科技预测市场

科技预测市场让您交易行业的未来 - 哪个人工智能模型将会发布，某家公司是否会达到财报或发布目标，谁收购谁，以及人工智能竞赛如何展开。每个 Polymarket 的价格都是一个实时概率，比如某个产品在年底前发布的机会为 65%。

科技行业的动态依赖于公告 - 主题演讲、发布和财报电话会议。如果您密切关注这个领域，您的优势在于比大众更好地了解真实的时间表。

100 个活跃市场
排序
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%是否
September 3091%是否
$22.2万 成交量 01/07
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%是否
OpenAIOpenAI2%是否
$18.7万 成交量 还剩 7 天
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA93%是否
AppleApple5%是否
$16万 成交量 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA98%是否
AppleApple2%是否
$16万 成交量 31/08
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%是否
October 3157%是否
$26.1万 成交量 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%是否
Z.aiZ.ai4%是否
$2.3万 成交量 还剩 7 天
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%是否
OpenAIOpenAI5%是否
$18.7万 成交量 30/09
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3186%是否
September 3076%是否
$1.3万 成交量 01/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3195%是否
August 272%是否
$1.4万 成交量 01/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%是否
CATLCATL20%是否
$18.5万 成交量 30/06
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot52%是否
Z.aiZ.ai34%是否
$1.6万 成交量 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%是否
November 30, 202660%是否
$154.9万 成交量 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%是否
12-1544%是否
$7,464 成交量 31/12
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%是否
September 3076%是否
$32.3万 成交量 01/11
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high94%是否
claude-opus-5-max4%是否
$1.5万 成交量 今日截止
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%是否
October 3182%是否
$6,485 成交量 01/01
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA73%是否
AppleApple14%是否
$16万 成交量 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high53%是否
claude-opus-5-max46%是否
$1.5万 成交量 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI49%是否
MoonshotMoonshot25%是否
$6,083 成交量 30/09
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%是否
AlphabetAlphabet5%是否
$6,361 成交量 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%是否
xAIxAI12%是否
$18.7万 成交量 31/12
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3160%是否
September 3038%是否
$4.8万 成交量 01/11
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 155%是否
October 5–October 1115%是否
$1.1万 成交量 01/11
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%是否
AppleApple3%是否
$4,963 成交量 31/08
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot79%是否
AlibabaAlibaba8%是否
$4,940 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%是否
OpenAIOpenAI5%是否
$18.7万 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%是否
$5.50-$6.0020%是否
$8,399 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai59%是否
MoonshotMoonshot35%是否
$1.6万 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI84%是否
Black Forest LabsBlack Forest Labs30%是否
$5,171 成交量 31/10
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%是否
5-77%是否
$4,075 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic96%是否
OpenAIOpenAI2%是否
$8,057 成交量 31/08
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%是否
Z.aiZ.ai16%是否
$2.3万 成交量 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%是否
On or prior to September 15%是否
$1.4万 成交量 01/10
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+80%是否
55%+53%是否
$4.4万 成交量 31/12
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%是否
MetaMeta10%是否
$3,769 成交量 31/08
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%是否
55%+47%是否
$4.4万 成交量 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%是否
50%+56%是否
$4万 成交量 31/12
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
概率
是 否
$18.7万 成交量 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%是否
OpenAIOpenAI35%是否
$3,529 成交量 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$12.8万 成交量 01/01
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%是否
OpenAIOpenAI14%是否
$8,057 成交量 30/09
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours90%是否
<1 hour6%是否
$2,264 成交量 31/08
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta47%是否
GoogleGoogle30%是否
$4,481 成交量 30/09
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT61%是否
7 Brew Coffee7 Brew Coffee26%是否
$2,188 成交量 还剩 5 天
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%是否
claude-opus-5-max37%是否
$1.5万 成交量 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%是否
$6.00-$6.5027%是否
$8,399 成交量 31/10
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%是否
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%是否
$1,896 成交量 还剩 5 天
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle29%是否
MetaMeta19%是否
$4,481 成交量 31/10
在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？
PayPalPayPal46%是否
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%是否
$1,818万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic78%是否
OpenAIOpenAI21%是否
$8,057 成交量 31/10
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3042%是否
August 3111%是否
$1,724 成交量 01/10
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%是否
$0.75-$1.0024%是否
$1,687 成交量 31/10
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1586%是否
September 3081%是否
$1,656 成交量 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%是否
$5.50-$6.0022%是否
$8,399 成交量 30/09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%是否
June 30, 202732%是否
$109.6万 成交量 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle88%是否
AlibabaAlibaba6%是否
$2,434 成交量 30/09
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta35%是否
GoogleGoogle27%是否
$2,495 成交量 31/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3168%是否
September 3036%是否
$112.2万 成交量 01/11
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%是否
$5.00-$5.5025%是否
$2,872 成交量 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+80%是否
40%+78%是否
$4.1万 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%是否
MoonshotMoonshot28%是否
$1.6万 成交量 31/10
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
概率
是 否
$70.6万 成交量 19/11
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%是否
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%是否
$1,503 成交量 还剩 5 天
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%是否
50%+61%是否
$2万 成交量 31/12
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla91%是否
Texas58%是否
$3,473 成交量 还剩 7 天
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%是否
1490+28%是否
$6万 成交量
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0028%是否
$4.00-$4.5027%是否
$2,872 成交量 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
概率
是 否
$1,238 成交量 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
August 2256%
August 3143%
$2,409 成交量 01/09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
86%
概率
是 否
$28.4万 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0026%是否
$3.00+24%是否
$2,617 成交量 31/10
Third-best AI Lab end of August?Third-best AI Lab end of August?
MetaMeta77%是否
GoogleGoogle11%是否
$2,966 成交量 31/08
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%是否
$0.50-$0.5525%是否
$1,560 成交量 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%是否
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI1%是否
$5,171 成交量 31/08
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202714%
$4.8万 成交量 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%是否
AlphabetAlphabet37%是否
$6,361 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0037%是否
$3.00-$3.2526%是否
$2,617 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%是否
OpenAIOpenAI2%是否
$799 成交量 31/08
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%是否
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat13%是否
$22.8万 成交量 31/12
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%是否
60%+27%是否
$2.2万 成交量 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%是否
Rigetti78%是否
$17.3万 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%是否
$2.75-$3.0019%是否
$2,617 成交量 30/09
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic74%是否
GoogleGoogle11%是否
$940 成交量 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%是否
OpenAIOpenAI33%是否
$763 成交量 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+89%是否
1490+71%是否
$11万 成交量
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%是否
1505+54%是否
$629 成交量 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%是否
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%是否
$16万 成交量 31/12
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%是否
MoonshotMoonshot26%是否
$1,284 成交量 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+90%是否
45%+89%是否
$587 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%是否
$0.45-$0.5029%是否
$1,560 成交量 31/08
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3115%
September 3054%
$564 成交量 01/10
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 152047%是否
↑ 153027%是否
$735 成交量 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%是否
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%是否
$8.9万 成交量 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot50%是否
GoogleGoogle43%是否
$2,495 成交量 31/08
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
2%
概率
是 否
$5.3万 成交量 31/08
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot37%是否
Z.aiZ.ai29%是否
$1,027 成交量 31/10
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+88%是否
60%+64%是否
$6.7万 成交量 31/12
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%是否
OpenAIOpenAI10%是否
$2,434 成交量 31/10
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%是否
$ANT10%是否
$7.7万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%是否
AnthropicAnthropic33%是否
$552 成交量 30/09
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