NBA 2026, Priced by the Market
Championship futures, the MVP race, series prices and nightly game lines - the NBA is one of Polymarket's deepest sports categories, and prices move on every injury report and trade rumor. Market probabilities routinely beat pundit predictions because they aggregate everyone's information, with money attached. New to reading them? Start with the sports trading guide.
24 active markets
Oklahoma City Thunder22%YesNoSan Antonio Spurs21%YesNo
Cameron Boozer23%YesNo
Caleb Wilson21%YesNo
Cleveland Cavaliers99%YesNo
Atlanta Hawks1%YesNo
Los Angeles Lakers39%YesNo
Minnesota Timberwolves32%YesNo
Washington Wizards60%YesNo
Oklahoma City Thunder7%YesNo
Denver Nuggets97%YesNoCleveland Cavaliers19%YesNo
Philadelphia 76ers23%YesNo
New York Knicks21%YesNo
Detroit Pistons91%YesNo
Houston Rockets1%YesNo
Cleveland Cavaliers98%YesNo
Golden State Warriors1%YesNo
Toronto Raptors88%YesNo
Denver Nuggets5%YesNo
Miami Heat98%YesNo
Los Angeles Lakers1%YesNo
Oklahoma City Thunder97%YesNo
San Antonio Spurs96%YesNo
Golden State Warriors95%YesNo
Boston Celtics2%YesNo
Brooklyn Nets51%YesNo
Phoenix Suns50%YesNo
Oklahoma City Thunder25%YesNo
San Antonio Spurs20%YesNo
Atlanta Hawks50%YesNo
Golden State Warriors50%YesNo
Sacramento Kings45%YesNo
Indiana Pacers41%YesNo
Phoenix Suns48%YesNo
Golden State Warriors46%YesNo
NBA markets - FAQ
How accurate are NBA prediction markets?
Across large samples, market prices are among the best-calibrated public forecasts available - a team priced at 70% wins about 70% of the time. They incorporate injury news and lineup changes within minutes.
What is the difference between futures and game markets?
Futures (champion, MVP, conference winners) run for months and reprice on every major development; game markets resolve the same night. Futures tie up capital longer - factor that into position sizing.
Can I sell before the season ends?
Yes. Polymarket positions can be closed at the current price any time there is liquidity - locking profits on a futures position after a hot streak is a core strategy.
