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AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%是否
OpenAIOpenAI2%是否
$17.8万 成交量 还剩 7 天
Anthropic的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？Anthropic的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$1.25T98%是否
↑$1.5T94%是否
$6.5万 成交量 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%是否
September 202614%是否
$7.4万 成交量 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%是否
October 3158%是否
$26.1万 成交量 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%是否
Z.aiZ.ai4%是否
$2.2万 成交量 还剩 7 天
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%是否
September 3081%是否
$1.6万 成交量 01/10
Anthropic IPO 收盘市值Anthropic IPO 收盘市值
$1.75–$2.0T19%是否
$2.0–$2.25T17%是否
$2万 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%是否
Z.aiZ.ai28%是否
$2.4万 成交量 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%是否
CATLCATL19%是否
$18.7万 成交量 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%是否
claude-opus-5-max3%是否
$1.8万 成交量 今日截止
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%是否
OpenAIOpenAI5%是否
$17.8万 成交量 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%是否
November 30, 202660%是否
$155.4万 成交量 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%是否
October 3182%是否
$7,738 成交量 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%是否
12-1545%是否
$7,616 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%是否
MoonshotMoonshot30%是否
$2.4万 成交量 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%是否
September 21–September 276%是否
$1.3万 成交量 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$4.2万 成交量 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%是否
xAIxAI12%是否
$17.8万 成交量 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%是否
claude-opus-5-max45%是否
$1.8万 成交量 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%是否
MoonshotMoonshot43%是否
$6,308 成交量 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%是否
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%是否
$6,337 成交量 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%是否
September 3078%是否
$32.5万 成交量 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%是否
September 3039%是否
$4.8万 成交量 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%是否
MoonshotMoonshot14%是否
$2.2万 成交量 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%是否
AlibabaAlibaba11%是否
$5,495 成交量 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%是否
5-78%是否
$4,348 成交量 31/08
Anthropic IPO 收盘市值 (中间区间)Anthropic IPO 收盘市值 (中间区间)
1.8T+77%是否
1.5–1.8T14%是否
$2万 成交量 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%是否
$1.75–$2.00T33%是否
$1.5万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%是否
OpenAIOpenAI6%是否
$17.8万 成交量 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$31.9万 成交量 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%是否
August 272%是否
$6,209 成交量 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%是否
55%+48%是否
$4.6万 成交量 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%是否
September 305%是否
$6,209 成交量 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%是否
OpenAIOpenAI35%是否
$3,527 成交量 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%是否
MetaMeta23%是否
$3,358 成交量 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
概率
是 否
$18.7万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%是否
OpenAIOpenAI14%是否
$6,211 成交量 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$12.8万 成交量 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%是否
55%+45%是否
$4.4万 成交量 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%是否
50%+56%是否
$4万 成交量 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%是否
claude-opus-5-max33%是否
$1.8万 成交量 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%是否
$5.50-$6.0020%是否
$4,468 成交量 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%是否
GoogleGoogle17%是否
$3,697 成交量 31/10
在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？
PayPalPayPal46%是否
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%是否
$1,818万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%是否
OpenAIOpenAI20%是否
$6,211 成交量 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%是否
OpenAIOpenAI2%是否
$6,211 成交量 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%是否
$0.75-$1.0024%是否
$1,713 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%是否
$5.00-$5.5021%是否
$2,976 成交量 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%是否
AlibabaAlibaba9%是否
$2,522 成交量 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%是否
40%+78%是否
$4.1万 成交量 31/12
Perplexity的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？Perplexity的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$25B62%是否
↑$22.5B60%是否
$1,641 成交量 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%是否
AlibabaAlibaba20%是否
$3,697 成交量 30/09
OpenAI的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？OpenAI的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$900B90%是否
↑$1.0T70%是否
$1,434 成交量 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%是否
MetaMeta10%是否
$1,906 成交量 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%是否
50%+61%是否
$2万 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%是否
MoonshotMoonshot28%是否
$2.4万 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%是否
$6.00-$6.5026%是否
$4,468 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%是否
$4.00-$4.5027%是否
$2,976 成交量 31/10
OpenAI在___前IPO？OpenAI在___前IPO？
December 31, 202616%是否
September 30, 20261%是否
$287.5万 成交量 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%是否
September 1585%是否
$2,439 成交量 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,232 成交量 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%是否
$0.50-$0.5530%是否
$2,224 成交量 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%是否
ByteDanceByteDance5%是否
$1,626 成交量 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%是否
$3.00+24%是否
$2,124 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%是否
$0.45-$0.5032%是否
$2,224 成交量 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%是否
September 3038%是否
$112.3万 成交量 01/11
Databricks的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？Databricks的估值会在12月31日前达到__吗？
↑$200B87%是否
↑$225B78%是否
$1,374 成交量 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%是否
OpenAIOpenAI4%是否
$799 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%是否
MetaMeta1%是否
$6,337 成交量 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%是否
$5.50-$6.0022%是否
$4,468 成交量 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%是否
1490+71%是否
$11万 成交量
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%是否
60%+27%是否
$2.2万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%是否
OpenAIOpenAI33%是否
$731 成交量 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 成交量 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%是否
$3.00-$3.2526%是否
$2,124 成交量 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%是否
MoonshotMoonshot26%是否
$1,199 成交量 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%是否
MoonshotMoonshot24%是否
$1,638 成交量 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%是否
45%+89%是否
$566 成交量 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%是否
$ANT9%是否
$7.7万 成交量 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%是否
Z.aiZ.ai29%是否
$1,638 成交量 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%是否
1490+28%是否
$6万 成交量
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%是否
Z.aiZ.ai30%是否
$1,638 成交量 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,528 成交量 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%是否
OpenAIOpenAI10%是否
$2,522 成交量 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%是否
AnthropicAnthropic33%是否
$552 成交量 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%是否
AlibabaAlibaba33%是否
$5,495 成交量 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%是否
OpenAIOpenAI23%是否
$680 成交量 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%是否
ByteDanceByteDance7%是否
$1,626 成交量 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%是否
GoogleGoogle30%是否
$3,358 成交量 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%是否
1505+54%是否
$431 成交量 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%是否
OpenAIOpenAI14%是否
$3,527 成交量 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%是否
MoonshotMoonshot10%是否
$6,308 成交量 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%是否
MoonshotMoonshot9%是否
$1,199 成交量 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%是否
MetaMeta15%是否
$1,906 成交量 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%是否
GoogleGoogle5%是否
$757 成交量 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%是否
$2.75-$3.0019%是否
$2,124 成交量 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%是否
AnthropicAnthropic3%是否
$2,522 成交量 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%是否
San Diego, CA93%是否
$385 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%是否
$6.00-$6.5025%是否
$4,468 成交量 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%是否
GoogleGoogle41%是否
$3,697 成交量 31/08
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