Mercados de Predicción: Guerra de Ucrania

53 mercados activos

Ukraine war prediction markets — ceasefire, territory and Western support

¿Putin fuera de la presidencia de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?¿Putin fuera de la presidencia de Rusia para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
June 30, 202714%SíNo
December 31, 20268%SíNo
$68 mil Vol 01/07
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%SíNo
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%SíNo
$6,2 M Vol 01/01
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%SíNo
October 3115%SíNo
$5,9 M Vol 01/01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$17,8 mil Vol 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%SíNo
ChinaChina46%SíNo
$16,4 mil Vol 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%SíNo
September 3010%SíNo
$382,8 mil Vol 01/01
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Donald TuskDonald Tusk86%SíNo
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen70%SíNo
$351,2 mil Vol 31/12
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3186%SíNo
October 3177%SíNo
$6,9 mil Vol 31/12
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2559%SíNo
August 2642%SíNo
$6,2 mil Vol 31/08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
1%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$6 mil Vol 31/08
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
August 311%SíNo
July 171%SíNo
$428,6 mil Vol 31/08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 mil Vol 01/01
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 311%
September 302%
$477,6 mil Vol 30/09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202758%SíNo
March 31, 202744%SíNo
$6 M Vol 01/07
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%SíNo
September 302%SíNo
$152 mil Vol 01/01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$6 mil Vol 31/12
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%SíNo
October 318%SíNo
$1,1 M Vol 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%SíNo
August 311%SíNo
$6,3 M Vol 01/01
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%SíNo
SuizaSuiza3%SíNo
$975 Vol 31/12
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$64,7 mil Vol 31/12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
1%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$967 Vol 31/08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
7%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$606,3 mil Vol 31/12
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
15%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$115,1 mil Vol 31/12
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2294%
August 3194%
$493 Vol 31/08
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2177%
August 2894%
$381 Vol 5 días restantes
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
8%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$161 Vol 31/12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$129 Vol 31/08
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
4%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$118 Vol 31/12
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Russia coup attempt in 2026?
7%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$126,3 mil Vol 31/12
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
9%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$100 Vol 31/12
Ukraine election called by...?Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 202616%SíNo
August 31, 20261%SíNo
$1,8 M Vol 01/01
U.S. nuclear test by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20264%SíNo
September 30, 20261%SíNo
$794,1 mil Vol 01/01
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 202550%SíNo
December 31, 20265%SíNo
$481 mil Vol 01/01
Ukraine coup attempt by...?Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 312%
June 301%
$169,3 mil Vol 01/01
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
December 315%SíNo
September 305%SíNo
$660,8 mil Vol 01/01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$30 Vol 31/12
Another NATO article 4 by...?Another NATO article 4 by...?
December 3131%SíNo
October 3114%SíNo
$156,5 mil Vol 01/01
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 311%
August 318%
$22 Vol 31/08
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
6%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$20 Vol 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
4%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$20 Vol 31/12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
7%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$967 Vol 31/12
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 202550%SíNo
December 31, 20264%SíNo
$2,6 M Vol 01/01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
8%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$114,2 mil Vol 31/12
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
2%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$53,5 mil Vol 31/12
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
3%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$1,2 M Vol 31/12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 3111%SíNo
August 311%SíNo
$912,2 mil Vol 01/01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
6%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$85,4 mil Vol 31/12
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
August 311%
June 301%
$124,6 mil Vol 01/09
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
7%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$2,6 mil Vol 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 316%SíNo
September 303%SíNo
$526,5 mil Vol 01/01
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
June 301%
December 315%
$461,8 mil Vol 01/01
Ukraine election held by...?Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 202550%SíNo
December 31, 20266%SíNo
$2,5 M Vol 01/01
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$261,7 mil Vol 01/01
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