予測市場：ウクライナ戦争

53 アクティブなマーケット

Ukraine war prediction markets — ceasefire, territory and Western support

2026年12月31日までにプーチンがロシア大統領を退任？2026年12月31日までにプーチンがロシア大統領を退任？
June 30, 202714%はいいいえ
December 31, 20268%はいいいえ
$6.8万 取引高 01/07
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%はいいいえ
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%はいいいえ
$621.1万 取引高 01/01
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%はいいいえ
October 3115%はいいいえ
$594.4万 取引高 01/01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$1.8万 取引高 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%はいいいえ
ChinaChina46%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%はいいいえ
September 3010%はいいいえ
$38.3万 取引高 01/01
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Donald TuskDonald Tusk86%はいいいえ
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen70%はいいいえ
$35.1万 取引高 31/12
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3186%はいいいえ
October 3177%はいいいえ
$6,923 取引高 31/12
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2559%はいいいえ
August 2642%はいいいえ
$6,189 取引高 31/08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$5,954 取引高 31/08
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
August 311%はいいいえ
July 171%はいいいえ
$42.9万 取引高 31/08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$3,966 取引高 01/01
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 311%
September 302%
$47.8万 取引高 30/09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202758%はいいいえ
March 31, 202744%はいいいえ
$604.2万 取引高 01/07
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%はいいいえ
September 302%はいいいえ
$15.2万 取引高 01/01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16%
確率
はい いいえ
$5,954 取引高 31/12
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%はいいいえ
October 318%はいいいえ
$113万 取引高 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%はいいいえ
August 311%はいいいえ
$630.4万 取引高 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%はいいいえ
スイススイス3%はいいいえ
$975 取引高 31/12
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
確率
はい いいえ
$6.5万 取引高 31/12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$967 取引高 31/08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
7%
確率
はい いいえ
$60.6万 取引高 31/12
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
15%
確率
はい いいえ
$11.5万 取引高 31/12
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2294%
August 3194%
$493 取引高 31/08
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2177%
August 2894%
$381 取引高 残り5日
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$161 取引高 31/12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$129 取引高 31/08
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$118 取引高 31/12
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Russia coup attempt in 2026?
7%
確率
はい いいえ
$12.6万 取引高 31/12
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
9%
確率
はい いいえ
$100 取引高 31/12
Ukraine election called by...?Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 202616%はいいいえ
August 31, 20261%はいいいえ
$178.7万 取引高 01/01
U.S. nuclear test by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20264%はいいいえ
September 30, 20261%はいいいえ
$79.4万 取引高 01/01
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 202550%はいいいえ
December 31, 20265%はいいいえ
$48.1万 取引高 01/01
Ukraine coup attempt by...?Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 312%
June 301%
$16.9万 取引高 01/01
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
December 315%はいいいえ
September 305%はいいいえ
$66.1万 取引高 01/01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
確率
はい いいえ
$30 取引高 31/12
Another NATO article 4 by...?Another NATO article 4 by...?
December 3131%はいいいえ
October 3114%はいいいえ
$15.7万 取引高 01/01
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 311%
August 318%
$22 取引高 31/08
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
6%
確率
はい いいえ
$20 取引高 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$20 取引高 31/12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
7%
確率
はい いいえ
$967 取引高 31/12
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 202550%はいいいえ
December 31, 20264%はいいいえ
$264.9万 取引高 01/01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$11.4万 取引高 31/12
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
2%
確率
はい いいえ
$5.3万 取引高 31/12
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
3%
確率
はい いいえ
$124.4万 取引高 31/12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 3111%はいいいえ
August 311%はいいいえ
$91.2万 取引高 01/01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
6%
確率
はい いいえ
$8.5万 取引高 31/12
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
August 311%
June 301%
$12.5万 取引高 01/09
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
7%
確率
はい いいえ
$2,565 取引高 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 316%はいいいえ
September 303%はいいいえ
$52.7万 取引高 01/01
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
June 301%
December 315%
$46.2万 取引高 01/01
Ukraine election held by...?Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 202550%はいいいえ
December 31, 20266%はいいいえ
$249.3万 取引高 01/01
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$26.2万 取引高 01/01
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