科技与科学 市场

57 个活跃市场
人工智能 人工智能竞赛 SpaceX 特斯拉
排序
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%是否
September 3091%是否
$22.2万 成交量 01/07
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6%
概率
是 否
$30.7万 成交量 31/12
2026 年按市值计算最大的 IPO？2026 年按市值计算最大的 IPO？
SpaceXSpaceX63%是否
AnthropicAnthropic36%是否
$553万 成交量 31/12
美国是否会在……之前确认外星人存在？美国是否会在……之前确认外星人存在？
December 314%是否
September 301%是否
$6,548.4万 成交量 01/01
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
12%
概率
是 否
$2.1万 成交量 31/12
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
概率
是 否
$14.4万 成交量 31/03
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Fewer than 2042%是否
20 to 3439%是否
$3,034 成交量 31/03
8月香港降水量？8月香港降水量？
<425mm81%是否
475-500mm9%是否
$9,847 成交量 01/09
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
171%是否
225%是否
$336.3万 成交量 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3k99%是否
↑3.5k95%是否
$1,130 成交量 31/12
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
概率
是 否
$81.1万 成交量 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-9939%是否
100–11936%是否
$5,967 成交量 01/09
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202714%
$4.8万 成交量 31/12
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
17%
概率
是 否
$1.1万 成交量 31/12
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,507 成交量 01/01
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
1382%是否
1412%是否
$424 成交量 31/08
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<563%是否
5-630%是否
$406 成交量 31/12
Natural Disaster in 2026? Natural Disaster in 2026?
28%
概率
是 否
$24.2万 成交量 31/12
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
1.42–1.45ºC49%是否
1.38–1.41ºC39%是否
$3,331 成交量 01/09
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–1642%是否
17–1937%是否
$250 成交量 31/12
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
9%
概率
是 否
$1.2万 成交量 31/12
8月西雅图降水量？8月西雅图降水量？
少于0.5"少于0.5"89%是否
0.5-1"0.5-1"11%是否
$234 成交量 01/09
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2%
概率
是 否
$11.6万 成交量 31/12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
16%
概率
是 否
$34.1万 成交量 31/12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 202836%是否
December 31, 202732%是否
$1,918 成交量 01/01
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
062%是否
126%是否
$115.6万 成交量 31/03
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
December 31, 20261%
December 31, 202715%
$1.1万 成交量 01/01
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 5kt meteor strike in 2026?
29%
概率
是 否
$52 成交量 31/12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
概率
是 否
$57.9万 成交量 31/12
8月首尔降水量？8月首尔降水量？
<150mm48%是否
150-200mm44%是否
$283 成交量 01/09
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
概率
是 否
$19.6万 成交量 31/12
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
概率
是 否
$3.9万 成交量 30/06
2026年新的大流行？ 2026年新的大流行？
6%
概率
是 否
$47 成交量 31/12
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13%
概率
是 否
$14万 成交量 31/12
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
概率
是 否
$425 成交量 31/12
100kt meteor strike in 2026? 100kt meteor strike in 2026?
5%
概率
是 否
$8,915 成交量 31/12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 202768%是否
June 30, 202754%是否
$93.6万 成交量 01/01
8月纽约降水量？8月纽约降水量？
多于6"多于6"56%是否
4-5"4-5"3%是否
$2,476 成交量 01/09
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
概率
是 否
$8 成交量 31/12
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest99%是否
2nd hottest2%是否
$1,788 成交量 01/09
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15950%是否
160-17941%是否
$424 成交量 31/12
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97%
概率
是 否
$1,050 成交量 01/10
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
10,000+99%是否
15,000+99%是否
$5 成交量 31/08
8月伦敦降水量？8月伦敦降水量？
<30mm60%是否
30-40mm36%是否
$7,567 成交量 01/09
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
概率
是 否
$650 成交量 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$1.1万 成交量 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+88%是否
1200–12496%是否
$8.2万 成交量 10/01
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
7%
概率
是 否
$1.7万 成交量 31/12
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
89%
概率
是 否
$2,555 成交量 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
72%
概率
是 否
$8 成交量 31/12
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
December 31December 3163%是否
October 31October 3156%是否
$4,714 成交量
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31December 3144%是否
August 30August 3042%是否
$1,442 成交量 01/01
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4%
概率
是 否
$2.3万 成交量 31/12
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
October 31, 202650%是否
September 30, 202619%是否
$1,882 成交量 01/11
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below75%是否
8.0 – 8.19%是否
$2,360 成交量 04/01
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
10%
概率
是 否
$10.2万 成交量 31/12
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
概率
是 否
$196.8万 成交量 31/12
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