🌍 Tahmin Piyasaları: Jeopolitika

100 aktif pazarlar

Geopolitics prediction markets — wars, international deals and global power shifts

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%EvetHayır
August 25August 2599%EvetHayır
$2,5 milyon Hacim 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%EvetHayır
October 3153%EvetHayır
$19,3 milyon Hacim 01/01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%
şans
Evet Hayır
$171,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$173,7 bin Hacim 31/12
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Aralık tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Aralık tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
35%
şans
Evet Hayır
$377,1 bin Hacim 31/12
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Ağustos tarihine kadar normale döner mi?Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Ağustos tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
August 311%
August 151%
$377,1 bin Hacim 01/09
ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu ne zaman...?ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu ne zaman...?
March 31, 202765%EvetHayır
December 31, 202652%EvetHayır
$115,8 bin Hacim 01/04
ABD-İran Nihai Nükleer Anlaşması ne zaman...?ABD-İran Nihai Nükleer Anlaşması ne zaman...?
31 Aralık12%EvetHayır
November 307%EvetHayır
$16,2 milyon Hacim 01/01
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$377,1 bin Hacim 30/09
ABD, 2027'den önce İran'a saldıracak mı? ABD, 2027'den önce İran'a saldıracak mı?
17%
şans
Evet Hayır
$84,6 bin Hacim 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%EvetHayır
September 3089%EvetHayır
$26,3 milyon Hacim 31/08
Putin 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar Rusya Devlet Başkanı olmaktan çıkacak mı?Putin 31 Aralık 2026'ya kadar Rusya Devlet Başkanı olmaktan çıkacak mı?
June 30, 202714%EvetHayır
December 31, 20268%EvetHayır
$69,1 bin Hacim 01/07
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3144%EvetHayır
October 3136%EvetHayır
$2,5 milyon Hacim 01/01
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
September 3085%
December 3193%
$103 bin Hacim 01/01
Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in yeni Başbakanı kim olacak?Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in yeni Başbakanı kim olacak?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%EvetHayır
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%EvetHayır
$33 milyon Hacim 31/12
Kharg Adası artık İran kontrolünde değil mi...?Kharg Adası artık İran kontrolünde değil mi...?
31 Aralık8%EvetHayır
30 Eylül2%EvetHayır
$71,5 milyon Hacim 01/01
Çin 2026 sonuna kadar Tayvan'ı işgal edecek mi? Çin 2026 sonuna kadar Tayvan'ı işgal edecek mi?
4%
şans
Evet Hayır
$44,1 bin Hacim 31/12
İran rejimi 30 Eylül tarihine kadar düşer mi? İran rejimi 30 Eylül tarihine kadar düşer mi?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$79,4 bin Hacim 30/09
Will Iran target Jordan by...?Will Iran target Jordan by...?
September 3039%EvetHayır
September 1518%EvetHayır
$40,5 bin Hacim 30/09
İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi? İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$79,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%EvetHayır
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%EvetHayır
$6,2 milyon Hacim 01/01
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
33%
şans
Evet Hayır
$31,9 bin Hacim 31/12
İsrail, ...'da hava sahasını kapatacak mı?İsrail, ...'da hava sahasını kapatacak mı?
September 308%EvetHayır
August 312%EvetHayır
$27,4 milyon Hacim 01/10
İran lideri 2026 sonunda mı?İran lideri 2026 sonunda mı?
Mojtaba Khamenei82%EvetHayır
Devlet Başkanı Yok4%EvetHayır
$38,8 milyon Hacim 31/12
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202725%EvetHayır
December 3116%EvetHayır
$24 milyon Hacim 01/07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%EvetHayır
September 158%EvetHayır
$663,6 bin Hacim 01/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274,2 bin Hacim 01/09
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31December 315%EvetHayır
September 30September 305%EvetHayır
$22,3 bin Hacim 01/01
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%EvetHayır
October 3115%EvetHayır
$5,9 milyon Hacim 01/01
WTI ham petrolü ___ tarihine kadar tüm zamanların zirvesinde mi?WTI ham petrolü ___ tarihine kadar tüm zamanların zirvesinde mi?
December 3113%EvetHayır
September 302%EvetHayır
$2,7 milyon Hacim 01/01
İran 31 Aralık tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi? İran 31 Aralık tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi?
14%
şans
Evet Hayır
$22,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk12%EvetHayır
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%EvetHayır
$31,4 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?
September 3010%
December 3154%
$47,1 bin Hacim 01/01
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Kasım tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Kasım tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
25%
şans
Evet Hayır
$377,1 bin Hacim 30/11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3152%EvetHayır
October 31October 3119%EvetHayır
$1,4 milyon Hacim 01/01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
şans
Evet Hayır
$17,8 bin Hacim 31/12
ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu nerede olacak...?ABD-İran barış görüşmelerinin bir sonraki turu nerede olacak...?
30 Eylül'e kadar toplantı yok74%EvetHayır
İsviçre10%EvetHayır
$17,6 bin Hacim 30/09
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%EvetHayır
October 3113%EvetHayır
$6,8 milyon Hacim 01/01
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
September 3094%EvetHayır
August 3177%EvetHayır
$21,9 bin Hacim 30/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf43%EvetHayır
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%EvetHayır
$16,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3052%EvetHayır
August 3115%EvetHayır
$908,6 bin Hacim 01/10
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Ekim tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Ekim tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
16%
şans
Evet Hayır
$377,1 bin Hacim 31/10
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction FundingIran Reconstruction Funding17%EvetHayır
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)11%EvetHayır
$687,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya8%EvetHayır
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy5%EvetHayır
$23,5 milyon Hacim 10/10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3118%EvetHayır
October 3111%EvetHayır
$11,1 milyon Hacim 01/01
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3152%EvetHayır
ChinaChina45%EvetHayır
$14,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 15 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 15 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$377,1 bin Hacim 15/09
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%EvetHayır
September 3010%EvetHayır
$382,8 bin Hacim 01/01
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
15%
şans
Evet Hayır
$189,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202757%EvetHayır
March 31, 202741%EvetHayır
$6 milyon Hacim 01/07
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202668%EvetHayır
December9%EvetHayır
$333,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?
August 319%
October 3138%
$135 bin Hacim 01/11
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%EvetHayır
September 3093%EvetHayır
$356,8 bin Hacim 01/01
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%EvetHayır
CATLCATL20%EvetHayır
$186,5 bin Hacim 30/06
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%EvetHayır
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin46%EvetHayır
$31,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Iran target a Arab country on...?Will Iran target a Arab country on...?
August 1799%EvetHayır
August 3012%EvetHayır
$660,2 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
August 319%
October 3145%
$63 bin Hacim 01/11
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Donald TuskDonald Tusk86%EvetHayır
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen70%EvetHayır
$351,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 311%
September 303%
$108 bin Hacim 01/10
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 31December 3135%EvetHayır
September 30September 307%EvetHayır
$2,9 milyon Hacim 01/01
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%EvetHayır
Delcy Rodríguez10%EvetHayır
$95,8 milyon Hacim 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
şans
Evet Hayır
$6,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?
December 3149%EvetHayır
May 311%EvetHayır
$6 bin Hacim 01/01
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2550%EvetHayır
August 2640%EvetHayır
$5,8 bin Hacim 31/08
Xi Jinping 2027'den önce ABD'yi ziyaret edecek mi?Xi Jinping 2027'den önce ABD'yi ziyaret edecek mi?
December 3197%EvetHayır
October 3196%EvetHayır
$738,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3183%EvetHayır
October 3178%EvetHayır
$5,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%EvetHayır
40+2%EvetHayır
$5,3 bin Hacim 31/08
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia85%EvetHayır
Druzkhivka52%EvetHayır
$5,1 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 3033%EvetHayır
September 1516%EvetHayır
$5 bin Hacim 30/09
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
September 3023%
December 3152%
$113,7 bin Hacim 01/01
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 2478%EvetHayır
August 1776%EvetHayır
$21,9 bin Hacim 31/08
US military action against Cuba by...?US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31December 3119%EvetHayır
January 31January 311%EvetHayır
$7,3 milyon Hacim 01/01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
8%
şans
Evet Hayır
$4,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$5,8 bin Hacim 31/08
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Suudi ArabistanSuudi Arabistan10%EvetHayır
VenezuelaVenezuela10%EvetHayır
$4,2 bin Hacim 31/12
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
July 311%
August 311%
$307,8 bin Hacim 31/08
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,1 milyon Hacim 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 bin Hacim 01/01
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<465%EvetHayır
420%EvetHayır
$4,2 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
August 225%
August 3130%
$3,5 bin Hacim 31/08
İsrail, ... tarihine kadar Lübnan'dan çekilecek mi...?İsrail, ... tarihine kadar Lübnan'dan çekilecek mi...?
December 3110%EvetHayır
September 302%EvetHayır
$8,4 milyon Hacim 01/01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%EvetHayır
November 3050%EvetHayır
$3,6 milyon Hacim 01/01
Will Russia capture Toretske by...?Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
October 31October 3165%EvetHayır
September 30September 3033%EvetHayır
$153,5 bin Hacim 01/11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%EvetHayır
September 302%EvetHayır
$29,1 milyon Hacim 01/01
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?
0-2097%EvetHayır
20-402%EvetHayır
$3 bin Hacim 31/08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
September 3078%EvetHayır
September 1546%EvetHayır
$2,9 bin Hacim 01/10
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?Will Russia capture Svitle by...?
August 319%
October 3140%
$56,8 bin Hacim 01/11
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 311%
September 302%
$477,2 bin Hacim 30/09
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
77%
şans
Evet Hayır
$4,4 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$2,6 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
15%
şans
Evet Hayır
$115 bin Hacim 31/12
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202729%
$43,4 bin Hacim 01/07
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
December 31December 3185%EvetHayır
October 31October 3168%EvetHayır
$207,7 bin Hacim 01/01
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz52%EvetHayır
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham48%EvetHayır
$2,4 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
September 3014%EvetHayır
May 313%EvetHayır
$67,6 bin Hacim 01/10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3128%EvetHayır
September 307%EvetHayır
$2,3 bin Hacim 01/01
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
August 1736%EvetHayır
August 2627%EvetHayır
$2,5 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
September 306%
December 3132%
$177,3 bin Hacim 01/01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16%
şans
Evet Hayır
$6,3 bin Hacim 31/12
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
July 3197%EvetHayır
August 3117%EvetHayır
$763,4 bin Hacim 01/09
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