Prognosemärkte: Ukraine-Krieg

53 aktive Märkte

Ukraine war prediction markets — ceasefire, territory and Western support

Putin bis 31. Dezember 2026 nicht mehr Präsident Russlands?Putin bis 31. Dezember 2026 nicht mehr Präsident Russlands?
June 30, 202714%JaNein
December 31, 20268%JaNein
$74,4 Tsd. Vol 01/07
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%JaNein
October 3114%JaNein
$6 Mio. Vol 01/01
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%JaNein
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%JaNein
$6,2 Mio. Vol 01/01
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
ChinaChina54%JaNein
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3145%JaNein
$25,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
Chance
Ja Nein
$17,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%JaNein
September 3010%JaNein
$383,1 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen70%JaNein
Mark RutteMark Rutte67%JaNein
$351,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2561%JaNein
August 2641%JaNein
$6,9 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3187%JaNein
October 3181%JaNein
$5,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 311%
September 302%
$479,4 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16%
Chance
Ja Nein
$6,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
August 311%JaNein
July 171%JaNein
$428,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202756%JaNein
March 31, 202744%JaNein
$6 Mio. Vol 01/07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$6,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3117%JaNein
October 318%JaNein
$1,1 Mio. Vol 31/12
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
14%
Chance
Ja Nein
$115,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 313%JaNein
August 311%JaNein
$6,3 Mio. Vol 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$64,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$967 Vol 31/08
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3149%JaNein
September 303%JaNein
$152,2 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$606,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202794%JaNein
SchweizSchweiz3%JaNein
$571 Vol 31/12
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2297%
August 3194%
$508 Vol 31/08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202611%
$494 Vol 01/01
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 2169%
August 2897%
$351 Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
3%
Chance
Ja Nein
$200 Vol 31/12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$143 Vol 31/08
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$118 Vol 31/12
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Russia coup attempt in 2026?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$126,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
December 317%
June 301%
$261,8 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Ukraine election called by...?Ukraine election called by...?
December 31, 202616%JaNein
August 31, 20261%JaNein
$1,8 Mio. Vol 01/01
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 202550%JaNein
December 31, 20264%JaNein
$2,6 Mio. Vol 01/01
U.S. nuclear test by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20264%JaNein
September 30, 20261%JaNein
$794,1 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Ukraine election held by...?Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 202550%JaNein
December 31, 20266%JaNein
$2,5 Mio. Vol 01/01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 316%JaNein
September 303%JaNein
$526,6 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Ukraine coup attempt by...?Ukraine coup attempt by...?
December 312%
June 301%
$169,3 Tsd. Vol 01/01
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
September 307%JaNein
December 315%JaNein
$660,8 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
5%
Chance
Ja Nein
$30 Vol 31/12
Another NATO article 4 by...?Another NATO article 4 by...?
December 3131%JaNein
October 3114%JaNein
$156,5 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$20 Vol 31/12
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
8%
Chance
Ja Nein
$20 Vol 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$20 Vol 31/12
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 311%
August 318%
$12 Vol 31/08
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
August 311%
June 301%
$10 Vol 01/09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$967 Vol 31/12
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
8%
Chance
Ja Nein
$114,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 3111%JaNein
August 311%JaNein
$912,2 Tsd. Vol 01/01
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 202550%JaNein
December 31, 20265%JaNein
$481 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$85,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
2%
Chance
Ja Nein
$53,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
June 301%
December 315%
$461,8 Tsd. Vol 01/01
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
9%
Chance
Ja Nein
$32,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$2,6 Tsd. Vol 01/01
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