Mercati di Previsione Tecnologica

I mercati di previsione tecnologica ti permettono di fare trading sul futuro del settore - quale sarà il prossimo modello AI a uscire, se un'azienda centra un obiettivo di utili o di lancio, chi acquisisce chi e come si sviluppa la corsa all'AI. Ogni prezzo di Polymarket è una probabilità live, ad esempio una probabilità del 65% che un prodotto esca entro fine anno.

La tecnologia si muove sugli annunci: keynote, rilasci e call sui risultati. Se segui da vicino il settore, il tuo vantaggio è conoscere le tempistiche reali meglio del resto del mercato.

100 mercati attivi
Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$198.657 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
Largest Company end of September?Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIANVIDIA88%SìNo
AppleApple9%SìNo
$194.498 Volume 30/09
Largest Company end of August?Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIANVIDIA95%SìNo
AppleApple4%SìNo
$194.498 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI5%SìNo
$198.657 Volume 30/09
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%SìNo
October 3158%SìNo
$261.393 Volume 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai4%SìNo
$22.221 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3184%SìNo
September 3081%SìNo
$15.955 Volume 01/10
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA72%SìNo
AppleApple14%SìNo
$194.498 Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot43%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai29%SìNo
$24.144 Volume 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%SìNo
CATLCATL19%SìNo
$186.940 Volume 30/06
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%SìNo
November 30, 202660%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 01/01
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max3%SìNo
$17.979 Volume Termina oggi
3rd Largest Company end of August?3rd Largest Company end of August?
AlphabetAlphabet95%SìNo
AppleApple4%SìNo
$9.204 Volume 31/08
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%SìNo
October 3182%SìNo
$8.629 Volume 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%SìNo
12-1545%SìNo
$7.576 Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai58%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot30%SìNo
$24.144 Volume 31/08
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$115.066 Volume 01/01
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%SìNo
September 21–September 277%SìNo
$12.911 Volume 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41.853 Volume 01/01
2nd Largest Company end of August?2nd Largest Company end of August?
AppleApple93%SìNo
AlphabetAlphabet6%SìNo
$6.910 Volume 31/08
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%SìNo
xAIxAI12%SìNo
$198.657 Volume 31/12
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%SìNo
September 3039%SìNo
$49.114 Volume 01/11
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max45%SìNo
$17.979 Volume 31/08
Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
Z.aiZ.ai58%SìNo
StepFunStepFun24%SìNo
$6.195 Volume 31/12
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%SìNo
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%SìNo
$6.047 Volume 31/10
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot43%SìNo
$6.005 Volume 30/09
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot14%SìNo
$22.221 Volume 30/09
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%SìNo
September 3078%SìNo
$325.171 Volume 01/11
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba11%SìNo
$5.555 Volume 31/08
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%SìNo
September 3092%SìNo
$4.458 Volume 01/07
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%SìNo
5-78%SìNo
$4.348 Volume 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%SìNo
August 272%SìNo
$6.204 Volume 01/09
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba19%SìNo
$5.153 Volume 31/10
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
$800-$900B69%SìNo
$700-$800B16%SìNo
$3.161 Volume 31/08
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%SìNo
55%+49%SìNo
$46.204 Volume 31/12
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 20268%
December 31, 202770%
$63.536 Volume 01/01
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%SìNo
September 305%SìNo
$6.204 Volume 01/10
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%SìNo
MetaMeta23%SìNo
$3.302 Volume 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
82%
probabilità
Sì No
$187.019 Volume 31/12
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127.824 Volume 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%SìNo
55%+46%SìNo
$44.068 Volume 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot46%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI40%SìNo
$3.263 Volume 30/09
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 202744%SìNo
June 30, 202732%SìNo
$1,1 Mln Volume 01/01
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI14%SìNo
$6.174 Volume 30/09
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ChatGPTChatGPT51%SìNo
7 Brew Coffee7 Brew Coffee17%SìNo
$2.167 Volume 5 giorni rimanenti
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
6-12 hours88%SìNo
<1 hour6%SìNo
$3.144 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI20%SìNo
$6.174 Volume 31/10
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%SìNo
50%+56%SìNo
$40.238 Volume 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max35%SìNo
$17.979 Volume 07/09
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI6%SìNo
$198.657 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0020%SìNo
$4.165 Volume 31/12
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3035%SìNo
August 3110%SìNo
$1.993 Volume 01/10
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai35%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot28%SìNo
$24.144 Volume 31/10
GitHub.com critical incident by...?GitHub.com critical incident by...?
September 1572%SìNo
September 3072%SìNo
$1.826 Volume 30/09
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$6.174 Volume 31/08
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%SìNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%SìNo
$18,2 Mln Volume 31/12
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba9%SìNo
$2.552 Volume 30/09
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
ShadowrocketShadowrocket94%SìNo
HotSchedulesHotSchedules7%SìNo
$1.768 Volume 5 giorni rimanenti
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SìNo
$0.75-$1.0024%SìNo
$1.713 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%SìNo
$5.00-$5.5021%SìNo
$2.950 Volume 31/08
GTA 6 launch postponed again? GTA 6 launch postponed again?
10%
probabilità
Sì No
$706.105 Volume 19/11
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
87%
probabilità
Sì No
$284.183 Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%SìNo
40%+78%SìNo
$41.109 Volume 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba20%SìNo
$5.153 Volume 30/09
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
HotSchedulesHotSchedules94%SìNo
ShadowrocketShadowrocket6%SìNo
$1.518 Volume 5 giorni rimanenti
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%SìNo
MetaMeta10%SìNo
$1.908 Volume 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%SìNo
50%+61%SìNo
$20.525 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SìNo
$6.00-$6.5026%SìNo
$4.165 Volume 31/10
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+49%SìNo
60%+27%SìNo
$22.537 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%SìNo
$4.00-$4.5027%SìNo
$2.950 Volume 31/10
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%SìNo
September 1585%SìNo
$2.439 Volume 01/09
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$1.238 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SìNo
$0.50-$0.5530%SìNo
$2.281 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%SìNo
ByteDanceByteDance7%SìNo
$1.626 Volume 30/09
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Tesla90%SìNo
Texas58%SìNo
$3.098 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Erling HaalandErling Haaland19%SìNo
Bad BunnyBad Bunny14%SìNo
$89.646 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%SìNo
$3.00+24%SìNo
$2.095 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%SìNo
$0.45-$0.5033%SìNo
$2.281 Volume 31/08
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48.268 Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+85%SìNo
1490+71%SìNo
$110.193 Volume
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
6-12 hours34%SìNo
3-6 hours21%SìNo
$3.144 Volume 30/09
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
probabilità
Sì No
$39.865 Volume 30/06
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%SìNo
September 3038%SìNo
$1,1 Mln Volume 01/11
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse24%SìNo
Beyond MeatBeyond Meat15%SìNo
$227.812 Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$799 Volume 31/08
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot64%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai29%SìNo
$1.470 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI33%SìNo
$681 Volume 30/09
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries89%SìNo
Rigetti81%SìNo
$173.072 Volume 31/12
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3124%
September 3054%
$623 Volume 01/10
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+91%SìNo
45%+90%SìNo
$580 Volume 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot24%SìNo
$1.470 Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%SìNo
$3.00-$3.2526%SìNo
$2.095 Volume 31/08
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%SìNo
$ANT13%SìNo
$77.428 Volume 31/12
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Bad BunnyBad Bunny13%SìNo
Erling HaalandErling Haaland12%SìNo
$159.807 Volume 31/12
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%SìNo
1490+28%SìNo
$59.527 Volume
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount77%SìNo
None by June 30, 202723%SìNo
$1,2 Mln Volume 30/06
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
AppleApple44%SìNo
AlphabetAlphabet32%SìNo
$6.910 Volume 31/12
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%SìNo
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI1%SìNo
$6.047 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%SìNo
AnthropicAnthropic33%SìNo
$552 Volume 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba33%SìNo
$5.555 Volume 30/09
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Quali mercati tecnologici ci sono su Polymarket?

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Come si risolvono i mercati tecnologici?

In base a un evento pubblico chiaro entro una data stabilita - un lancio ufficiale, un rapporto sugli utili o un accordo confermato. Leggi le regole di risoluzione per il trigger esatto.

Dove si trova il vantaggio nei mercati tecnologici?

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