🔬 Tahmin Piyasaları: Teknoloji ve Bilim

59 aktif pazarlar

Tech & Science prediction markets — AI, space and technology

2026'da piyasa değeri bakımından en büyük halka arz?2026'da piyasa değeri bakımından en büyük halka arz?
SpaceXSpaceX65%EvetHayır
AnthropicAnthropic36%EvetHayır
$5,5 milyon Hacim 31/12
ABD … tarihine kadar uzaylıların varlığını doğrulayacak mı?ABD … tarihine kadar uzaylıların varlığını doğrulayacak mı?
December 314%EvetHayır
September 301%EvetHayır
$65,5 milyon Hacim 01/01
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 3196%EvetHayır
September 3091%EvetHayır
$5,1 bin Hacim 01/07
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
12%
şans
Evet Hayır
$3,9 bin Hacim 31/12
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Fewer than 2043%EvetHayır
20 to 3439%EvetHayır
$3 bin Hacim 31/03
Ağustos ayında Hong Kong yağış?Ağustos ayında Hong Kong yağış?
<425mm80%EvetHayır
475-500mm15%EvetHayır
$9,8 bin Hacim 01/09
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
171%EvetHayır
225%EvetHayır
$3,4 milyon Hacim 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3k99%EvetHayır
↑3.5k95%EvetHayır
$1,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
şans
Evet Hayır
$39,9 bin Hacim 30/06
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 202769%
June 30, 202715%
$48,2 bin Hacim 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-9939%EvetHayır
100–11936%EvetHayır
$6 bin Hacim 01/09
2026'da yeni bir pandemi? 2026'da yeni bir pandemi?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$621 Hacim 31/12
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
2800+85%EvetHayır
2825+83%EvetHayır
$1,8 bin Hacim 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 bin Hacim 01/01
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<564%EvetHayır
5-634%EvetHayır
$499 Hacim 31/12
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$307,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
10,000+99%EvetHayır
15,000+99%EvetHayır
$458 Hacim 31/08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$144,5 bin Hacim 31/03
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$811,4 bin Hacim 31/12
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
1382%EvetHayır
1412%EvetHayır
$335 Hacim 31/08
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
1.38–1.41ºC46%EvetHayır
1.42–1.45ºC21%EvetHayır
$3,3 bin Hacim 01/09
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$116,6 bin Hacim 31/12
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–1643%EvetHayır
17–1936%EvetHayır
$250 Hacim 31/12
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
9%
şans
Evet Hayır
$11,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 202836%EvetHayır
December 31, 202732%EvetHayır
$1,9 bin Hacim 01/01
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
15%
şans
Evet Hayır
$340,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Ağustos ayında Seul yağış?Ağustos ayında Seul yağış?
250-300mm45%EvetHayır
<150mm44%EvetHayır
$373 Hacim 01/09
Natural Disaster in 2026? Natural Disaster in 2026?
28%
şans
Evet Hayır
$241,7 bin Hacim 31/12
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
063%EvetHayır
126%EvetHayır
$1,2 milyon Hacim 31/03
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
December 31, 20261%
December 31, 202715%
$11 bin Hacim 01/01
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
17%
şans
Evet Hayır
$10,7 bin Hacim 31/12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
şans
Evet Hayır
$578,7 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$196 bin Hacim 31/12
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13%
şans
Evet Hayır
$139,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 202768%EvetHayır
June 30, 202754%EvetHayır
$935,7 bin Hacim 01/01
100kt meteor strike in 2026? 100kt meteor strike in 2026?
5%
şans
Evet Hayır
$8,9 bin Hacim 31/12
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 5kt meteor strike in 2026?
29%
şans
Evet Hayır
$10 Hacim 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
38%
şans
Evet Hayır
$8 Hacim 31/12
Ağustos ayında Seattle yağış?Ağustos ayında Seattle yağış?
0.5" altı0.5" altı89%EvetHayır
0.5-1"0.5-1"11%EvetHayır
$234 Hacim 01/09
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15950%EvetHayır
160-17936%EvetHayır
$335 Hacim 31/12
Ağustos ayında Londra yağış?Ağustos ayında Londra yağış?
<30mm60%EvetHayır
30-40mm34%EvetHayır
$7,6 bin Hacim 01/09
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
şans
Evet Hayır
$650 Hacim 31/12
Ağustos ayında NYC yağış?Ağustos ayında NYC yağış?
6" üstü6" üstü66%EvetHayır
4-5"4-5"3%EvetHayır
$2,5 bin Hacim 01/09
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
2900+93%
3000+91%
$1,8 bin Hacim 30/09
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
10%
şans
Evet Hayır
$101,8 bin Hacim 31/12
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
4%
şans
Evet Hayır
$23,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$2 milyon Hacim 31/12
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
$11,3 bin Hacim 31/12
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+88%EvetHayır
1200–12496%EvetHayır
$81,9 bin Hacim 10/01
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
9%
şans
Evet Hayır
$16,5 bin Hacim 31/12
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
89%
şans
Evet Hayır
$2,6 bin Hacim 31/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
74%
şans
Evet Hayır
$8 Hacim 31/12
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
October 31October 3169%EvetHayır
December 31December 3162%EvetHayır
$4,7 bin Hacim
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31October 3147%EvetHayır
August 30August 3042%EvetHayır
$1,4 bin Hacim 01/01
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest99%EvetHayır
2nd hottest1%EvetHayır
$1,8 bin Hacim 01/09
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
October 31, 202653%EvetHayır
September 30, 202619%EvetHayır
$1,9 bin Hacim 01/11
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,1 bin Hacim 01/10
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below75%EvetHayır
8.0 – 8.19%EvetHayır
$2,4 bin Hacim 04/01
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$425 Hacim 31/12
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