Mercati di Previsione Tecnologica

I mercati di previsione tecnologica ti permettono di fare trading sul futuro del settore - quale sarà il prossimo modello AI a uscire, se un'azienda centra un obiettivo di utili o di lancio, chi acquisisce chi e come si sviluppa la corsa all'AI. Ogni prezzo di Polymarket è una probabilità live, ad esempio una probabilità del 65% che un prodotto esca entro fine anno.

La tecnologia si muove sugli annunci: keynote, rilasci e call sui risultati. Se segui da vicino il settore, il tuo vantaggio è conoscere le tempistiche reali meglio del resto del mercato.

100 mercati attivi
Ordina
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%SìNo
September 3091%SìNo
$221.760 Volume 01/07
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$187.036 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA93%SìNo
AppleApple5%SìNo
$160.355 Volume 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA98%SìNo
AppleApple2%SìNo
$160.355 Volume 31/08
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%SìNo
October 3157%SìNo
$260.620 Volume 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai4%SìNo
$22.550 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI5%SìNo
$187.036 Volume 30/09
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3186%SìNo
September 3076%SìNo
$12.579 Volume 01/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3195%SìNo
August 272%SìNo
$14.127 Volume 01/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%SìNo
CATLCATL20%SìNo
$185.370 Volume 30/06
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot52%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai34%SìNo
$15.687 Volume 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%SìNo
November 30, 202660%SìNo
$1,5 Mln Volume 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%SìNo
12-1544%SìNo
$7.464 Volume 31/12
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%SìNo
September 3076%SìNo
$323.020 Volume 01/11
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high94%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max4%SìNo
$14.658 Volume Termina oggi
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%SìNo
October 3182%SìNo
$6.485 Volume 01/01
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA73%SìNo
AppleApple14%SìNo
$160.355 Volume 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high53%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max46%SìNo
$14.658 Volume 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI49%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot25%SìNo
$6.083 Volume 30/09
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%SìNo
AlphabetAlphabet5%SìNo
$6.361 Volume 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%SìNo
xAIxAI12%SìNo
$187.036 Volume 31/12
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3160%SìNo
September 3038%SìNo
$48.156 Volume 01/11
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 155%SìNo
October 5–October 1115%SìNo
$11.009 Volume 01/11
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%SìNo
AppleApple3%SìNo
$4.963 Volume 31/08
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot79%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba8%SìNo
$4.940 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI5%SìNo
$187.036 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0020%SìNo
$8.399 Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai59%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot35%SìNo
$15.687 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI84%SìNo
Black Forest LabsBlack Forest Labs30%SìNo
$5.171 Volume 31/10
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%SìNo
5-77%SìNo
$4.075 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic96%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$8.057 Volume 31/08
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai16%SìNo
$22.550 Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%SìNo
On or prior to September 15%SìNo
$14.127 Volume 01/10
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+80%SìNo
55%+53%SìNo
$44.026 Volume 31/12
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%SìNo
MetaMeta10%SìNo
$3.769 Volume 31/08
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%SìNo
55%+47%SìNo
$43.565 Volume 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%SìNo
50%+56%SìNo
$40.204 Volume 31/12
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
probabilità
Sì No
$187.019 Volume 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI35%SìNo
$3.529 Volume 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127.811 Volume 01/01
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI14%SìNo
$8.057 Volume 30/09
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours90%SìNo
<1 hour6%SìNo
$2.264 Volume 31/08
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta47%SìNo
GoogleGoogle30%SìNo
$4.481 Volume 30/09
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT61%SìNo
7 Brew Coffee7 Brew Coffee26%SìNo
$2.188 Volume 5 giorni rimanenti
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max37%SìNo
$14.658 Volume 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SìNo
$6.00-$6.5027%SìNo
$8.399 Volume 31/10
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%SìNo
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%SìNo
$1.896 Volume 5 giorni rimanenti
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle29%SìNo
MetaMeta19%SìNo
$4.481 Volume 31/10
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%SìNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%SìNo
$18,2 Mln Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic78%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI21%SìNo
$8.057 Volume 31/10
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3042%SìNo
August 3111%SìNo
$1.724 Volume 01/10
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SìNo
$0.75-$1.0024%SìNo
$1.687 Volume 31/10
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1586%SìNo
September 3081%SìNo
$1.656 Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0022%SìNo
$8.399 Volume 30/09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%SìNo
June 30, 202732%SìNo
$1,1 Mln Volume 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle88%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba6%SìNo
$2.434 Volume 30/09
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta35%SìNo
GoogleGoogle27%SìNo
$2.495 Volume 31/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3168%SìNo
September 3036%SìNo
$1,1 Mln Volume 01/11
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%SìNo
$5.00-$5.5025%SìNo
$2.872 Volume 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+80%SìNo
40%+78%SìNo
$41.092 Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot28%SìNo
$15.687 Volume 31/10
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
probabilità
Sì No
$705.649 Volume 19/11
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%SìNo
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%SìNo
$1.503 Volume 5 giorni rimanenti
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%SìNo
50%+61%SìNo
$20.092 Volume 31/12
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla91%SìNo
Texas58%SìNo
$3.473 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%SìNo
1490+28%SìNo
$59.506 Volume
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0028%SìNo
$4.00-$4.5027%SìNo
$2.872 Volume 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$1.238 Volume 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
August 2256%
August 3143%
$2.409 Volume 01/09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
86%
probabilità
Sì No
$283.599 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0026%SìNo
$3.00+24%SìNo
$2.617 Volume 31/10
Third-best AI Lab end of August?Third-best AI Lab end of August?
MetaMeta77%SìNo
GoogleGoogle11%SìNo
$2.966 Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SìNo
$0.50-$0.5525%SìNo
$1.560 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%SìNo
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI1%SìNo
$5.171 Volume 31/08
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202714%
$47.954 Volume 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%SìNo
AlphabetAlphabet37%SìNo
$6.361 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0037%SìNo
$3.00-$3.2526%SìNo
$2.617 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$799 Volume 31/08
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%SìNo
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat13%SìNo
$227.578 Volume 31/12
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%SìNo
60%+27%SìNo
$21.971 Volume 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%SìNo
Rigetti78%SìNo
$173.025 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%SìNo
$2.75-$3.0019%SìNo
$2.617 Volume 30/09
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic74%SìNo
GoogleGoogle11%SìNo
$940 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI33%SìNo
$763 Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+89%SìNo
1490+71%SìNo
$109.797 Volume
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%SìNo
1505+54%SìNo
$629 Volume 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%SìNo
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%SìNo
$159.807 Volume 31/12
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot26%SìNo
$1.284 Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+90%SìNo
45%+89%SìNo
$587 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%SìNo
$0.45-$0.5029%SìNo
$1.560 Volume 31/08
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3115%
September 3054%
$564 Volume 01/10
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 152047%SìNo
↑ 153027%SìNo
$735 Volume 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%SìNo
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%SìNo
$88.935 Volume 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot50%SìNo
GoogleGoogle43%SìNo
$2.495 Volume 31/08
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
2%
probabilità
Sì No
$52.740 Volume 31/08
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot37%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai29%SìNo
$1.027 Volume 31/10
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+88%SìNo
60%+64%SìNo
$66.816 Volume 31/12
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI10%SìNo
$2.434 Volume 31/10
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%SìNo
$ANT10%SìNo
$77.378 Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%SìNo
AnthropicAnthropic33%SìNo
$552 Volume 30/09
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Uscite di modelli AI e prodotti, utili e traguardi delle big tech, IPO e acquisizioni, e la corsa all'AI in senso più ampio (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic e altri).

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