🤖 Prediction Markets: AI
AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more
Anthropic98%YesNo
OpenAI2%YesNo
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
October 202674%YesNo
September 202614%YesNo
Anthropic91%YesNoOpenAI5%YesNo
November 3081%YesNo
October 3158%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T18%YesNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%YesNo
Moonshot44%YesNo
Z.ai29%YesNo
December 31, 202670%YesNo
November 30, 202660%YesNo
October 3183%YesNo
September 3081%YesNo
Alibaba95%YesNoZ.ai4%YesNo
Alibaba22%YesNo
CATL19%YesNo
16-1948%YesNo
12-1546%YesNo
No release by November 146%YesNo
September 28–October 419%YesNo
Z.ai58%YesNoMoonshot30%YesNo
Z.ai77%YesNo
xAI17%YesNo
October 3161%YesNo
September 3039%YesNo
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
Anthropic70%YesNo
xAI12%YesNo
OpenAI74%YesNo
Microsoft AI9%YesNo
OpenAI51%YesNoMoonshot43%YesNoAlibaba67%YesNoMoonshot14%YesNoDecember 3196%YesNo
October 3182%YesNo
Moonshot78%YesNoAlibaba11%YesNoOctober 3189%YesNo
September 3078%YesNo
1.8T+77%YesNo
1.5–1.8T14%YesNo
8-1084%YesNo
5-77%YesNo
50%+79%YesNo
55%+46%YesNo
No release by August 3194%YesNo
August 272%YesNo
Meta38%YesNoAlibaba19%YesNo
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
claude-opus-5-high54%YesNo
claude-opus-5-max45%YesNo
No release by September 3069%YesNo
September 305%YesNo
Google40%YesNoMeta23%YesNo
50%+71%YesNo
55%+46%YesNo
Anthropic84%YesNoOpenAI14%YesNo
December 31, 202617%YesNo
September 30, 20261%YesNo
↑$900B90%YesNo
↑$1.0T70%YesNo
Anthropic79%YesNoOpenAI20%YesNoGoogle83%YesNoMeta10%YesNoclaude-opus-5-high51%YesNo
claude-opus-5-max34%YesNo
Anthropic86%YesNoOpenAI6%YesNo
$6.00-$6.5023%YesNo
$5.50-$6.0020%YesNo
45%+75%YesNo
50%+56%YesNo
Z.ai35%YesNoMoonshot28%YesNo
45%+94%YesNo
50%+61%YesNo
Anthropic97%YesNoOpenAI2%YesNo
Google84%YesNoAlibaba9%YesNo40%+80%YesNo
45%+79%YesNo
$4.50-$5.0036%YesNo
$5.00-$5.5021%YesNo
PayPal46%YesNo
MGM Resorts34%YesNo$1.00-$1.2561%YesNo
$0.75-$1.0024%YesNo
Moonshot46%YesNoOpenAI40%YesNoMeta52%YesNoAlibaba20%YesNo
↑$22.5B50%YesNo
↑$20B49%YesNo
$6.50+39%YesNo
$6.00-$6.5026%YesNo
55%+49%YesNo
60%+27%YesNo
$4.50-$5.0030%YesNo
$4.00-$4.5027%YesNo
September 3089%YesNo
September 1584%YesNo
October 3158%YesNo
September 3038%YesNo
$0.45-$0.5035%YesNo
$0.50-$0.5530%YesNo
Google83%YesNo
ByteDance7%YesNo$2.00–$2.25T47%YesNo
$1.75–$2.00T33%YesNo
$0.50-$0.5555%YesNo
$0.45-$0.5033%YesNo
$2.75-$3.0025%YesNo
$3.00+24%YesNo
1480+86%YesNo
1490+71%YesNo
↑$200B87%YesNo
↑$225B78%YesNo
Meta83%YesNoGoogle12%YesNo
Anthropic94%YesNoOpenAI2%YesNoMoonshot64%YesNoZ.ai29%YesNoAnthropic67%YesNoOpenAI33%YesNoMoonshot51%YesNoGoogle41%YesNoAugust 3124%
September 3054%
Z.ai48%YesNoMoonshot24%YesNo$800-$900B46%YesNo
$900B-$1.00T44%YesNo
$ANTH41%YesNo
$ANT9%YesNo
Google50%YesNo
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH13%YesNo$2.75-$3.0039%YesNo
$3.00-$3.2526%YesNo
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
1480+74%YesNo
1490+28%YesNo
OpenAI97%YesNo
Ideogram9%YesNoOpenAI67%YesNoAnthropic33%YesNo50%+93%YesNo
45%+90%YesNo
Moonshot56%YesNoAlibaba33%YesNo$6.50-$7.0037%YesNo
$5.50-$6.0022%YesNo
Meta34%YesNoGoogle30%YesNo1500+72%YesNo
1505+54%YesNo
Moonshot85%YesNoOpenAI14%YesNoGoogle59%YesNoMeta15%YesNoOpenAI86%YesNoMoonshot10%YesNo$2.50-$2.7526%YesNo
$2.75-$3.0019%YesNo
Alibaba33%YesNoOpenAI23%YesNo
Tampa, FL95%YesNo
San Diego, CA93%YesNo
Google95%YesNoAnthropic2%YesNoMoonshot42%YesNoAlibaba19%YesNoGoogle74%YesNoOpenAI8%YesNo$1.00-$1.2593%YesNo
$1.25-$1.504%YesNo
$6.50-$7.0038%YesNo
$6.00-$6.5025%YesNo
74%-76%93%YesNo
76%-78%30%YesNo
Alibaba89%YesNoMoonshot9%YesNo
