Mercados de Predicción Tecnológica

Los mercados de predicción tecnológica te permiten operar con el futuro de la industria - qué modelo de IA se lanzará a continuación, si una empresa alcanza un objetivo de ganancias o lanzamiento, quién adquiere a quién, y cómo se desarrolla la carrera de IA. Cada precio en Polymarket es una probabilidad en vivo, como un 65% de probabilidad de que un producto se lance antes de fin de año.

La tecnología avanza con los anuncios - presentaciones, lanzamientos y conferencias de resultados. Si sigues de cerca el espacio, tu ventaja es conocer los plazos reales mejor que el resto del mercado.

100 mercados activos
Ordenar
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%SíNo
September 3091%SíNo
$221,8 mil Vol 01/07
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SíNo
$187 mil Vol 7 días restantes
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA93%SíNo
AppleApple5%SíNo
$160,4 mil Vol 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA98%SíNo
AppleApple2%SíNo
$160,4 mil Vol 31/08
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%SíNo
October 3157%SíNo
$260,6 mil Vol 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai4%SíNo
$22,5 mil Vol 7 días restantes
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI5%SíNo
$187 mil Vol 30/09
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3186%SíNo
September 3076%SíNo
$12,6 mil Vol 01/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3195%SíNo
August 272%SíNo
$14,1 mil Vol 01/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%SíNo
CATLCATL20%SíNo
$185,4 mil Vol 30/06
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot52%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai34%SíNo
$15,7 mil Vol 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%SíNo
November 30, 202660%SíNo
$1,5 M Vol 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%SíNo
12-1544%SíNo
$7,5 mil Vol 31/12
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%SíNo
September 3076%SíNo
$323 mil Vol 01/11
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high94%SíNo
claude-opus-5-max4%SíNo
$14,7 mil Vol Termina hoy
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%SíNo
October 3182%SíNo
$6,5 mil Vol 01/01
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA73%SíNo
AppleApple14%SíNo
$160,4 mil Vol 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high53%SíNo
claude-opus-5-max46%SíNo
$14,7 mil Vol 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI49%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot25%SíNo
$6,1 mil Vol 30/09
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple95%SíNo
AlphabetAlphabet5%SíNo
$6,4 mil Vol 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%SíNo
xAIxAI12%SíNo
$187 mil Vol 31/12
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3160%SíNo
September 3038%SíNo
$48,2 mil Vol 01/11
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 155%SíNo
October 5–October 1115%SíNo
$11 mil Vol 01/11
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%SíNo
AppleApple3%SíNo
$5 mil Vol 31/08
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot79%SíNo
AlibabaAlibaba8%SíNo
$4,9 mil Vol 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI5%SíNo
$187 mil Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%SíNo
$5.50-$6.0020%SíNo
$8,4 mil Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai59%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot35%SíNo
$15,7 mil Vol 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI84%SíNo
Black Forest LabsBlack Forest Labs30%SíNo
$5,2 mil Vol 31/10
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%SíNo
5-77%SíNo
$4,1 mil Vol 31/08
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic96%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SíNo
$8,1 mil Vol 31/08
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai16%SíNo
$22,5 mil Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%SíNo
On or prior to September 15%SíNo
$14,1 mil Vol 01/10
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+80%SíNo
55%+53%SíNo
$44 mil Vol 31/12
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%SíNo
MetaMeta10%SíNo
$3,8 mil Vol 31/08
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%SíNo
55%+47%SíNo
$43,6 mil Vol 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%SíNo
50%+56%SíNo
$40,2 mil Vol 31/12
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$187 mil Vol 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI35%SíNo
$3,5 mil Vol 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 mil Vol 01/01
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI14%SíNo
$8,1 mil Vol 30/09
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours90%SíNo
<1 hour6%SíNo
$2,3 mil Vol 31/08
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta47%SíNo
GoogleGoogle30%SíNo
$4,5 mil Vol 30/09
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT61%SíNo
7 Brew Coffee7 Brew Coffee26%SíNo
$2,2 mil Vol 5 días restantes
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%SíNo
claude-opus-5-max37%SíNo
$14,7 mil Vol 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SíNo
$6.00-$6.5027%SíNo
$8,4 mil Vol 31/10
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%SíNo
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%SíNo
$1,9 mil Vol 5 días restantes
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle29%SíNo
MetaMeta19%SíNo
$4,5 mil Vol 31/10
¿Qué empresas serán adquiridas antes de 2027?¿Qué empresas serán adquiridas antes de 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%SíNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%SíNo
$18,2 M Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic78%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI21%SíNo
$8,1 mil Vol 31/10
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3042%SíNo
August 3111%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SíNo
$0.75-$1.0024%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 31/10
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1586%SíNo
September 3081%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%SíNo
$5.50-$6.0022%SíNo
$8,4 mil Vol 30/09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%SíNo
June 30, 202732%SíNo
$1,1 M Vol 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle88%SíNo
AlibabaAlibaba6%SíNo
$2,4 mil Vol 30/09
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta35%SíNo
GoogleGoogle27%SíNo
$2,5 mil Vol 31/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3168%SíNo
September 3036%SíNo
$1,1 M Vol 01/11
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%SíNo
$5.00-$5.5025%SíNo
$2,9 mil Vol 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+80%SíNo
40%+78%SíNo
$41,1 mil Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot28%SíNo
$15,7 mil Vol 31/10
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$705,6 mil Vol 19/11
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%SíNo
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%SíNo
$1,5 mil Vol 5 días restantes
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%SíNo
50%+61%SíNo
$20,1 mil Vol 31/12
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla91%SíNo
Texas58%SíNo
$3,5 mil Vol 7 días restantes
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%SíNo
1490+28%SíNo
$59,5 mil Vol
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0028%SíNo
$4.00-$4.5027%SíNo
$2,9 mil Vol 31/10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$1,2 mil Vol 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
August 2256%
August 3143%
$2,4 mil Vol 01/09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
86%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$283,6 mil Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0026%SíNo
$3.00+24%SíNo
$2,6 mil Vol 31/10
Third-best AI Lab end of August?Third-best AI Lab end of August?
MetaMeta77%SíNo
GoogleGoogle11%SíNo
$3 mil Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SíNo
$0.50-$0.5525%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%SíNo
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI1%SíNo
$5,2 mil Vol 31/08
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202714%
$48 mil Vol 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple47%SíNo
AlphabetAlphabet37%SíNo
$6,4 mil Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0037%SíNo
$3.00-$3.2526%SíNo
$2,6 mil Vol 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SíNo
$799 Vol 31/08
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%SíNo
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat13%SíNo
$227,6 mil Vol 31/12
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%SíNo
60%+27%SíNo
$22 mil Vol 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%SíNo
Rigetti78%SíNo
$173 mil Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%SíNo
$2.75-$3.0019%SíNo
$2,6 mil Vol 30/09
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic74%SíNo
GoogleGoogle11%SíNo
$940 Vol 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI33%SíNo
$763 Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+89%SíNo
1490+71%SíNo
$109,8 mil Vol
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%SíNo
1505+54%SíNo
$629 Vol 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%SíNo
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%SíNo
$159,8 mil Vol 31/12
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot26%SíNo
$1,3 mil Vol 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+90%SíNo
45%+89%SíNo
$587 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5549%SíNo
$0.45-$0.5029%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 31/08
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3115%
September 3054%
$564 Vol 01/10
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 152047%SíNo
↑ 153027%SíNo
$735 Vol 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%SíNo
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%SíNo
$88,9 mil Vol 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot50%SíNo
GoogleGoogle43%SíNo
$2,5 mil Vol 31/08
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
2%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$52,7 mil Vol 31/08
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot37%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai29%SíNo
$1 mil Vol 31/10
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+88%SíNo
60%+64%SíNo
$66,8 mil Vol 31/12
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI10%SíNo
$2,4 mil Vol 31/10
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%SíNo
$ANT10%SíNo
$77,4 mil Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%SíNo
AnthropicAnthropic33%SíNo
$552 Vol 30/09
Cargar más en Polymarket →

¿Quieres operar mercados de Tecnología?

Abre una cuenta de Polymarket y comienza a operar hoy

Abre una Cuenta de Polymarket

FAQ de Mercados Tecnológicos

¿Qué mercados tecnológicos hay en Polymarket?

Lanzamientos de modelos de IA y productos, resultados e hitos de las Big Tech, IPOs y adquisiciones, y la carrera de IA más amplia (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic y más).

¿Cómo se resuelven los mercados tecnológicos?

Según un evento público claro en una fecha establecida - un lanzamiento oficial, un informe de resultados o un acuerdo confirmado. Lee las reglas de resolución para el desencadenante exacto.

¿Dónde está la ventaja en los mercados tecnológicos?

Saber las fechas de lanzamiento reales y los patrones de lanzamiento. Las empresas suelen perder plazos autoimpuestos, por lo que los plazos realistas le ganan al hype.

¿Valen la pena los mercados de 5 minutos o los impulsados por el hype?

Los mercados impulsados por el hype a corto plazo están dominados por operadores rápidos y por los vaivenes de las noticias. Los principiantes se desempeñan mejor en mercados de hitos más largos donde la investigación da sus frutos.

Comienza Entrenamiento en Polymarket Gratis
Opera mercados de predicción con dinero virtual. Precios reales, cero riesgo. Compite en la tabla de clasificación.
$1K
Dinero Virtual
500+
Mercados
$0
Riesgo Real
Más información
Precios reales Sin riesgo Clasificación