科技预测市场

科技预测市场让您交易行业的未来 - 哪个人工智能模型将会发布，某家公司是否会达到财报或发布目标，谁收购谁，以及人工智能竞赛如何展开。每个 Polymarket 的价格都是一个实时概率，比如某个产品在年底前发布的机会为 65%。

科技行业的动态依赖于公告 - 主题演讲、发布和财报电话会议。如果您密切关注这个领域，您的优势在于比大众更好地了解真实的时间表。

100 活跃市场
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%是否
OpenAIOpenAI2%是否
$19.9万 成交量 还剩 7 天
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA88%是否
AppleApple9%是否
$19.6万 成交量 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%是否
AppleApple3%是否
$19.6万 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%是否
OpenAIOpenAI5%是否
$19.9万 成交量 30/09
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%是否
October 3158%是否
$26.3万 成交量 01/12
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%是否
AppleApple14%是否
$19.6万 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot44%是否
Z.aiZ.ai28%是否
$2.4万 成交量 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%是否
November 30, 202657%是否
$155.8万 成交量 01/01
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3184%是否
September 3081%是否
$1.3万 成交量 01/10
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%是否
CATLCATL19%是否
$18.7万 成交量 30/06
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba95%是否
Z.aiZ.ai4%是否
$1.7万 成交量 还剩 7 天
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%是否
AppleApple4%是否
$9,224 成交量 31/08
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%是否
12-1546%是否
$7,757 成交量 31/12
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 146%是否
September 7–September 1321%是否
$1.4万 成交量 01/11
Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
Z.aiZ.ai88%是否
Safe SuperintelligenceSafe Superintelligence10%是否
$7,491 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai58%是否
MoonshotMoonshot30%是否
$2.4万 成交量 31/08
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$11.5万 成交量 01/01
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3161%是否
September 3039%是否
$5万 成交量 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$4.2万 成交量 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple93%是否
AlphabetAlphabet6%是否
$6,942 成交量 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%是否
xAIxAI12%是否
$19.9万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%是否
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%是否
$6,052 成交量 31/10
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%是否
MoonshotMoonshot43%是否
$5,944 成交量 30/09
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%是否
MoonshotMoonshot14%是否
$1.7万 成交量 30/09
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%是否
October 3182%是否
$5,171 成交量 01/01
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%是否
AlibabaAlibaba11%是否
$5,581 成交量 31/08
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%是否
September 3093%是否
$4,637 成交量 01/07
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%是否
September 3078%是否
$32.5万 成交量 01/11
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%是否
5-78%是否
$4,348 成交量 31/08
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%是否
55%+48%是否
$4.6万 成交量 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%是否
August 272%是否
$6,204 成交量 01/09
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%是否
AlibabaAlibaba19%是否
$5,406 成交量 31/10
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
$800-$900B70%是否
$700-$800B16%是否
$3,177 成交量 31/08
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 20268%
December 31, 202770%
$6.4万 成交量 01/01
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%是否
claude-opus-5-max43%是否
$1.5万 成交量 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%是否
September 305%是否
$6,204 成交量 01/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
82%
概率
是 否
$18.7万 成交量 31/12
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%是否
MetaMeta23%是否
$3,218 成交量 31/10
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%是否
55%+46%是否
$4.4万 成交量 31/12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%是否
June 30, 202732%是否
$109.8万 成交量 01/01
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%是否
OpenAIOpenAI14%是否
$6,184 成交量 30/09
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3035%是否
August 3110%是否
$2,144 成交量 01/10
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT60%是否
Vinted: Pre-loved MarketplaceVinted: Pre-loved Marketplace21%是否
$2,134 成交量 还剩 5 天
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%是否
OpenAIOpenAI20%是否
$6,184 成交量 31/10
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours86%是否
<1 hour7%是否
$3,157 成交量 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%是否
MetaMeta11%是否
$2,545 成交量 31/08
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%是否
claude-opus-5-max33%是否
$1.5万 成交量 07/09
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%是否
OpenAIOpenAI6%是否
$19.9万 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%是否
$5.50-$6.0020%是否
$4,165 成交量 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%是否
50%+56%是否
$4.1万 成交量 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai36%是否
MoonshotMoonshot28%是否
$2.4万 成交量 31/10
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
87%
概率
是 否
$28.5万 成交量 31/12
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1574%是否
September 3072%是否
$1,826 成交量 30/09
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%是否
50%+61%是否
$2.1万 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%是否
OpenAIOpenAI2%是否
$6,184 成交量 31/08
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0036%是否
$5.00-$5.5018%是否
$3,142 成交量 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%是否
AlibabaAlibaba9%是否
$2,552 成交量 30/09
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%是否
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%是否
$1,768 成交量 还剩 5 天
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
40%+80%是否
45%+78%是否
$4.1万 成交量 31/12
在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？在2027年前，哪些公司将被收购？
PayPalPayPal46%是否
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%是否
$1,818万 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%是否
$0.75-$1.0024%是否
$2,029 成交量 31/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot46%是否
OpenAIOpenAI40%是否
$2,096 成交量 30/09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
概率
是 否
$70.6万 成交量 19/11
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%是否
AlibabaAlibaba20%是否
$5,406 成交量 30/09
Critical Discord Incident by...?Critical Discord Incident by...?
August 3139%
September 3057%
$1,522 成交量 01/10
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%是否
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%是否
$1,484 成交量 还剩 5 天
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%是否
September 1584%是否
$2,555 成交量 01/09
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%是否
$4.00-$4.5027%是否
$3,142 成交量 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%是否
$6.00-$6.5026%是否
$4,165 成交量 31/10
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+49%是否
60%+27%是否
$2.3万 成交量 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3158%是否
September 3038%是否
$112.3万 成交量 01/11
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
概率
是 否
$1,238 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%是否
$0.50-$0.5530%是否
$2,281 成交量 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%是否
ByteDanceByteDance9%是否
$1,773 成交量 30/09
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla99%是否
Texas61%是否
$3,107 成交量 还剩 7 天
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%是否
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%是否
$9万 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5555%是否
$0.45-$0.5032%是否
$2,281 成交量 31/08
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%是否
$3.00+24%是否
$2,058 成交量 31/10
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$4.8万 成交量 31/12
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
6-12 hours34%是否
3-6 hours21%是否
$3,157 成交量 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+86%是否
1490+71%是否
$11万 成交量
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
概率
是 否
$4万 成交量 30/06
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%是否
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat14%是否
$22.8万 成交量 31/12
Third-best AI Lab end of August?Third-best AI Lab end of August?
MetaMeta83%是否
GoogleGoogle12%是否
$2,422 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%是否
OpenAIOpenAI3%是否
$799 成交量 31/08
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot64%是否
Z.aiZ.ai29%是否
$1,481 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%是否
OpenAIOpenAI33%是否
$672 成交量 30/09
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot51%是否
GoogleGoogle41%是否
$5,406 成交量 31/08
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%是否
Rigetti77%是否
$17.3万 成交量 31/12
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3124%
September 3054%
$623 成交量 01/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle49%是否
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATHAlibaba/Alibaba-ATH13%是否
$1,773 成交量 31/10
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%是否
MoonshotMoonshot24%是否
$1,481 成交量 30/09
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%是否
$ANT9%是否
$7.7万 成交量 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%是否
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%是否
$16万 成交量 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%是否
$3.00-$3.2526%是否
$2,058 成交量 31/08
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount78%是否
None by June 30, 202723%是否
$124.8万 成交量 30/06
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%是否
1490+28%是否
$6万 成交量
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple44%是否
AlphabetAlphabet32%是否
$6,942 成交量 31/12
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%是否
MetaMeta1%是否
$6,052 成交量 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%是否
AnthropicAnthropic33%是否
$552 成交量 30/09
在 Polymarket 加载更多 →

科技市场常见问题

Polymarket 上有哪些科技市场？

人工智能模型和产品发布、大型科技财报和里程碑、IPO 和收购，以及更广泛的人工智能竞赛（OpenAI、Google、Anthropic 等）。

科技市场如何结算？

根据在规定日期之前的明确公共事件 - 官方发布、财报或确认的交易。请阅读结算规则以获取确切触发条件。

科技市场的优势在哪里？

了解真实的发货日期和发布模式。公司通常会错过自我设定的截止日期，因此现实的时间表胜过炒作。

5分钟或炒作市场值得交易吗？

短期炒作市场由快速交易者和新闻波动主导。初学者在较长的里程碑市场上表现更好，因为研究会带来回报。

免费开始 Polymarket 训练
用虚拟资金交易预测市场。真实价格，零风险。在排行榜上竞争。
$1K
虚拟现金
500+
市场
$0
真实风险
了解更多
真实价格 零风险 排行榜