Seçim Tahmin Pazarları

Seçim pazarları Polymarket'in çekirdeğidir: ABD başkanlık, parti ön seçimleri, kongre yarışları ve herhangi bir büyük demokrasinin oyu. 2024 ABD seçim pazarları milyarlarca hacim kaydetti.

Fiyatlandırma, anketler, parti finans verileri, ekonomik göstergeler ve raporlamayı harmanlayarak tek bir fiyatta yoğunlaştırır. Hem analistler hem de görüş odaklı yatırımcılar için zengin bir ticaret alanı.

80 aktif pazar
Sırala
Brezilya Başkanlık SeçimiBrezilya Başkanlık Seçimi
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%EvetHayır
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro33%EvetHayır
$132,1 milyon Hacim 04/10
2028 Başkanlık Seçimi Kazananı2028 Başkanlık Seçimi Kazananı
JD VanceJD Vance23%EvetHayır
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%EvetHayır
$692,1 milyon Hacim 07/11
Son Fransız Başkanlık SeçimiSon Fransız Başkanlık Seçimi
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%EvetHayır
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe25%EvetHayır
$121,3 milyon Hacim 30/04
2028 Demokratik Başkan Adayı2028 Demokratik Başkan Adayı
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez23%EvetHayır
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%EvetHayır
$1,3 milyar Hacim 07/11
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson90%EvetHayır
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%EvetHayır
$4 milyon Hacim 13/09
2028 Cumhuriyetçi Başkanlık Adayı2028 Cumhuriyetçi Başkanlık Adayı
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%EvetHayır
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%EvetHayır
$690,7 milyon Hacim 07/11
Rusya Parlamento Seçimi'nde en fazla sandalye kazanacak parti hangisi?Rusya Parlamento Seçimi'nde en fazla sandalye kazanacak parti hangisi?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%EvetHayır
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%EvetHayır
$21,7 milyon Hacim 20/09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%EvetHayır
September 3089%EvetHayır
$26,3 milyon Hacim 31/08
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%EvetHayır
R Senate, D House39%EvetHayır
$10,4 milyon Hacim 03/11
Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in yeni Başbakanı kim olacak?Bir sonraki seçimden sonra İsrail'in yeni Başbakanı kim olacak?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%EvetHayır
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%EvetHayır
$33 milyon Hacim 31/12
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$128,2 bin Hacim 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%EvetHayır
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%EvetHayır
$419,1 bin Hacim 05/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%EvetHayır
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%EvetHayır
$1,4 milyon Hacim 13/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%EvetHayır
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%EvetHayır
$5,2 milyon Hacim 04/10
2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%EvetHayır
$20,6 bin Hacim 03/11
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33942%EvetHayır
340–35422%EvetHayır
$211,2 bin Hacim 20/09
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%EvetHayır
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)49%EvetHayır
$870,8 bin Hacim 03/11
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%EvetHayır
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%EvetHayır
$147,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%EvetHayır
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%EvetHayır
$586,4 bin Hacim 03/11
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%EvetHayır
September 3093%EvetHayır
$356,8 bin Hacim 01/01
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%EvetHayır
Brett Smiley47%EvetHayır
$22,4 bin Hacim 09/09
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva52%EvetHayır
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%EvetHayır
$20,9 bin Hacim 06/06
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Edin FortoEdin Forto21%EvetHayır
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%EvetHayır
$64,1 bin Hacim
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço73%EvetHayır
Lorenzo Pazolini25%EvetHayır
$29,9 bin Hacim 05/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%EvetHayır
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%EvetHayır
$3,3 milyon Hacim 20/09
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%EvetHayır
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%EvetHayır
$38,8 bin Hacim 08/09
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%EvetHayır
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%EvetHayır
$113,7 bin Hacim 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%EvetHayır
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto15%EvetHayır
$16,7 bin Hacim 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo40%EvetHayır
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%EvetHayır
$23 bin Hacim 04/10
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%EvetHayır
121-12423%EvetHayır
$10,6 bin Hacim 12/10
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath51%EvetHayır
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%EvetHayır
$28,7 bin Hacim 01/09
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha59%EvetHayır
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior38%EvetHayır
$15 bin Hacim 04/10
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%EvetHayır
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud93%EvetHayır
$309,2 bin Hacim 17/04
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%EvetHayır
Republican Party5%EvetHayır
$29,2 bin Hacim 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%EvetHayır
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%EvetHayır
$485,6 bin Hacim 03/11
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite34%EvetHayır
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%EvetHayır
$22,6 bin Hacim 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%67%EvetHayır
7-9%22%EvetHayır
$13,6 bin Hacim 13/09
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke57%EvetHayır
CDUCDU26%EvetHayır
$3,3 milyon Hacim 20/09
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira39%EvetHayır
Julio CesarJulio Cesar29%EvetHayır
$17,3 bin Hacim 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%EvetHayır
William Peña FarfánWilliam Peña Farfán23%EvetHayır
$18,4 bin Hacim 04/10
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
58%
şans
Evet Hayır
$167,5 bin Hacim 20/09
Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?
December 3149%EvetHayır
May 311%EvetHayır
$6 bin Hacim 01/01
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Princess FakuPrincess Faku59%EvetHayır
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali7%EvetHayır
$14,9 bin Hacim 18/11
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães34%EvetHayır
GaguimGaguim32%EvetHayır
$14,2 bin Hacim 04/10
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%EvetHayır
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)48%EvetHayır
$183 bin Hacim 03/11
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes66%EvetHayır
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta31%EvetHayır
$13,9 bin Hacim 04/10
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil74%EvetHayır
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé25%EvetHayır
$39,7 bin Hacim 31/08
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%EvetHayır
Republican Party5%EvetHayır
$67,1 bin Hacim 03/11
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes40%EvetHayır
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%EvetHayır
$18,7 bin Hacim 04/10
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%45%EvetHayır
5-7%40%EvetHayır
$8 bin Hacim 06/09
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%EvetHayır
Republican Party5%EvetHayır
$39,6 bin Hacim 03/11
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez37%EvetHayır
Duber Alberto Fernández SilvaDuber Alberto Fernández Silva25%EvetHayır
$6,2 bin Hacim 04/10
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS48%EvetHayır
SV26%EvetHayır
$197,4 bin Hacim 03/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro63%EvetHayır
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei27%EvetHayır
$11,1 bin Hacim 04/10
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas94%EvetHayır
Jim PriestJim Priest6%EvetHayır
$117,8 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%EvetHayır
59-6129%EvetHayır
$7,2 bin Hacim 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%EvetHayır
Javier Antonio Onofre CcamaJavier Antonio Onofre Ccama15%EvetHayır
$8 bin Hacim 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%EvetHayır
Democratic Party5%EvetHayır
$42,3 bin Hacim 03/11
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%EvetHayır
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick5%EvetHayır
$5,4 bin Hacim 06/02
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%EvetHayır
Republican Party5%EvetHayır
$37,5 bin Hacim 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ72%EvetHayır
PLQPLQ17%EvetHayır
$807,5 bin Hacim 05/10
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%EvetHayır
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon47%EvetHayır
$92,3 bin Hacim 30/04
Sonora Governor Election WinnerSonora Governor Election Winner
Lorenia Valles SampedroLorenia Valles Sampedro37%EvetHayır
Luis Donaldo Colosio RiojasLuis Donaldo Colosio Riojas31%EvetHayır
$20,7 bin Hacim 06/06
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$260,1 bin Hacim 31/12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
36%
şans
Evet Hayır
$372,3 bin Hacim 06/09
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%EvetHayır
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%EvetHayır
$210,5 bin Hacim 11/10
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro41%EvetHayır
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni38%EvetHayır
$10,1 bin Hacim 04/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour71%EvetHayır
Olivier Faure61%EvetHayır
$70,6 bin Hacim 23/04
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%EvetHayır
4914%EvetHayır
$2,9 milyon Hacim 03/11
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli41%EvetHayır
Fabiano ContaratoFabiano Contarato32%EvetHayır
$15,3 bin Hacim 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina35%EvetHayır
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo28%EvetHayır
$13,9 bin Hacim 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%EvetHayır
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%EvetHayır
$13,8 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1024%EvetHayır
1220%EvetHayır
$10,4 bin Hacim 03/11
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election WinnerSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTPMLSTP68%EvetHayır
ADIADI30%EvetHayır
$8,9 bin Hacim 27/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone97%EvetHayır
Ralph NormanRalph Norman2%EvetHayır
$19,8 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira37%EvetHayır
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro34%EvetHayır
$28,3 bin Hacim 04/10
Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?
Mattias OttossonMattias Ottosson63%EvetHayır
Marie MorellMarie Morell21%EvetHayır
$15,5 bin Hacim 13/09
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer55%EvetHayır
Vanderlan CardosoVanderlan Cardoso20%EvetHayır
$23,6 bin Hacim 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos58%EvetHayır
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana27%EvetHayır
$16,2 bin Hacim 04/10
VA-03 House Election WinnerVA-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%EvetHayır
Republican Party2%EvetHayır
$60,6 bin Hacim 03/11
Polymarket'te daha fazla yükle →

Seçimler pazarlarında işlem yapmak ister misiniz?

Polymarket hesabı açın ve bugün işlem yapmaya başlayın

Polymarket Hesabı Açın

Seçim Pazarları SSS

Seçim pazarları neden doğru?

İnsanların görüşleri üzerine para koymasını gerektirir; bu, düşük kaliteli gürültüyü filtreler. Hacim ne kadar büyükse, fiyat o kadar güvenilir olur.

Şu anda hangi seçim pazarları aktif?

ABD 2028, İsrail (tarihe göre), Birleşik Krallık ve AB yerel seçimleri, ayrıca parti ön seçimleri. Güncellemeler için sayfamızı takip edin.

Seçim pazarlarında riski nasıl fiyatlandırırım?

Likiditeyi (emir defteri derinliği), tarihsel volatiliteyi ve karar tarihini kontrol edin. İnce likiditeye sahip pazarlar verimsiz fiyatlamaya eğilimlidir.

Polymarket Eğitimini Ücretsiz Başlat
Sanal parayla tahmin piyasalarında işlem yapın. Gerçek fiyatlar, sıfır risk. Sıralamada yarışın.
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500+
Piyasalar
$0
Gerçek Risk
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