 거래량 31/12
JIO Platforms ___까지 IPO?JIO Platforms ___까지 IPO?
December 3166%예아니오
September 3027%예아니오
$1.2만 거래량 01/01
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
26%
확률
예 아니오
$8.2만 거래량 31/12
CopperTech Metals IPO 종가 시가총액CopperTech Metals IPO 종가 시가총액
No IPO before September 202697%예아니오
$4.8B-$5.4B2%예아니오
$70 거래량 01/09
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
28%
확률
예 아니오
$30.4만 거래량 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAIOpenAI30%예아니오
GoogleGoogle17%예아니오
$49 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $5.5080%예아니오
↓ $5.0077%예아니오
$45 거래량 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AlphabetAlphabet45%예아니오
AppleApple26%예아니오
$4,963 거래량 31/12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B83%예아니오
$1T76%예아니오
$152.1만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.0034%예아니오
$2.00-$2.5016%예아니오
$2,405 거래량 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
확률
예 아니오
$10만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.0023%예아니오
$5.00-$5.5019%예아니오
$2,822 거래량 30/09
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
확률
예 아니오
$20 거래량 31/12
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
19%
확률
예 아니오
$16 거래량 31/12
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
ICEICE28%예아니오
CBOECBOE11%예아니오
$16 거래량 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$425 거래량 31/12
FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?
September 21, 202644%예아니오
September 7, 202640%예아니오
$8,073 거래량
Deepseek ___까지 IPO?Deepseek ___까지 IPO?
December 31, 202776%예아니오
June 30, 202747%예아니오
$1.5만 거래량 01/01
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$10 거래량 31/12
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T25%예아니오
$4.50-$5.00T22%예아니오
$82 거래량 31/12
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
Juice Head44%예아니오
Lucy42%예아니오
$654 거래량 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
확률
예 아니오
$8 거래량 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
확률
예 아니오
$7 거래량 31/12
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
16%
확률
예 아니오
$1,438 거래량 01/01
Bloomberg ___까지 IPO?Bloomberg ___까지 IPO?
December 31, 202747%예아니오
June 30, 202736%예아니오
$4,584 거래량 01/01
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - AmazonAndy Jassy - Amazon9%예아니오
Sundar Pichai - GoogleSundar Pichai - Google8%예아니오
$71.1만 거래량 31/12
Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?
Marianne Lake50%예아니오
Doug Petno48%예아니오
$113 거래량 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
71%
확률
예 아니오
$8 거래량 31/12
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs76%예아니오
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley23%예아니오
$4.3만 거래량 31/12
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 202753%예아니오
June 30, 202751%예아니오
$606 거래량 01/01
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
JetBlueJetBlue9%예아니오
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%예아니오
$14.9만 거래량 31/12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Ben Pasternak jailed?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$5.1만 거래량 31/12
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Up90%
Down10%
$2.6만 거래량 28/02
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
18%
확률
예 아니오
$5.2만 거래량 31/12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
확률
예 아니오
$7.3만 거래량 31/12
3rd richest person on December 31?3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey BrinSergey Brin42%예아니오
Mark ZuckerbergMark Zuckerberg37%예아니오
$2.5만 거래량 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$1.1만 거래량 31/12
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing19%예아니오
Necklace11%예아니오
$41.2만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?
$1.00-$1.2594%예아니오
$1.25-$1.504%예아니오
$1,647 거래량 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$1.00-$1.2569%예아니오
$0.75-$1.0022%예아니오
$1,647 거래량 30/09
Strava IPO 종가 시가총액Strava IPO 종가 시가총액
7B–10B7B–10B30%예아니오
2B–3B2B–3B29%예아니오
$8.9만 거래량 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.50-$0.5536%예아니오
$0.45-$0.5033%예아니오
$1,554 거래량 30/09
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$2.50T50%예아니오
$2.50-$3.00T50%예아니오
$0 거래량 31/12
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T34%예아니오
$3.00-$3.50T26%예아니오
$1,659 거래량 31/12
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+20%예아니오
$6.00-$6.50T18%예아니오
$3,549 거래량 31/12
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
15%
확률
예 아니오
$29.8만 거래량 31/12
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T26%예아니오
$4.50-$5.00T23%예아니오
$1,076 거래량 31/12
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
12%
확률
예 아니오
$3.1만 거래량 01/01
Perplexity IPO 종가 시가총액Perplexity IPO 종가 시가총액
No IPO before 202865%예아니오
<20B8%예아니오
$14.7만 거래량 31/12
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
9%
확률
예 아니오
$3.2만 거래량 31/12
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%예아니오
3.6%3.6%5%예아니오
$22.5만 거래량 31/12
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
Reliance Industries Ltd83%예아니오
Bajaj Finance Ltd10%예아니오
$1.3만 거래량 31/12
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5%
확률
예 아니오
$1.7만 거래량 31/12
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3115%
September 3057%
$4,679 거래량 01/10
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic72%
OpenAI28%
$9 거래량 31/12
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
확률
예 아니오
$4,599 거래량 31/12
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?1%
December 3146%
$732 거래량 01/01
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.5020%예아니오
$5.50-$6.0018%예아니오
$2,822 거래량 31/12
Discord IPO 종가 시가총액Discord IPO 종가 시가총액
8–11B25%예아니오
No IPO by December 31, 202722%예아니오
$3.2만 거래량 31/12
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