Rynki Prognoz Technologicznych

Rynki prognoz technologicznych pozwalają handlować przyszłością branży - który model AI zostanie wydany jako następny, czy firma osiągnie cel wynikowy lub termin premiery, kto kogo przejmuje i jak rozwija się wyścig AI. Każda cena na Polymarket to bieżące prawdopodobieństwo, jak 65% szans na to, że produkt zostanie wprowadzony przed końcem roku.

Technologia porusza się na podstawie ogłoszeń - prezentacji, premier i konferencji wynikowych. Jeśli śledzisz tę przestrzeń uważnie, twoją przewagą jest lepsza od reszty rynku znajomość rzeczywistych harmonogramów.

100 aktywne rynki
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI2%TakNie
$178,1 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA88%TakNie
AppleApple9%TakNie
$201,2 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%TakNie
AppleApple5%TakNie
$201,2 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%TakNie
October 3158%TakNie
$260,9 tys. Wolumen 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%TakNie
Z.aiZ.ai4%TakNie
$21,7 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%TakNie
September 3081%TakNie
$15,6 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%TakNie
Z.aiZ.ai28%TakNie
$23,6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%TakNie
CATLCATL19%TakNie
$186,9 tys. Wolumen 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%TakNie
claude-opus-5-max3%TakNie
$18,5 tys. Wolumen Kończy się dzisiaj
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI5%TakNie
$178,1 tys. Wolumen 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%TakNie
November 30, 202660%TakNie
$1,6 mln Wolumen 01/01
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%TakNie
AppleApple4%TakNie
$9,3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%TakNie
AppleApple14%TakNie
$201,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%TakNie
October 3182%TakNie
$7,7 tys. Wolumen 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%TakNie
12-1545%TakNie
$7,6 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot30%TakNie
$23,6 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 301%
December 313%
$114,8 tys. Wolumen 01/01
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%TakNie
September 21–September 276%TakNie
$12,8 tys. Wolumen 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 tys. Wolumen 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple93%TakNie
AlphabetAlphabet6%TakNie
$7,4 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%TakNie
xAIxAI12%TakNie
$178,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%TakNie
claude-opus-5-max45%TakNie
$18,5 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot43%TakNie
$6,3 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%TakNie
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%TakNie
$6,3 tys. Wolumen 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%TakNie
September 3078%TakNie
$325,1 tys. Wolumen 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%TakNie
September 3039%TakNie
$48,3 tys. Wolumen 01/11
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%TakNie
September 3091%TakNie
$5,1 tys. Wolumen 01/07
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot14%TakNie
$21,7 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba11%TakNie
$5,5 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%TakNie
5-78%TakNie
$4,3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI6%TakNie
$178,1 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%TakNie
August 272%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 01/09
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 20268%
December 31, 202769%
$63,5 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%TakNie
55%+48%TakNie
$45,6 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
$800-$900B69%TakNie
$700-$800B16%TakNie
$3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%TakNie
September 305%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI35%TakNie
$3,5 tys. Wolumen 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%TakNie
MetaMeta23%TakNie
$3,4 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
szansa
Tak Nie
$187 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI14%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 tys. Wolumen 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%TakNie
55%+45%TakNie
$43,7 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%TakNie
June 30, 202732%TakNie
$1,1 mln Wolumen 01/01
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT67%TakNie
ParentSquareParentSquare23%TakNie
$2,2 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3034%TakNie
August 3110%TakNie
$2,1 tys. Wolumen 01/10
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%TakNie
50%+56%TakNie
$40,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%TakNie
claude-opus-5-max33%TakNie
$18,5 tys. Wolumen 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%TakNie
$5.50-$6.0020%TakNie
$4,5 tys. Wolumen 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%TakNie
GoogleGoogle17%TakNie
$3,7 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%TakNie
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%TakNie
$18,2 mln Wolumen 31/12
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%TakNie
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%TakNie
$1,8 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI20%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI2%TakNie
$6,2 tys. Wolumen 31/08
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1586%TakNie
September 3071%TakNie
$1,7 tys. Wolumen 30/09
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%TakNie
$0.75-$1.0024%TakNie
$1,7 tys. Wolumen 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%TakNie
$5.00-$5.5021%TakNie
$3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba9%TakNie
$2,5 tys. Wolumen 30/09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
szansa
Tak Nie
$706,1 tys. Wolumen 19/11
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%TakNie
40%+78%TakNie
$41,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours89%TakNie
<1 hour6%TakNie
$2,5 tys. Wolumen 31/08
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%TakNie
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%TakNie
$1,5 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 5 dni
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%TakNie
AlibabaAlibaba20%TakNie
$3,7 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%TakNie
MetaMeta10%TakNie
$1,9 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%TakNie
50%+61%TakNie
$20,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot28%TakNie
$23,6 tys. Wolumen 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%TakNie
$6.00-$6.5026%TakNie
$4,5 tys. Wolumen 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%TakNie
$4.00-$4.5027%TakNie
$3 tys. Wolumen 31/10
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%TakNie
September 1585%TakNie
$2,4 tys. Wolumen 01/09
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
szansa
Tak Nie
$1,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%TakNie
$0.50-$0.5530%TakNie
$2,2 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%TakNie
ByteDanceByteDance5%TakNie
$1,6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%TakNie
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%TakNie
$89,6 tys. Wolumen 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%TakNie
$3.00+24%TakNie
$2,1 tys. Wolumen 31/10
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
szansa
Tak Nie
$39,9 tys. Wolumen 30/06
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
6-12 hours34%TakNie
1-3 hours21%TakNie
$2,5 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
87%
szansa
Tak Nie
$283,6 tys. Wolumen 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%TakNie
$0.45-$0.5032%TakNie
$2,2 tys. Wolumen 31/08
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple44%TakNie
AlphabetAlphabet32%TakNie
$7,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%TakNie
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat14%TakNie
$227,8 tys. Wolumen 31/12
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48,2 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%TakNie
September 3038%TakNie
$1,1 mln Wolumen 01/11
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI4%TakNie
$799 Wolumen 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%TakNie
MetaMeta1%TakNie
$6,3 tys. Wolumen 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%TakNie
$5.50-$6.0022%TakNie
$4,5 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%TakNie
1490+71%TakNie
$109,9 tys. Wolumen
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%TakNie
60%+27%TakNie
$22 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI33%TakNie
$731 Wolumen 30/09
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%TakNie
Rigetti79%TakNie
$173,1 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Wolumen 01/10
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla91%TakNie
Texas58%TakNie
$2,6 tys. Wolumen Pozostało 7 dni
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%TakNie
$3.00-$3.2526%TakNie
$2,1 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot26%TakNie
$1,2 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%TakNie
MoonshotMoonshot24%TakNie
$1,6 tys. Wolumen 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%TakNie
45%+89%TakNie
$566 Wolumen 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%TakNie
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%TakNie
$159,8 tys. Wolumen 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%TakNie
$ANT9%TakNie
$77,4 tys. Wolumen 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%TakNie
Z.aiZ.ai29%TakNie
$1,6 tys. Wolumen 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%TakNie
1490+28%TakNie
$59,5 tys. Wolumen
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%TakNie
Z.aiZ.ai30%TakNie
$1,6 tys. Wolumen 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%TakNie
OpenAIOpenAI10%TakNie
$2,5 tys. Wolumen 31/10
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FAQ Rynków Technologicznych

Jakie rynki technologiczne są na Polymarket?

Wydania modeli AI i produktów, wyniki Big Tech i kamienie milowe, IPO i przejęcia oraz szerszy wyścig AI (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic i inne).

Jak rozstrzygają się rynki technologiczne?

Na podstawie wyraźnego publicznego wydarzenia w określonym terminie - oficjalne wprowadzenie, raport wynikowy lub potwierdzona umowa. Przeczytaj zasady rozstrzygania, aby poznać dokładny wyzwalacz.

Gdzie jest przewaga na rynkach technologicznych?

Znajomość rzeczywistych dat wydania i wzorców wprowadzenia. Firmy rutynowo nie dotrzymują samodzielnie narzuconych terminów, więc realistyczne harmonogramy przewyższają hype.

Czy rynki 5-minutowe lub hype są warte handlu?

Krótkoterminowe rynki napędzane hype'em są zdominowane przez szybkich traderów i wahania wywołane wiadomościami. Początkujący radzą sobie lepiej na dłuższych rynkach kamieni milowych, gdzie badania się opłacają.

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