This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
August 31
$58K Volume
10%
December 31
$87.6K Volume
18%
Resolved 1
July 31
$99.8K Volume
No
Analysis & News
Washington Shields Prediction Markets From the States, and Polymarket's US Future Rides on It
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Andrew Tate released from custody by?
Even the leader is cheap - December 31 trades at 17%, August 31 at 9%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Andrew Tate released from custody by?
Right now the market's best guess is December 31 at 17% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Andrew Tate released from custody by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Andrew Tate released from custody by?
Traders have put $245.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Andrew Tate released from custody by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
0.2–0.3%23%YesNo
0.0–0.1%21%YesNo
John Healey13%YesNo
Miatta Fahnbulleh10%YesNo
July 311%
August 311%
Speaker 10+ times87%YesNo
Police74%YesNo
June 30, 202731%YesNo
December 31, 20269%YesNo
Alfred Cannan37%YesNo
Chris Thomas21%YesNo
Tanoa Sasraku35%YesNo
Kira Freije24%YesNo
2.5–2.9%24%YesNo
3.5–3.9%23%YesNo
