Pasar Prediksi Teknologi

Pasar prediksi teknologi memungkinkan Anda memperdagangkan masa depan industri - model AI mana yang akan diluncurkan berikutnya, apakah sebuah perusahaan mencapai target laba atau peluncuran, siapa yang mengakuisisi siapa, dan bagaimana perlombaan AI berkembang. Setiap harga Polymarket adalah probabilitas langsung, seperti 65% kemungkinan sebuah produk diluncurkan sebelum akhir tahun.

Teknologi bergerak berdasarkan pengumuman - keynote, rilis, dan paparan kinerja. Jika Anda mengikuti ruang ini dengan cermat, keunggulan Anda adalah mengetahui garis waktu yang sebenarnya lebih baik daripada kerumunan.

100 pasar aktif
Urutkan
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%YaTidak
September 3091%YaTidak
$221,8 rb Volume 01/07
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI2%YaTidak
$187 rb Volume 7 hari tersisa
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA93%YaTidak
AppleApple5%YaTidak
$160,4 rb Volume 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA98%YaTidak
AppleApple2%YaTidak
$160,4 rb Volume 31/08
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%YaTidak
October 3157%YaTidak
$260,6 rb Volume 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai4%YaTidak
$22,5 rb Volume 7 hari tersisa
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI5%YaTidak
$187 rb Volume 30/09
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3186%YaTidak
September 3076%YaTidak
$12,6 rb Volume 01/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3195%YaTidak
August 272%YaTidak
$14,1 rb Volume 01/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%YaTidak
CATLCATL20%YaTidak
$185,4 rb Volume 30/06
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot52%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai34%YaTidak
$15,7 rb Volume 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%YaTidak
November 30, 202660%YaTidak
$1,5 jt Volume 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%YaTidak
12-1544%YaTidak
$7,5 rb Volume 31/12
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%YaTidak
September 3076%YaTidak
$323 rb Volume 01/11
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high94%YaTidak
claude-opus-5-max4%YaTidak
$14,7 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%YaTidak
October 3182%YaTidak
$6,5 rb Volume 01/01
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA73%YaTidak
AppleApple14%YaTidak
$160,4 rb Volume 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high53%YaTidak
claude-opus-5-max46%YaTidak
$14,7 rb Volume 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI49%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot25%YaTidak
$6,1 rb Volume 30/09
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%YaTidak
AlphabetAlphabet5%YaTidak
$6,4 rb Volume 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%YaTidak
xAIxAI12%YaTidak
$187 rb Volume 31/12
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3160%YaTidak
September 3038%YaTidak
$48,2 rb Volume 01/11
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 155%YaTidak
October 5–October 1115%YaTidak
$11 rb Volume 01/11
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%YaTidak
AppleApple3%YaTidak
$5 rb Volume 31/08
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot79%YaTidak
AlibabaAlibaba8%YaTidak
$4,9 rb Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI5%YaTidak
$187 rb Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%YaTidak
$5.50-$6.0020%YaTidak
$8,4 rb Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai59%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot35%YaTidak
$15,7 rb Volume 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI84%YaTidak
Black Forest LabsBlack Forest Labs30%YaTidak
$5,2 rb Volume 31/10
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%YaTidak
5-77%YaTidak
$4,1 rb Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic96%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI2%YaTidak
$8,1 rb Volume 31/08
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai16%YaTidak
$22,5 rb Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%YaTidak
On or prior to September 15%YaTidak
$14,1 rb Volume 01/10
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+80%YaTidak
55%+53%YaTidak
$44 rb Volume 31/12
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%YaTidak
MetaMeta10%YaTidak
$3,8 rb Volume 31/08
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%YaTidak
55%+47%YaTidak
$43,6 rb Volume 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%YaTidak
50%+56%YaTidak
$40,2 rb Volume 31/12
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$187 rb Volume 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI35%YaTidak
$3,5 rb Volume 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 rb Volume 01/01
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI14%YaTidak
$8,1 rb Volume 30/09
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours90%YaTidak
<1 hour6%YaTidak
$2,3 rb Volume 31/08
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta47%YaTidak
GoogleGoogle30%YaTidak
$4,5 rb Volume 30/09
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT61%YaTidak
7 Brew Coffee7 Brew Coffee26%YaTidak
$2,2 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%YaTidak
claude-opus-5-max37%YaTidak
$14,7 rb Volume 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%YaTidak
$6.00-$6.5027%YaTidak
$8,4 rb Volume 31/10
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%YaTidak
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%YaTidak
$1,9 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle29%YaTidak
MetaMeta19%YaTidak
$4,5 rb Volume 31/10
Perusahaan mana yang akan diakuisisi sebelum 2027?Perusahaan mana yang akan diakuisisi sebelum 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%YaTidak
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%YaTidak
$18,2 jt Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic78%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI21%YaTidak
$8,1 rb Volume 31/10
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3042%YaTidak
August 3111%YaTidak
$1,7 rb Volume 01/10
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%YaTidak
$0.75-$1.0024%YaTidak
$1,7 rb Volume 31/10
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1586%YaTidak
September 3081%YaTidak
$1,7 rb Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%YaTidak
$5.50-$6.0022%YaTidak
$8,4 rb Volume 30/09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%YaTidak
June 30, 202732%YaTidak
$1,1 jt Volume 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle88%YaTidak
AlibabaAlibaba6%YaTidak
$2,4 rb Volume 30/09
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta35%YaTidak
GoogleGoogle27%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 31/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3168%YaTidak
September 3036%YaTidak
$1,1 jt Volume 01/11
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%YaTidak
$5.00-$5.5025%YaTidak
$2,9 rb Volume 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+80%YaTidak
40%+78%YaTidak
$41,1 rb Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot28%YaTidak
$15,7 rb Volume 31/10
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$705,6 rb Volume 19/11
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%YaTidak
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%YaTidak
$1,5 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%YaTidak
50%+61%YaTidak
$20,1 rb Volume 31/12
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla91%YaTidak
Texas58%YaTidak
$3,5 rb Volume 7 hari tersisa
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%YaTidak
1490+28%YaTidak
$59,5 rb Volume
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0028%YaTidak
$4.00-$4.5027%YaTidak
$2,9 rb Volume 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,2 rb Volume 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
August 2256%
August 3143%
$2,4 rb Volume 01/09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
86%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$283,6 rb Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0026%YaTidak
$3.00+24%YaTidak
$2,6 rb Volume 31/10
Third-best AI Lab end of August?Third-best AI Lab end of August?
MetaMeta77%YaTidak
GoogleGoogle11%YaTidak
$3 rb Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%YaTidak
$0.50-$0.5525%YaTidak
$1,6 rb Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%YaTidak
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI1%YaTidak
$5,2 rb Volume 31/08
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202714%
$48 rb Volume 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%YaTidak
AlphabetAlphabet37%YaTidak
$6,4 rb Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0037%YaTidak
$3.00-$3.2526%YaTidak
$2,6 rb Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI2%YaTidak
$799 Volume 31/08
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%YaTidak
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat13%YaTidak
$227,6 rb Volume 31/12
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%YaTidak
60%+27%YaTidak
$22 rb Volume 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%YaTidak
Rigetti78%YaTidak
$173 rb Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%YaTidak
$2.75-$3.0019%YaTidak
$2,6 rb Volume 30/09
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic74%YaTidak
GoogleGoogle11%YaTidak
$940 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI33%YaTidak
$763 Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+89%YaTidak
1490+71%YaTidak
$109,8 rb Volume
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%YaTidak
1505+54%YaTidak
$629 Volume 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%YaTidak
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%YaTidak
$159,8 rb Volume 31/12
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot26%YaTidak
$1,3 rb Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+90%YaTidak
45%+89%YaTidak
$587 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%YaTidak
$0.45-$0.5029%YaTidak
$1,6 rb Volume 31/08
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3115%
September 3054%
$564 Volume 01/10
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 152047%YaTidak
↑ 153027%YaTidak
$735 Volume 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%YaTidak
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%YaTidak
$88,9 rb Volume 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot50%YaTidak
GoogleGoogle43%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 31/08
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$52,7 rb Volume 31/08
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot37%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai29%YaTidak
$1 rb Volume 31/10
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+88%YaTidak
60%+64%YaTidak
$66,8 rb Volume 31/12
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI10%YaTidak
$2,4 rb Volume 31/10
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%YaTidak
$ANT10%YaTidak
$77,4 rb Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%YaTidak
AnthropicAnthropic33%YaTidak
$552 Volume 30/09
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FAQ Pasar Teknologi

Pasar teknologi apa yang ada di Polymarket?

Rilis model dan produk AI, laba dan tonggak teknologi besar, IPO dan akuisisi, serta perlombaan AI yang lebih luas (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, dan lainnya).

Bagaimana pasar teknologi diselesaikan?

Berdasarkan acara publik yang jelas pada tanggal yang ditentukan - peluncuran resmi, laporan laba, atau kesepakatan yang dikonfirmasi. Baca aturan resolusi untuk pemicu yang tepat.

Di mana keunggulan dalam pasar teknologi?

Mengetahui tanggal pengiriman dan pola peluncuran yang sebenarnya. Perusahaan sering kali melewatkan tenggat waktu yang mereka tetapkan sendiri, jadi garis waktu yang realistis mengalahkan hype.

Apakah pasar 5 menit atau hype layak diperdagangkan?

Pasar hype jangka pendek didominasi oleh trader cepat dan gejolak berita. Pemula lebih baik di pasar tonggak yang lebih lama di mana penelitian membuahkan hasil.

Mulai Pelatihan Polymarket Secara Gratis
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