Rynki Prognoz Technologicznych

Rynki prognoz technologicznych pozwalają handlować przyszłością branży - który model AI zostanie wydany jako następny, czy firma osiągnie cel wynikowy lub termin premiery, kto kogo przejmuje i jak rozwija się wyścig AI. Każda cena na Polymarket to bieżące prawdopodobieństwo, jak 65% szans na to, że produkt zostanie wprowadzony przed końcem roku.

Technologia porusza się na podstawie ogłoszeń - prezentacji, premier i konferencji wynikowych. Jeśli śledzisz tę przestrzeń uważnie, twoją przewagą jest lepsza od reszty rynku znajomość rzeczywistych harmonogramów.

100 aktywnych rynków
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Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI2%TakNie
$198,7 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA88%TakNie
AppleApple9%TakNie
$194,5 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%TakNie
AppleApple4%TakNie
$194,5 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI5%TakNie
$198,7 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%TakNie
October 3158%TakNie
$261,4 tys. Wolumen 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%TakNie
Z.aiZ.ai4%TakNie
$22,2 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3184%TakNie
September 3081%TakNie
$16 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%TakNie
AppleApple14%TakNie
$194,5 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot43%TakNie
Z.aiZ.ai29%TakNie
$24,1 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%TakNie
CATLCATL19%TakNie
$186,9 tys. Wolumen 30/06
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%TakNie
November 30, 202660%TakNie
$1,6 mln Wolumen 01/01
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%TakNie
claude-opus-5-max3%TakNie
$18 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%TakNie
AppleApple4%TakNie
$9,2 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%TakNie
October 3182%TakNie
$8,6 tys. Wolumen 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%TakNie
12-1545%TakNie
$7,6 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai58%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot30%TakNie
$24,1 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$115,1 tys. Wolumen 01/01
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%TakNie
September 21–September 277%TakNie
$12,9 tys. Wolumen 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 tys. Wolumen 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple93%TakNie
AlphabetAlphabet6%TakNie
$6,9 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%TakNie
xAIxAI12%TakNie
$198,7 tys. Wolumen 31/12
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%TakNie
September 3039%TakNie
$49,1 tys. Wolumen 01/11
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%TakNie
claude-opus-5-max45%TakNie
$18 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
Z.aiZ.ai58%TakNie
StepFunStepFun24%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%TakNie
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%TakNie
$6 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot43%TakNie
$6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot14%TakNie
$22,2 tys. Wolumen 30/09
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%TakNie
September 3078%TakNie
$325,2 tys. Wolumen 01/11
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba11%TakNie
$5,6 tys. Wolumen 31/08
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%TakNie
September 3092%TakNie
$4,5 tys. Wolumen 01/07
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%TakNie
5-78%TakNie
$4,3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%TakNie
August 272%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 01/09
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba19%TakNie
$5,2 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
$800-$900B69%TakNie
$700-$800B16%TakNie
$3,2 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%TakNie
55%+49%TakNie
$46,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 20268%
December 31, 202770%
$63,5 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%TakNie
September 305%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 01/10
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%TakNie
MetaMeta23%TakNie
$3,3 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
82%
szansa
Tak Nie
$187 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%TakNie
55%+46%TakNie
$44,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot46%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI40%TakNie
$3,3 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%TakNie
June 30, 202732%TakNie
$1,1 mln Wolumen 01/01
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI14%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 30/09
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT51%TakNie
7 Brew Coffee7 Brew Coffee17%TakNie
$2,2 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours88%TakNie
<1 hour6%TakNie
$3,1 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI20%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%TakNie
50%+56%TakNie
$40,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%TakNie
claude-opus-5-max35%TakNie
$18 tys. Wolumen 07/09
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI6%TakNie
$198,7 tys. Wolumen 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%TakNie
$5.50-$6.0020%TakNie
$4,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3035%TakNie
August 3110%TakNie
$2 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai35%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot28%TakNie
$24,1 tys. Wolumen 31/10
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1572%TakNie
September 3072%TakNie
$1,8 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI2%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%TakNie
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%TakNie
$18,2 mln Wolumen 31/12
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba9%TakNie
$2,6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%TakNie
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%TakNie
$1,8 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%TakNie
$0.75-$1.0024%TakNie
$1,7 tys. Wolumen 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%TakNie
$5.00-$5.5021%TakNie
$3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
szansa
Tak Nie
$706,1 tys. Wolumen 19/11
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
87%
szansa
Tak Nie
$284,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%TakNie
40%+78%TakNie
$41,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba20%TakNie
$5,2 tys. Wolumen 30/09
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%TakNie
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%TakNie
$1,5 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%TakNie
MetaMeta10%TakNie
$1,9 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%TakNie
50%+61%TakNie
$20,5 tys. Wolumen 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%TakNie
$6.00-$6.5026%TakNie
$4,2 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+49%TakNie
60%+27%TakNie
$22,5 tys. Wolumen 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%TakNie
$4.00-$4.5027%TakNie
$3 tys. Wolumen 31/10
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%TakNie
September 1585%TakNie
$2,4 tys. Wolumen 01/09
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
szansa
Tak Nie
$1,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%TakNie
$0.50-$0.5530%TakNie
$2,3 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%TakNie
ByteDanceByteDance7%TakNie
$1,6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla90%TakNie
Texas58%TakNie
$3,1 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%TakNie
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%TakNie
$89,6 tys. Wolumen 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%TakNie
$3.00+24%TakNie
$2,1 tys. Wolumen 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%TakNie
$0.45-$0.5033%TakNie
$2,3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48,3 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+85%TakNie
1490+71%TakNie
$110,2 tys. Wolumen
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
6-12 hours34%TakNie
3-6 hours21%TakNie
$3,1 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
szansa
Tak Nie
$39,9 tys. Wolumen 30/06
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%TakNie
September 3038%TakNie
$1,1 mln Wolumen 01/11
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%TakNie
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat15%TakNie
$227,8 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI2%TakNie
$799 Wolumen 31/08
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot64%TakNie
Z.aiZ.ai29%TakNie
$1,5 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI33%TakNie
$681 Wolumen 30/09
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%TakNie
Rigetti81%TakNie
$173,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3124%
September 3054%
$623 Wolumen 01/10
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+91%TakNie
45%+90%TakNie
$580 Wolumen 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot24%TakNie
$1,5 tys. Wolumen 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%TakNie
$3.00-$3.2526%TakNie
$2,1 tys. Wolumen 31/08
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%TakNie
$ANT13%TakNie
$77,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%TakNie
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%TakNie
$159,8 tys. Wolumen 31/12
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%TakNie
1490+28%TakNie
$59,5 tys. Wolumen
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount77%TakNie
None by June 30, 202723%TakNie
$1,2 mln Wolumen 30/06
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple44%TakNie
AlphabetAlphabet32%TakNie
$6,9 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%TakNie
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI1%TakNie
$6 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%TakNie
AnthropicAnthropic33%TakNie
$552 Wolumen 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba33%TakNie
$5,6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
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FAQ Rynków Technologicznych

Jakie rynki technologiczne są na Polymarket?

Wydania modeli AI i produktów, wyniki Big Tech i kamienie milowe, IPO i przejęcia oraz szerszy wyścig AI (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic i inne).

Jak rozstrzygają się rynki technologiczne?

Na podstawie wyraźnego publicznego wydarzenia w określonym terminie - oficjalne wprowadzenie, raport wynikowy lub potwierdzona umowa. Przeczytaj zasady rozstrzygania, aby poznać dokładny wyzwalacz.

Gdzie jest przewaga na rynkach technologicznych?

Znajomość rzeczywistych dat wydania i wzorców wprowadzenia. Firmy rutynowo nie dotrzymują samodzielnie narzuconych terminów, więc realistyczne harmonogramy przewyższają hype.

Czy rynki 5-minutowe lub hype są warte handlu?

Krótkoterminowe rynki napędzane hype'em są zdominowane przez szybkich traderów i wahania wywołane wiadomościami. Początkujący radzą sobie lepiej na dłuższych rynkach kamieni milowych, gdzie badania się opłacają.

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