📈 Mercados de Predicción: Negocios

100 mercados activos

Business prediction markets — stocks, interest rates and inflation

Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA89%SíNo
AppleApple8%SíNo
$236,7 mil Vol 30/09
¿Cuántos recortes de tasas hará la Fed en 2026?¿Cuántos recortes de tasas hará la Fed en 2026?
0 (0 bps)87%SíNo
1 (25 bps)10%SíNo
$49,5 M Vol 31/12
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA97%SíNo
AppleApple2%SíNo
$236,7 mil Vol 7 días restantes
Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de OpenAICapitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de OpenAI
1.5T+48%SíNo
1T–1.25T18%SíNo
$34 mil Vol 31/12
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%SíNo
AppleApple14%SíNo
$236,7 mil Vol 31/12
¿La mayor IPO por capitalización bursátil en 2026?¿La mayor IPO por capitalización bursátil en 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX65%SíNo
AnthropicAnthropic36%SíNo
$5,5 M Vol 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%SíNo
AppleApple4%SíNo
$8,7 mil Vol 7 días restantes
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%SíNo
AnthropicAnthropic89%SíNo
$7,3 mil Vol 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple93%SíNo
AlphabetAlphabet6%SíNo
$7 mil Vol 7 días restantes
¿IPO de OpenAI antes de ___?¿IPO de OpenAI antes de ___?
December 31, 202616%SíNo
September 30, 20261%SíNo
$2,9 M Vol 31/12
¿Recesión en EE. UU. para finales de 2026? ¿Recesión en EE. UU. para finales de 2026?
8%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$3,6 mil Vol 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$319,4 mil Vol 31/12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3037%SíNo
August 3110%SíNo
$2,4 mil Vol 01/10
¿Qué empresas serán adquiridas antes de 2027?¿Qué empresas serán adquiridas antes de 2027?
PayPalPayPal47%SíNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts35%SíNo
$18,2 M Vol 31/12
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3113%
September 3057%
$1,8 mil Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5558%SíNo
$0.45-$0.5032%SíNo
$2,2 mil Vol 7 días restantes
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SíNo
$0.75-$1.0023%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 31/10
¿Recorte de tasas de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027? ¿Recorte de tasas de emergencia de la Fed antes de 2027?
7%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$1,3 mil Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0030%SíNo
$5.50-$6.0022%SíNo
$2,7 mil Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0036%SíNo
$4.00-$4.5021%SíNo
$1,2 mil Vol 7 días restantes
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5024%SíNo
$5.50-$6.0020%SíNo
$2,7 mil Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SíNo
$6.00-$6.5022%SíNo
$2,7 mil Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%SíNo
$2.50-$2.7522%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 31/10
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%SíNo
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat15%SíNo
$227,8 mil Vol 31/12
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$594 Vol 31/12
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+20%SíNo
<$4.00T19%SíNo
$552 Vol 31/12
AI bubble burst by...?AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 202550%SíNo
December 31, 202613%SíNo
$2,9 M Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SíNo
$0.50-$0.5530%SíNo
$2,2 mil Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%SíNo
$2.75-$3.0019%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%SíNo
$3.00-$3.2526%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 7 días restantes
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%SíNo
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%SíNo
$377 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?
$1.00-$1.2593%SíNo
$1.25-$1.504%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 7 días restantes
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%78%SíNo
80%48%SíNo
$289 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.50-$0.5536%SíNo
$0.45-$0.5033%SíNo
$2,2 mil Vol 30/09
Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
↑ 200B HKD73%SíNo
↑ 250B HKD41%SíNo
$14,4 mil Vol 31/12
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs76%SíNo
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley25%SíNo
$43 mil Vol 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AlphabetAlphabet45%SíNo
AppleApple26%SíNo
$8,7 mil Vol 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple43%SíNo
AlphabetAlphabet32%SíNo
$7 mil Vol 31/12
Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de CopperTech MetalsCapitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de CopperTech Metals
No IPO before September 202698%SíNo
$4.8B-$5.4B2%SíNo
$173 Vol 01/09
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%SíNo
$4.00-$4.5026%SíNo
$1,2 mil Vol 31/10
3rd Largest Company end of September?3rd Largest Company end of September?
AlphabetAlphabet68%SíNo
AppleApple20%SíNo
$8,7 mil Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%SíNo
$6.00-$6.5025%SíNo
$2,7 mil Vol 7 días restantes
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
26%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$82,3 mil Vol 31/12
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$86 Vol 31/12
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
77%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$74 Vol 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of September?2nd Largest Company end of September?
AppleApple75%SíNo
AlphabetAlphabet20%SíNo
$7 mil Vol 30/09
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
Deutsche BankDeutsche Bank3%SíNo
US BankUS Bank3%SíNo
$51 Vol 31/12
Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de DiscordCapitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de Discord
8–11B25%SíNo
No IPO by December 31, 202722%SíNo
$50 Vol 31/12
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.50-$5.00T26%SíNo
$4.00-$4.50T25%SíNo
$49 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $2.2575%SíNo
↑ $3.5067%SíNo
$46 Vol 31/12
¿IPO de Deepseek antes de ___?¿IPO de Deepseek antes de ___?
December 31, 202776%SíNo
June 30, 202748%SíNo
$15,4 mil Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.0034%SíNo
$2.00-$2.5016%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 31/12
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
30%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$304,2 mil Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.0023%SíNo
$5.00-$5.5019%SíNo
$1,2 mil Vol 30/09
¿IPO de JIO Platforms antes de ___?¿IPO de JIO Platforms antes de ___?
December 3166%SíNo
September 3027%SíNo
$12 mil Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $4.0086%SíNo
↑ $6.0070%SíNo
$19 Vol 31/12
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
14%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$16 Vol 31/12
FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?
September 21, 202644%SíNo
September 7, 202640%SíNo
$8,1 mil Vol
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing19%SíNo
Necklace11%SíNo
$411,7 mil Vol 31/12
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
3%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$10 Vol 31/12
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
Juice Head44%SíNo
Lucy42%SíNo
$654 Vol 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
40%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$8 Vol 31/12
¿IPO de Kraken antes de ___?¿IPO de Kraken antes de ___?
December 3150%SíNo
December 31, 202616%SíNo
$1,6 M Vol 01/01
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%SíNo
3.6%3.6%5%SíNo
$225,4 mil Vol 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$6 Vol 31/12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$72,9 mil Vol 31/12
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T26%SíNo
$4.50-$5.00T22%SíNo
$308 Vol 31/12
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - AmazonAndy Jassy - Amazon10%SíNo
Sundar Pichai - GoogleSundar Pichai - Google8%SíNo
$710,8 mil Vol 31/12
Discord IPO by __?Discord IPO by __?
December 3127%SíNo
November 3020%SíNo
$4,4 mil Vol 01/01
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
7%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$1,4 mil Vol 31/12
Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase? Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?
Marianne Lake50%SíNo
Doug Petno48%SíNo
$113 Vol 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
75%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$8 Vol 31/12
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%SíNo
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley29%SíNo
$50,9 mil Vol 31/12
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 202752%SíNo
June 30, 202751%SíNo
$606 Vol 01/01
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
JetBlueJetBlue8%SíNo
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%SíNo
$149,3 mil Vol 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAIOpenAI30%SíNo
GoogleGoogle17%SíNo
$129,8 mil Vol 31/12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Ben Pasternak jailed?
3%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$50,7 mil Vol 31/12
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Up90%
Down10%
$26 mil Vol 28/02
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
18%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$51,7 mil Vol 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$103,6 mil Vol 01/01
3rd richest person on December 31?3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey BrinSergey Brin45%SíNo
Jeff BezosJeff Bezos36%SíNo
$24,6 mil Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$1.00-$1.2569%SíNo
$0.75-$1.0022%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 30/09
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B83%SíNo
$1T76%SíNo
$1,5 M Vol 31/12
¿IPO de Bloomberg antes de ___?¿IPO de Bloomberg antes de ___?
December 31, 202747%SíNo
June 30, 202741%SíNo
$4,6 mil Vol 01/01
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3 mil Vol 31/12
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$2.50T50%SíNo
$2.50-$3.00T50%SíNo
$0 Vol 31/12
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T34%SíNo
$3.00-$3.50T26%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 31/12
Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de StravaCapitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de Strava
7B–10B7B–10B32%SíNo
2B–3B2B–3B29%SíNo
$89,1 mil Vol 31/12
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
17%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$1,4 mil Vol 01/01
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
14%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$31,1 mil Vol 01/01
Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de PerplexityCapitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de Perplexity
No IPO before 202864%SíNo
<20B8%SíNo
$147,4 mil Vol 31/12
¿Recesión en EE. UU. para finales de 2027? ¿Recesión en EE. UU. para finales de 2027?
36%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$3,6 mil Vol 31/12
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
9%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$31,9 mil Vol 31/12
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$4,6 mil Vol 31/12
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$17 mil Vol 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$100,3 mil Vol 31/12
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic72%
OpenAI28%
$9 Vol 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$425 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.5020%SíNo
$5.50-$6.0018%SíNo
$1,2 mil Vol 31/12
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
15%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$298 mil Vol 31/12
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