📈 Marchés de prédiction : Économie

100 marchés actifs

Business prediction markets — stocks, interest rates and inflation

Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA88%OuiNon
AppleApple9%OuiNon
$196,4 k Vol 30/09
Combien de baisses de taux la Fed fera-t-elle en 2026 ?Combien de baisses de taux la Fed fera-t-elle en 2026 ?
0 (0 bps)86%OuiNon
1 (25 bps)10%OuiNon
$49,5 M Vol 31/12
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%OuiNon
AppleApple3%OuiNon
$196,4 k Vol 31/08
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%OuiNon
AppleApple14%OuiNon
$196,4 k Vol 31/12
La plus grande IPO par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?La plus grande IPO par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
SpaceXSpaceX65%OuiNon
AnthropicAnthropic36%OuiNon
$5,5 M Vol 31/12
Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de OpenAICapitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de OpenAI
1.5T+41%OuiNon
1.25T–1.5T20%OuiNon
$20,2 k Vol 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%OuiNon
AppleApple4%OuiNon
$9,2 k Vol 31/08
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%OuiNon
AnthropicAnthropic89%OuiNon
$8,4 k Vol 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple94%OuiNon
AlphabetAlphabet5%OuiNon
$6,9 k Vol 31/08
Récession aux États-Unis d'ici fin 2026 ? Récession aux États-Unis d'ici fin 2026 ?
8%
de chance
Oui Non
$3,9 k Vol 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$319 k Vol 31/12
IPO de OpenAI d'ici ___ ?IPO de OpenAI d'ici ___ ?
December 31, 202617%OuiNon
September 30, 20261%OuiNon
$2,9 M Vol 31/12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3035%OuiNon
August 3110%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%OuiNon
$5.50-$6.0020%OuiNon
$4,2 k Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0036%OuiNon
$5.00-$5.5018%OuiNon
$3,1 k Vol 31/08
Quelles entreprises seront acquises avant 2027 ?Quelles entreprises seront acquises avant 2027 ?
PayPalPayPal46%OuiNon
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%OuiNon
$18,2 M Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%OuiNon
$0.75-$1.0024%OuiNon
$2 k Vol 31/10
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3138%
September 3057%
$1,5 k Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%OuiNon
$4.00-$4.5026%OuiNon
$3,1 k Vol 31/10
Baisse de taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ? Baisse de taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?
7%
de chance
Oui Non
$1,3 k Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%OuiNon
$6.00-$6.5023%OuiNon
$4,2 k Vol 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
de chance
Oui Non
$1,2 k Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%OuiNon
$0.50-$0.5530%OuiNon
$2,3 k Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5555%OuiNon
$0.45-$0.5033%OuiNon
$2,3 k Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%OuiNon
$3.00+24%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 31/10
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%OuiNon
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat14%OuiNon
$227,8 k Vol 31/12
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%OuiNon
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley28%OuiNon
$50,9 k Vol 31/12
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%OuiNon
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%OuiNon
$534 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%OuiNon
$3.00-$3.2526%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 31/08
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple44%OuiNon
AlphabetAlphabet32%OuiNon
$6,9 k Vol 31/12
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+21%OuiNon
<$4.00T19%OuiNon
$497 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%OuiNon
$5.50-$6.0022%OuiNon
$4,2 k Vol 30/09
AI bubble burst by...?AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 202550%OuiNon
December 31, 202612%OuiNon
$2,9 M Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%OuiNon
$2.25-$2.5019%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?
$1.00-$1.2593%OuiNon
$1.25-$1.504%OuiNon
$2 k Vol 31/08
IPO de Kraken d'ici ___ ?IPO de Kraken d'ici ___ ?
December 3150%OuiNon
December 31, 202616%OuiNon
$1,6 M Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%OuiNon
$6.00-$6.5025%OuiNon
$4,2 k Vol 31/08
2nd Largest Company end of September?2nd Largest Company end of September?
AppleApple76%OuiNon
AlphabetAlphabet20%OuiNon
$6,9 k Vol 30/09
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%80%OuiNon
80%46%OuiNon
$271 Vol 31/12
Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
↑ 200B HKD73%OuiNon
↑ 250B HKD31%OuiNon
$14,3 k Vol 31/12
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs76%OuiNon
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley25%OuiNon
$43 k Vol 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AlphabetAlphabet45%OuiNon
AppleApple26%OuiNon
$9,2 k Vol 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of September?3rd Largest Company end of September?
AlphabetAlphabet68%OuiNon
AppleApple19%OuiNon
$9,2 k Vol 30/09
IPO de JIO Platforms d'ici ___ ?IPO de JIO Platforms d'ici ___ ?
December 3166%OuiNon
September 3027%OuiNon
$12 k Vol 01/01
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
26%
de chance
Oui Non
$82,3 k Vol 31/12
Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de CopperTech MetalsCapitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de CopperTech Metals
No IPO before September 202697%OuiNon
$4.8B-$5.4B1%OuiNon
$70 Vol 01/09
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $4.0086%OuiNon
↑ $6.0068%OuiNon
$59 Vol 31/12
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
LloydsLloyds3%OuiNon
Deutsche BankDeutsche Bank3%OuiNon
$51 Vol 31/12
Récession aux États-Unis d'ici fin 2027 ? Récession aux États-Unis d'ici fin 2027 ?
36%
de chance
Oui Non
$3,9 k Vol 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
OpenAIOpenAI30%OuiNon
GoogleGoogle17%OuiNon
$49 Vol 31/12
IPO de Deepseek d'ici ___ ?IPO de Deepseek d'ici ___ ?
December 31, 202776%OuiNon
June 30, 202747%OuiNon
$15,4 k Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.0034%OuiNon
$2.00-$2.5015%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 31/12
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.50-$5.00T23%OuiNon
$4.00-$4.50T22%OuiNon
$39 Vol 31/12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B83%OuiNon
$1T76%OuiNon
$1,5 M Vol 31/12
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
29%
de chance
Oui Non
$304,2 k Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
$4.50-$5.0023%OuiNon
$5.00-$5.5019%OuiNon
$3,1 k Vol 30/09
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
13%
de chance
Oui Non
$16 Vol 31/12
FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?FIFA: UEFA to End FIFA Boycott By…?
September 21, 202644%OuiNon
September 7, 202640%OuiNon
$8,1 k Vol
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing18%OuiNon
Necklace11%OuiNon
$411,7 k Vol 31/12
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
3%
de chance
Oui Non
$10 Vol 31/12
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.50T26%OuiNon
$4.50-$5.00T22%OuiNon
$312 Vol 31/12
Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
Juice Head44%OuiNon
Lucy42%OuiNon
$654 Vol 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
de chance
Oui Non
$8 Vol 31/12
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%OuiNon
3.6%3.6%5%OuiNon
$225,4 k Vol 31/12
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
de chance
Oui Non
$6 Vol 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
de chance
Oui Non
$6 Vol 31/12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
de chance
Oui Non
$72,9 k Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $5.5080%OuiNon
↓ $5.0077%OuiNon
$5 Vol 31/12
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026? Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
16%
de chance
Oui Non
$1,4 k Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
$0.50-$0.5536%OuiNon
$0.45-$0.5033%OuiNon
$2,3 k Vol 30/09
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - AmazonAndy Jassy - Amazon10%OuiNon
Sundar Pichai - GoogleSundar Pichai - Google8%OuiNon
$710,8 k Vol 31/12
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
December 31, 202753%OuiNon
June 30, 202750%OuiNon
$606 Vol 01/01
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
JetBlueJetBlue8%OuiNon
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%OuiNon
$149,3 k Vol 31/12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Ben Pasternak jailed?
3%
de chance
Oui Non
$50,7 k Vol 31/12
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Up90%
Down10%
$26 k Vol 28/02
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
18%
de chance
Oui Non
$51,7 k Vol 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
3%
de chance
Oui Non
$103,6 k Vol 01/01
3rd richest person on December 31?3rd richest person on December 31?
Sergey BrinSergey Brin45%OuiNon
Jensen HuangJensen Huang37%OuiNon
$24,6 k Vol 31/12
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
ICEICE24%OuiNon
CBOECBOE13%OuiNon
$13,1 k Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?
$1.00-$1.2569%OuiNon
$0.75-$1.0022%OuiNon
$2 k Vol 30/09
Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de StravaCapitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de Strava
2B–3B2B–3B29%OuiNon
7B–10B7B–10B28%OuiNon
$89,1 k Vol 31/12
IPO de Bloomberg d'ici ___ ?IPO de Bloomberg d'ici ___ ?
December 31, 202747%OuiNon
June 30, 202733%OuiNon
$4,6 k Vol 01/01
Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
<$2.50T50%OuiNon
$2.50-$3.00T50%OuiNon
$0 Vol 31/12
Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$2.50-$3.00T35%OuiNon
$3.00-$3.50T26%OuiNon
$1,7 k Vol 31/12
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
14%
de chance
Oui Non
$31,1 k Vol 01/01
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$425 Vol 31/12
Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de PerplexityCapitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de Perplexity
No IPO before 202865%OuiNon
<20B8%OuiNon
$147,4 k Vol 31/12
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
9%
de chance
Oui Non
$31,9 k Vol 31/12
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$4,6 k Vol 31/12
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
5%
de chance
Oui Non
$17 k Vol 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
14%
de chance
Oui Non
$100,3 k Vol 31/12
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
15%
de chance
Oui Non
$298 k Vol 31/12
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic72%
OpenAI28%
$9 Vol 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3 k Vol 31/12
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
Reliance Industries Ltd86%OuiNon
Bajaj Finance Ltd8%OuiNon
$13,1 k Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
$4.00-$4.5020%OuiNon
$5.50-$6.0018%OuiNon
$3,1 k Vol 31/12
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?1%
December 3143%
$732 Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?
↓ $2.2575%OuiNon
↑ $3.5063%OuiNon
$7,9 k Vol 31/12
Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de DiscordCapitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de Discord
8–11B25%OuiNon
No IPO by December 31, 202722%OuiNon
$31,5 k Vol 31/12
Discord IPO by __?Discord IPO by __?
December 3127%OuiNon
November 3020%OuiNon
$4,4 k Vol 01/01
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