Mercati di previsione: Guerra in Ucraina

53 mercati attivi

Ukraine war prediction markets — ceasefire, territory and Western support

Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202714%SìNo
December 31, 20268%SìNo
$74.370 Volume 01/07
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%SìNo
October 3114%SìNo
$6 Mln Volume 01/01
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%SìNo
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%SìNo
$6,2 Mln Volume 01/01
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina54%SìNo
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3145%SìNo
$25.423 Volume 31/12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
probabilità
Sì No
$17.748 Volume 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%SìNo
September 3010%SìNo
$383.060 Volume 01/01
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen70%SìNo
Mark RutteMark Rutte67%SìNo
$351.267 Volume 31/12
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2561%SìNo
August 2641%SìNo
$6.911 Volume 31/08
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3187%SìNo
October 3181%SìNo
$5.430 Volume 31/12
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 311%
September 302%
$479.356 Volume 30/09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16%
probabilità
Sì No
$6.476 Volume 31/12
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
August 311%SìNo
July 171%SìNo
$428.571 Volume 31/08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%SìNo
March 31, 202744%SìNo
$6 Mln Volume 01/07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
1%
probabilità
Sì No
$6.476 Volume 31/08
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%SìNo
October 318%SìNo
$1,1 Mln Volume 31/12
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
14%
probabilità
Sì No
$115.486 Volume 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%SìNo
August 311%SìNo
$6,3 Mln Volume 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
probabilità
Sì No
$64.734 Volume 31/12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
1%
probabilità
Sì No
$967 Volume 31/08
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%SìNo
September 303%SìNo
$152.214 Volume 01/01
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
7%
probabilità
Sì No
$606.403 Volume 31/12
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%SìNo
SvizzeraSvizzera3%SìNo
$571 Volume 31/12
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2297%
August 3194%
$508 Volume 31/08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202611%
$494 Volume 01/01
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2169%
August 2897%
$351 Volume 5 giorni rimanenti
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$200 Volume 31/12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
probabilità
Sì No
$143 Volume 31/08
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
4%
probabilità
Sì No
$118 Volume 31/12
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Russia coup attempt in 2026?
7%
probabilità
Sì No
$126.306 Volume 31/12
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$261.814 Volume 01/01
Ukraine election called by...?Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 202616%SìNo
August 31, 20261%SìNo
$1,8 Mln Volume 01/01
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 202550%SìNo
December 31, 20264%SìNo
$2,6 Mln Volume 01/01
U.S. nuclear test by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20264%SìNo
September 30, 20261%SìNo
$794.139 Volume 01/01
Ukraine election held by...?Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 202550%SìNo
December 31, 20266%SìNo
$2,5 Mln Volume 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 316%SìNo
September 303%SìNo
$526.571 Volume 01/01
Ukraine coup attempt by...?Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 312%
June 301%
$169.337 Volume 01/01
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
September 307%SìNo
December 315%SìNo
$660.817 Volume 01/01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
probabilità
Sì No
$30 Volume 31/12
Another NATO article 4 by...?Another NATO article 4 by...?
December 3131%SìNo
October 3114%SìNo
$156.523 Volume 01/01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
6%
probabilità
Sì No
$20 Volume 31/12
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
8%
probabilità
Sì No
$20 Volume 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
4%
probabilità
Sì No
$20 Volume 31/12
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 311%
August 318%
$12 Volume 31/08
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
August 311%
June 301%
$10 Volume 01/09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
7%
probabilità
Sì No
$967 Volume 31/12
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
8%
probabilità
Sì No
$114.185 Volume 31/12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 3111%SìNo
August 311%SìNo
$912.188 Volume 01/01
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 202550%SìNo
December 31, 20265%SìNo
$481.002 Volume 01/01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
6%
probabilità
Sì No
$85.358 Volume 31/12
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
2%
probabilità
Sì No
$53.457 Volume 31/12
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
June 301%
December 315%
$461.840 Volume 01/01
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
9%
probabilità
Sì No
$32.487 Volume 31/12
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
7%
probabilità
Sì No
$2.565 Volume 01/01
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