金融预测市场

金融预测市场定价重大资金问题 - 一家公司会IPO吗，联邦几次降息，哪家公司市值最大，以及是否会发生经济衰退。Polymarket将每个问题转化为您可以交易的实时概率，例如年末经济衰退的30%机会。

这里的优势与真实投资相同：跟踪数据（利率预期、监管备案、财报）并在市场价格与证据不符时进行交易。

100 个活跃市场
排序
2026年8月WTI原油将达到多少？2026年8月WTI原油将达到多少？
↑ $9039%是否
↑ $9513%是否
$28.8万 成交量 01/09
美联储2026年降息几次？美联储2026年降息几次？
0 (0 bps)86%是否
1 (25 bps)10%是否
$4,948.8万 成交量 31/12
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA93%是否
AppleApple5%是否
$16万 成交量 30/09
2026年8月黄金将达到多少？2026年8月黄金将达到多少？
↑ $4,70083%是否
↓ $4,0001%是否
$7.8万 成交量 01/09
Anthropic的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？Anthropic的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$1.25T98%是否
↑$1.5T94%是否
$7万 成交量 01/01
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA98%是否
AppleApple2%是否
$16万 成交量 31/08
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%是否
September 202614%是否
$7.4万 成交量 31/12
Anthropic IPO by __?Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 202691%是否
October 31, 202682%是否
$194.4万 成交量 01/07
2026 年按市值计算最大的 IPO？2026 年按市值计算最大的 IPO？
SpaceXSpaceX63%是否
AnthropicAnthropic36%是否
$553万 成交量 31/12
What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $187.5096%是否
↑ $19088%是否
$2.3万 成交量 还剩 5 天
WTI原油在___前创历史新高？WTI原油在___前创历史新高？
December 3113%是否
September 302%是否
$270.8万 成交量 01/01
STRC hits $100 by…STRC hits $100 by…
December 3172%是否
September 3044%是否
$2万 成交量 01/01
Anthropic IPO 收盘市值Anthropic IPO 收盘市值
$1.75–$2.0T18%是否
$2.0–$2.25T17%是否
$2.2万 成交量 31/12
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $107.5097%是否
↓ $10582%是否
$1.5万 成交量 还剩 5 天
8月24日S&P 500 Opens涨还是跌？8月24日S&P 500 Opens涨还是跌？
Up6%
Down94%
$1.4万 成交量 今日截止
Bank of England decision in September?Bank of England decision in September?
No change92%是否
25 bps increase9%是否
$1.4万 成交量 17/09
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $18693%是否
↑ $18875%是否
$1.1万 成交量 还剩 5 天
12月底前黄金将达到什么价格？12月底前黄金将达到什么价格？
↑ $5,00064%是否
↑ $4,50050%是否
$1.1万 成交量 31/12
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $76598%是否
↓ $76077%是否
$8,745 成交量 还剩 5 天
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $48083%是否
↑ $487.5081%是否
$8,644 成交量 还剩 5 天
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $36091%是否
↑ $367.5077%是否
$8,641 成交量 还剩 5 天
Oura IPO 收盘市值Oura IPO 收盘市值
No IPO before January 202715%是否
$10B–$12.5B14%是否
$22.5万 成交量 01/01
8月24日WTI原油收盘高于___？8月24日WTI原油收盘高于___？
$8298%是否
$8397%是否
$7,998 成交量 今日截止
What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $96099%是否
↓ $93095%是否
$7,911 成交量 还剩 5 天
8月24日标普500涨还是跌？8月24日标普500涨还是跌？
Up35%
Down65%
$7,277 成交量 今日截止
Fed rate hike by...?Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting41%是否
September Meeting31%是否
$1.3万 成交量 29/10
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↑ $4,70079%是否
↑ $4,75050%是否
$6,956 成交量 还剩 5 天
OpenAI IPO 收盘市值OpenAI IPO 收盘市值
No IPO by December 31, 202686%是否
1.5T+6%是否
$7,051 成交量 01/01
8月24日黄金涨还是跌？8月24日黄金涨还是跌？
Up86%
Down14%
$6,558 成交量 今日截止
8月24日SPY涨还是跌？8月24日SPY涨还是跌？
Up35%
Down65%
$6,326 成交量 今日截止
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in August 2026?What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in August 2026?
↑ $3.0019%是否
↑ $3.2011%是否
$6,030 成交量 01/09
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA73%是否
AppleApple14%是否
$16万 成交量 31/12
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $21287%是否
↑ $21666%是否
$5,957 成交量 还剩 5 天
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $17798%是否
↓ $17895%是否
$5,629 成交量 还剩 5 天
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $34589%是否
↓ $34080%是否
$5,532 成交量 还剩 5 天
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%是否
AlphabetAlphabet5%是否
$6,361 成交量 31/08
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↑ $9034%是否
↓ $8019%是否
$5,148 成交量 还剩 5 天
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↑ $7089%是否
↓ $6879%是否
$5,095 成交量 还剩 5 天
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%是否
AppleApple3%是否
$4,963 成交量 31/08
8月24日标普500收盘高于___？8月24日标普500收盘高于___？
$74597%是否
$75091%是否
$4,656 成交量 今日截止
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
SHEINSHEIN98%是否
AnthropicAnthropic90%是否
$4,541 成交量 31/12
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in August 2026?What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in August 2026?
↑ $23230%是否
↑ $24015%是否
$4,498 成交量 01/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%是否
$5.50-$6.0020%是否
$8,399 成交量 31/12
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↑ $26091%是否
↓ $25676%是否
$4,186 成交量 还剩 5 天
Anthropic IPO 收盘市值 (中间区间)Anthropic IPO 收盘市值 (中间区间)
1.8T+77%是否
1.5–1.8T14%是否
$2.2万 成交量 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%是否
$1.75–$2.00T34%是否
$1.5万 成交量 31/12
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$31.9万 成交量 31/12
8月24日Silver涨还是跌？8月24日Silver涨还是跌？
Up58%
Down42%
$3,054 成交量 今日截止
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in August 2026?What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in August 2026?
↑ $7250%是否
↓ $562%是否
$4,059 成交量 01/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$12.8万 成交量 01/01
Meta’s Market Cap end of September 2026?Meta’s Market Cap end of September 2026?
$1.25-$1.50T55%是否
$1.50-$1.75T33%是否
$3,626 成交量 30/09
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↑ $2.8099%是否
↑ $2.9053%是否
$2,572 成交量 还剩 5 天
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
15%
概率
是 否
$11.5万 成交量 31/12
Fed rate cut by...?Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting13%是否
October Meeting5%是否
$317.4万 成交量 08/01
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $17790%是否
↑ $18069%是否
$2,363 成交量 还剩 5 天
8月24日WTI原油涨还是跌？8月24日WTI原油涨还是跌？
Up19%
Down81%
$2,362 成交量 今日截止
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings? Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?
72%
概率
是 否
$2,115 成交量 还剩 3 天
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%是否
$6.00-$6.5027%是否
$8,399 成交量 31/10
在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？
PayPalPayPal46%是否
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%是否
$1,818万 成交量 31/12
Bank of Russia decision in September?Bank of Russia decision in September?
No Change67%是否
Decrease33%是否
$2,227 成交量 11/09
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%是否
$0.75-$1.0024%是否
$1,687 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%是否
$5.50-$6.0022%是否
$8,399 成交量 30/09
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%是否
$5.00-$5.5025%是否
$2,872 成交量 31/08
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $55079%是否
↑ $56072%是否
$1,524 成交量 还剩 5 天
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in August 2026?What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in August 2026?
↑ $37555%是否
↑ $39017%是否
$1,447 成交量 01/09
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $7295%是否
↓ $7081%是否
$1,445 成交量 还剩 5 天
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↑ $31287%是否
↓ $30879%是否
$1,436 成交量 还剩 5 天
Kraken的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？Kraken的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$12.5B35%是否
↑$15B32%是否
$1,647 成交量 01/01
Perplexity的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？Perplexity的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$25B55%是否
↑$20B54%是否
$1,403 成交量 01/01
OpenAI在___前IPO？OpenAI在___前IPO？
December 31, 202617%是否
September 30, 20261%是否
$287.5万 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0028%是否
$4.00-$4.5027%是否
$2,872 成交量 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
概率
是 否
$1,238 成交量 31/12
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,232 成交量 01/01
2026年8月标普500将达到多少？2026年8月标普500将达到多少？
↑ $78019%是否
↑ $7904%是否
$1,137 成交量 01/09
8月24日Amazon涨还是跌？8月24日Amazon涨还是跌？
Up56%
Down44%
$1,120 成交量 今日截止
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0026%是否
$3.00+24%是否
$2,617 成交量 31/10
Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings? Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?
88%
概率
是 否
$1,054 成交量 还剩 4 天
Meta’s Market Cap end of August 2026?Meta’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
$1.25-$1.50T80%是否
$1.00-$1.25T10%是否
$3,626 成交量 31/08
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in August 2026?What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in August 2026?
↓ $3.0020%是否
↑ $6.0010%是否
$1,020 成交量 01/09
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.0T–$1.25T23%是否
$1.25T–$1.5T22%是否
$7.7万 成交量 01/07
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↑ $8096%是否
↑ $82.5045%是否
$1,003 成交量 还剩 5 天
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%是否
$0.50-$0.5525%是否
$1,560 成交量 31/10
OpenAI的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？OpenAI的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$900B89%是否
↑$1.0T71%是否
$879 成交量 01/01
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in August 2026?What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in August 2026?
↓ $953%是否
↓ $1002%是否
$859 成交量 01/09
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%是否
AlphabetAlphabet37%是否
$6,361 成交量 31/12
Epic Games的估值会在8月31日前达到__吗？Epic Games的估值会在8月31日前达到__吗？
↓$11B57%是否
↑$12.75B50%是否
$1,011 成交量 01/09
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Will GameStop acquire eBay?
7%
概率
是 否
$284.1万 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0037%是否
$3.00-$3.2526%是否
$2,617 成交量 31/08
Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings? Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings?
92%
概率
是 否
$801 成交量 还剩 3 天
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings? Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?
89%
概率
是 否
$794 成交量 还剩 3 天
8月24日Apple涨还是跌？8月24日Apple涨还是跌？
Up69%
Down31%
$793 成交量 今日截止
Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
$1.75-$2.00T31%是否
$1.50-$1.75T24%是否
$807 成交量 30/09
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs62%是否
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley29%是否
$5.1万 成交量 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%是否
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat13%是否
$22.8万 成交量 31/12
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of August 24 2026?What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of August 24 2026?
↓ $3.5097%是否
↑ $3.7552%是否
$714 成交量 还剩 5 天
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings? Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?
88%
概率
是 否
$699 成交量 还剩 4 天
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%是否
$2.75-$3.0019%是否
$2,617 成交量 30/09
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings? Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?
92%
概率
是 否
$636 成交量 还剩 3 天
8月24日NVIDIA涨还是跌？8月24日NVIDIA涨还是跌？
Up50%
Down50%
$603 成交量 今日截止
Will JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings? Will JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?
81%
概率
是 否
$583 成交量 还剩 3 天
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金融市场常见问题

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金融市场如何结算？

根据官方数据或事件 - IPO定价、FOMC声明、财报数据 - 在规定日期之前。请在规则中查看结算来源。

联邦利率市场如何运作？

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