Science & Tech Prediction Markets
Trade the biggest open questions in science and technology on Polymarket. This category tracks live prediction markets across space (SpaceX launch counts, lunar missions), climate (record temperatures, hurricane landfalls), natural events (major earthquakes, meteor strikes) and health (disease case counts, FDA approvals). Each market shows the crowd's real-time probability, updated as new data lands.
59 active markets
SpaceX65%YesNo
Anthropic36%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
September 301%YesNo
October 3196%YesNo
September 3091%YesNo
Fewer than 2043%YesNo
20 to 3439%YesNo
<425mm80%YesNo
475-500mm15%YesNo
171%YesNo
225%YesNo
↑3k99%YesNo
↑3.5k95%YesNo
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
80-9939%YesNo
100–11936%YesNo
2800+85%YesNo
2825+83%YesNo
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
<564%YesNo
5-634%YesNo
10,000+99%YesNo
15,000+99%YesNo
1382%YesNo
1412%YesNo
1.38–1.41ºC46%YesNo
1.42–1.45ºC21%YesNo
14–1643%YesNo
17–1936%YesNo
December 31, 202836%YesNo
December 31, 202732%YesNo
250-300mm45%YesNo
<150mm44%YesNo
063%YesNo
126%YesNo
December 31, 20261%
December 31, 202715%
December 31, 202768%YesNo
June 30, 202754%YesNo
<0.5"89%YesNo
0.5-1"11%YesNo140-15950%YesNo
160-17936%YesNo
<30mm60%YesNo
30-40mm34%YesNo
>6"66%YesNo
4-5"3%YesNo2900+93%
3000+91%
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
1250+88%YesNo
1200–12496%YesNo
October 3169%YesNo
December 3162%YesNo
October 3147%YesNo
August 3042%YesNo1st hottest99%YesNo
2nd hottest1%YesNo
October 31, 202653%YesNo
September 30, 202619%YesNo
7.9 or below75%YesNo
8.0 – 8.19%YesNo
Science & tech markets FAQ
What science markets can I trade on Polymarket?
Active markets span space (SpaceX launch totals, lunar missions), climate and weather records, major earthquakes and natural disasters, and public-health questions like disease case counts and FDA drug approvals.
How do science and climate markets resolve?
Each market resolves against a named authoritative source - USGS for earthquakes, CDC or WHO for disease case counts, NOAA for temperature and hurricane records, and official launch manifests for space missions. The resolution source is listed on every market page.
