Pasar Prediksi Teknologi

Pasar prediksi teknologi memungkinkan Anda memperdagangkan masa depan industri - model AI mana yang akan diluncurkan berikutnya, apakah sebuah perusahaan mencapai target laba atau peluncuran, siapa yang mengakuisisi siapa, dan bagaimana perlombaan AI berkembang. Setiap harga Polymarket adalah probabilitas langsung, seperti 65% kemungkinan sebuah produk diluncurkan sebelum akhir tahun.

Teknologi bergerak berdasarkan pengumuman - keynote, rilis, dan paparan kinerja. Jika Anda mengikuti ruang ini dengan cermat, keunggulan Anda adalah mengetahui garis waktu yang sebenarnya lebih baik daripada kerumunan.

100 pasar aktif
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI2%YaTidak
$178,1 rb Volume 7 hari tersisa
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA88%YaTidak
AppleApple9%YaTidak
$201,2 rb Volume 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%YaTidak
AppleApple5%YaTidak
$201,2 rb Volume 31/08
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%YaTidak
October 3158%YaTidak
$260,9 rb Volume 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai4%YaTidak
$21,7 rb Volume 7 hari tersisa
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%YaTidak
September 3081%YaTidak
$15,6 rb Volume 01/10
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai28%YaTidak
$23,6 rb Volume 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%YaTidak
CATLCATL19%YaTidak
$186,9 rb Volume 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%YaTidak
claude-opus-5-max3%YaTidak
$18,5 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI5%YaTidak
$178,1 rb Volume 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%YaTidak
November 30, 202660%YaTidak
$1,6 jt Volume 01/01
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%YaTidak
AppleApple4%YaTidak
$9,3 rb Volume 31/08
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%YaTidak
AppleApple14%YaTidak
$201,2 rb Volume 31/12
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%YaTidak
October 3182%YaTidak
$7,7 rb Volume 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%YaTidak
12-1545%YaTidak
$7,6 rb Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot30%YaTidak
$23,6 rb Volume 31/08
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 301%
December 313%
$114,8 rb Volume 01/01
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%YaTidak
September 21–September 276%YaTidak
$12,8 rb Volume 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 rb Volume 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple93%YaTidak
AlphabetAlphabet6%YaTidak
$7,4 rb Volume 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%YaTidak
xAIxAI12%YaTidak
$178,1 rb Volume 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%YaTidak
claude-opus-5-max45%YaTidak
$18,5 rb Volume 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot43%YaTidak
$6,3 rb Volume 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%YaTidak
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%YaTidak
$6,3 rb Volume 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%YaTidak
September 3078%YaTidak
$325,1 rb Volume 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%YaTidak
September 3039%YaTidak
$48,3 rb Volume 01/11
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%YaTidak
September 3091%YaTidak
$5,1 rb Volume 01/07
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot14%YaTidak
$21,7 rb Volume 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%YaTidak
AlibabaAlibaba11%YaTidak
$5,5 rb Volume 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%YaTidak
5-78%YaTidak
$4,3 rb Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI6%YaTidak
$178,1 rb Volume 31/10
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%YaTidak
August 272%YaTidak
$6,2 rb Volume 01/09
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 20268%
December 31, 202769%
$63,5 rb Volume 01/01
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%YaTidak
55%+48%YaTidak
$45,6 rb Volume 31/12
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
$800-$900B69%YaTidak
$700-$800B16%YaTidak
$3 rb Volume 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%YaTidak
September 305%YaTidak
$6,2 rb Volume 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI35%YaTidak
$3,5 rb Volume 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%YaTidak
MetaMeta23%YaTidak
$3,4 rb Volume 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$187 rb Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI14%YaTidak
$6,2 rb Volume 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 rb Volume 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%YaTidak
55%+45%YaTidak
$43,7 rb Volume 31/12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%YaTidak
June 30, 202732%YaTidak
$1,1 jt Volume 01/01
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT67%YaTidak
ParentSquareParentSquare23%YaTidak
$2,2 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3034%YaTidak
August 3110%YaTidak
$2,1 rb Volume 01/10
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%YaTidak
50%+56%YaTidak
$40,2 rb Volume 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%YaTidak
claude-opus-5-max33%YaTidak
$18,5 rb Volume 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%YaTidak
$5.50-$6.0020%YaTidak
$4,5 rb Volume 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%YaTidak
GoogleGoogle17%YaTidak
$3,7 rb Volume 31/10
Perusahaan mana yang akan diakuisisi sebelum 2027?Perusahaan mana yang akan diakuisisi sebelum 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%YaTidak
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%YaTidak
$18,2 jt Volume 31/12
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%YaTidak
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%YaTidak
$1,8 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI20%YaTidak
$6,2 rb Volume 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI2%YaTidak
$6,2 rb Volume 31/08
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1586%YaTidak
September 3071%YaTidak
$1,7 rb Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%YaTidak
$0.75-$1.0024%YaTidak
$1,7 rb Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%YaTidak
$5.00-$5.5021%YaTidak
$3 rb Volume 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%YaTidak
AlibabaAlibaba9%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 30/09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$706,1 rb Volume 19/11
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%YaTidak
40%+78%YaTidak
$41,1 rb Volume 31/12
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours89%YaTidak
<1 hour6%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 31/08
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%YaTidak
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%YaTidak
$1,5 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%YaTidak
AlibabaAlibaba20%YaTidak
$3,7 rb Volume 30/09
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%YaTidak
MetaMeta10%YaTidak
$1,9 rb Volume 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%YaTidak
50%+61%YaTidak
$20,1 rb Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot28%YaTidak
$23,6 rb Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%YaTidak
$6.00-$6.5026%YaTidak
$4,5 rb Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%YaTidak
$4.00-$4.5027%YaTidak
$3 rb Volume 31/10
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%YaTidak
September 1585%YaTidak
$2,4 rb Volume 01/09
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,2 rb Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%YaTidak
$0.50-$0.5530%YaTidak
$2,2 rb Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%YaTidak
ByteDanceByteDance5%YaTidak
$1,6 rb Volume 30/09
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%YaTidak
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%YaTidak
$89,6 rb Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%YaTidak
$3.00+24%YaTidak
$2,1 rb Volume 31/10
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$39,9 rb Volume 30/06
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
6-12 hours34%YaTidak
1-3 hours21%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 30/09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
87%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$283,6 rb Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%YaTidak
$0.45-$0.5032%YaTidak
$2,2 rb Volume 31/08
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple44%YaTidak
AlphabetAlphabet32%YaTidak
$7,4 rb Volume 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%YaTidak
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat14%YaTidak
$227,8 rb Volume 31/12
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48,2 rb Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%YaTidak
September 3038%YaTidak
$1,1 jt Volume 01/11
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI4%YaTidak
$799 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%YaTidak
MetaMeta1%YaTidak
$6,3 rb Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%YaTidak
$5.50-$6.0022%YaTidak
$4,5 rb Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%YaTidak
1490+71%YaTidak
$109,9 rb Volume
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%YaTidak
60%+27%YaTidak
$22 rb Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI33%YaTidak
$731 Volume 30/09
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%YaTidak
Rigetti79%YaTidak
$173,1 rb Volume 31/12
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Volume 01/10
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla91%YaTidak
Texas58%YaTidak
$2,6 rb Volume 7 hari tersisa
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%YaTidak
$3.00-$3.2526%YaTidak
$2,1 rb Volume 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot26%YaTidak
$1,2 rb Volume 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%YaTidak
MoonshotMoonshot24%YaTidak
$1,6 rb Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%YaTidak
45%+89%YaTidak
$566 Volume 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%YaTidak
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%YaTidak
$159,8 rb Volume 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%YaTidak
$ANT9%YaTidak
$77,4 rb Volume 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai29%YaTidak
$1,6 rb Volume 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%YaTidak
1490+28%YaTidak
$59,5 rb Volume
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%YaTidak
Z.aiZ.ai30%YaTidak
$1,6 rb Volume 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%YaTidak
OpenAIOpenAI10%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 31/10
Muat lebih banyak di Polymarket →

FAQ Pasar Teknologi

Pasar teknologi apa yang ada di Polymarket?

Rilis model dan produk AI, laba dan tonggak teknologi besar, IPO dan akuisisi, serta perlombaan AI yang lebih luas (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, dan lainnya).

Bagaimana pasar teknologi diselesaikan?

Berdasarkan acara publik yang jelas pada tanggal yang ditentukan - peluncuran resmi, laporan laba, atau kesepakatan yang dikonfirmasi. Baca aturan resolusi untuk pemicu yang tepat.

Di mana keunggulan dalam pasar teknologi?

Mengetahui tanggal pengiriman dan pola peluncuran yang sebenarnya. Perusahaan sering kali melewatkan tenggat waktu yang mereka tetapkan sendiri, jadi garis waktu yang realistis mengalahkan hype.

Apakah pasar 5 menit atau hype layak diperdagangkan?

Pasar hype jangka pendek didominasi oleh trader cepat dan gejolak berita. Pemula lebih baik di pasar tonggak yang lebih lama di mana penelitian membuahkan hasil.

Mulai Pelatihan Polymarket Secara Gratis
Perdagangkan pasar prediksi dengan uang virtual. Harga nyata, tanpa risiko. Bersaing di papan peringkat.
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500+
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$0
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