🌍 Pasar Prediksi: Geopolitik

100 pasar aktif

Geopolitics prediction markets — wars, international deals and global power shifts

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%YaTidak
August 25August 2599%YaTidak
$2,5 jt Volume 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%YaTidak
October 3153%YaTidak
$19,3 jt Volume 01/01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$171,8 rb Volume 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$173,7 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Desember? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Desember?
35%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$377,1 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Agustus?Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Agustus?
August 311%
August 151%
$377,1 rb Volume 01/09
Putaran berikutnya pembicaraan damai AS-Iran oleh...?Putaran berikutnya pembicaraan damai AS-Iran oleh...?
March 31, 202765%YaTidak
December 31, 202652%YaTidak
$115,8 rb Volume 01/04
Kesepakatan Nuklir Akhir AS-Iran oleh...?Kesepakatan Nuklir Akhir AS-Iran oleh...?
31 Desember12%YaTidak
November 307%YaTidak
$16,2 jt Volume 01/01
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 September? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 September?
6%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$377,1 rb Volume 30/09
Apakah AS akan menyerang Iran sebelum 2027? Apakah AS akan menyerang Iran sebelum 2027?
17%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$84,6 rb Volume 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%YaTidak
September 3089%YaTidak
$26,3 jt Volume 31/08
Putin keluar sebagai Presiden Rusia sebelum 31 Desember 2026?Putin keluar sebagai Presiden Rusia sebelum 31 Desember 2026?
June 30, 202714%YaTidak
December 31, 20268%YaTidak
$69,1 rb Volume 01/07
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3144%YaTidak
October 3136%YaTidak
$2,5 jt Volume 01/01
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...?
September 3085%
December 3193%
$103 rb Volume 01/01
Siapa yang akan menjadi Perdana Menteri Israel berikutnya setelah pemilihan mendatang?Siapa yang akan menjadi Perdana Menteri Israel berikutnya setelah pemilihan mendatang?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot58%YaTidak
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%YaTidak
$33 jt Volume 31/12
Pulau Kharg tidak lagi di bawah kendali Iran oleh...?Pulau Kharg tidak lagi di bawah kendali Iran oleh...?
31 Desember8%YaTidak
30 September2%YaTidak
$71,5 jt Volume 01/01
Akankah China menginvasi Taiwan pada akhir 2026? Akankah China menginvasi Taiwan pada akhir 2026?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$44,1 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 30 September? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 30 September?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$79,4 rb Volume 30/09
Will Iran target Jordan by...?Will Iran target Jordan by...?
September 3039%YaTidak
September 1518%YaTidak
$40,5 rb Volume 30/09
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$79,4 rb Volume 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%YaTidak
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%YaTidak
$6,2 jt Volume 01/01
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
33%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$31,9 rb Volume 31/12
Israel menutup ruang udaranya pada...?Israel menutup ruang udaranya pada...?
September 308%YaTidak
August 312%YaTidak
$27,4 jt Volume 01/10
Pemimpin Iran akhir 2026?Pemimpin Iran akhir 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei82%YaTidak
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara4%YaTidak
$38,8 jt Volume 31/12
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202725%YaTidak
December 3116%YaTidak
$24 jt Volume 01/07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%YaTidak
September 158%YaTidak
$663,6 rb Volume 01/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274,2 rb Volume 01/09
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31December 315%YaTidak
September 30September 305%YaTidak
$22,3 rb Volume 01/01
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%YaTidak
October 3115%YaTidak
$5,9 jt Volume 01/01
Rekor tertinggi minyak mentah WTI sebelum ___?Rekor tertinggi minyak mentah WTI sebelum ___?
December 3113%YaTidak
September 302%YaTidak
$2,7 jt Volume 01/01
Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember? Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember?
14%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$22,4 rb Volume 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk12%YaTidak
Giorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni3%YaTidak
$31,4 rb Volume 31/08
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?
September 3010%
December 3154%
$47,1 rb Volume 01/01
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 November? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 November?
25%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$377,1 rb Volume 30/11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3152%YaTidak
October 31October 3119%YaTidak
$1,4 jt Volume 01/01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$17,8 rb Volume 31/12
Di mana putaran berikutnya pembicaraan damai AS-Iran akan berlangsung...?Di mana putaran berikutnya pembicaraan damai AS-Iran akan berlangsung...?
Tidak ada Pertemuan sebelum 30 September74%YaTidak
Swiss10%YaTidak
$17,6 rb Volume 30/09
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%YaTidak
October 3113%YaTidak
$6,8 jt Volume 01/01
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
September 3094%YaTidak
August 3177%YaTidak
$21,9 rb Volume 30/09
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf43%YaTidak
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%YaTidak
$16,9 rb Volume 31/12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3052%YaTidak
August 3115%YaTidak
$908,6 rb Volume 01/10
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Oktober? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Oktober?
16%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$377,1 rb Volume 31/10
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction FundingIran Reconstruction Funding17%YaTidak
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)11%YaTidak
$687,4 rb Volume 31/12
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya8%YaTidak
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy5%YaTidak
$23,5 jt Volume 10/10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3118%YaTidak
October 3111%YaTidak
$11,1 jt Volume 01/01
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3152%YaTidak
ChinaChina45%YaTidak
$14,9 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 15 September? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 15 September?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$377,1 rb Volume 15/09
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3152%YaTidak
September 3010%YaTidak
$382,8 rb Volume 01/01
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
15%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$189,8 rb Volume 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202757%YaTidak
March 31, 202741%YaTidak
$6 jt Volume 01/07
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202668%YaTidak
December9%YaTidak
$333,4 rb Volume 31/12
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?
August 319%
October 3138%
$135 rb Volume 01/11
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%YaTidak
September 3093%YaTidak
$356,8 rb Volume 01/01
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%YaTidak
CATLCATL20%YaTidak
$186,5 rb Volume 30/06
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%YaTidak
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin46%YaTidak
$31,4 rb Volume 31/12
Will Iran target a Arab country on...?Will Iran target a Arab country on...?
August 1799%YaTidak
August 3012%YaTidak
$660,2 rb Volume 31/08
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
August 319%
October 3145%
$63 rb Volume 01/11
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Donald TuskDonald Tusk86%YaTidak
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen70%YaTidak
$351,2 rb Volume 31/12
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 311%
September 303%
$108 rb Volume 01/10
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 31December 3135%YaTidak
September 30September 307%YaTidak
$2,9 jt Volume 01/01
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%YaTidak
Delcy Rodríguez10%YaTidak
$95,8 jt Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$6,2 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?
December 3149%YaTidak
May 311%YaTidak
$6 rb Volume 01/01
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
August 2550%YaTidak
August 2640%YaTidak
$5,8 rb Volume 31/08
Apakah Xi Jinping akan mengunjungi AS sebelum 2027?Apakah Xi Jinping akan mengunjungi AS sebelum 2027?
December 3197%YaTidak
October 3196%YaTidak
$738,5 rb Volume 31/12
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 3183%YaTidak
October 3178%YaTidak
$5,5 rb Volume 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%YaTidak
40+2%YaTidak
$5,3 rb Volume 31/08
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia85%YaTidak
Druzkhivka52%YaTidak
$5,1 rb Volume 31/12
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 3033%YaTidak
September 1516%YaTidak
$5 rb Volume 30/09
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
September 3023%
December 3152%
$113,7 rb Volume 01/01
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 2478%YaTidak
August 1776%YaTidak
$21,9 rb Volume 31/08
US military action against Cuba by...?US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31December 3119%YaTidak
January 31January 311%YaTidak
$7,3 jt Volume 01/01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
8%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$4,4 rb Volume 31/12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$5,8 rb Volume 31/08
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Arab SaudiArab Saudi10%YaTidak
VenezuelaVenezuela10%YaTidak
$4,2 rb Volume 31/12
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
July 311%
August 311%
$307,8 rb Volume 31/08
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,1 jt Volume 31/12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 rb Volume 01/01
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<465%YaTidak
420%YaTidak
$4,2 rb Volume 31/08
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
August 225%
August 3130%
$3,5 rb Volume 31/08
Israel menarik diri dari Lebanon oleh...?Israel menarik diri dari Lebanon oleh...?
December 3110%YaTidak
September 302%YaTidak
$8,4 jt Volume 01/01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%YaTidak
November 3050%YaTidak
$3,6 jt Volume 01/01
Will Russia capture Toretske by...?Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
October 31October 3165%YaTidak
September 30September 3033%YaTidak
$153,5 rb Volume 01/11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%YaTidak
September 302%YaTidak
$29,1 jt Volume 01/01
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?
0-2097%YaTidak
20-402%YaTidak
$3 rb Volume 31/08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
September 3078%YaTidak
September 1546%YaTidak
$2,9 rb Volume 01/10
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?Will Russia capture Svitle by...?
August 319%
October 3140%
$56,8 rb Volume 01/11
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 311%
September 302%
$477,2 rb Volume 30/09
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
77%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$4,4 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$2,6 rb Volume 31/12
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
15%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$115 rb Volume 31/12
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202610%
June 30, 202729%
$43,4 rb Volume 01/07
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
December 31December 3185%YaTidak
October 31October 3168%YaTidak
$207,7 rb Volume 01/01
Who will Trump speak to in August?Who will Trump speak to in August?
Friedrich MerzFriedrich Merz52%YaTidak
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham48%YaTidak
$2,4 rb Volume 31/08
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
September 3014%YaTidak
May 313%YaTidak
$67,6 rb Volume 01/10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3128%YaTidak
September 307%YaTidak
$2,3 rb Volume 01/01
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
August 1736%YaTidak
August 2627%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 31/08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
September 306%
December 3132%
$177,3 rb Volume 01/01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
16%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$6,3 rb Volume 31/12
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
July 3197%YaTidak
August 3117%YaTidak
$763,4 rb Volume 01/09
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