This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena.
This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP
Roberto Carballes Baena6³3
Jacob Fearnley76Final
Game context
Jacob Fearnley enters the US Open qualifying first round as the clear favorite against Roberto Carballes Baena on outdoor hard courts, reflecting his higher ranking near No. 100, fourth-seed status in the draw, and stronger recent hard-court results including a Montreal main-draw win and Newport Challenger title. The British player holds a 1-0 head-to-head edge from their prior clay meeting and has shown better overall win rates this season. Carballes Baena, ranked near No. 180 and a clay-court specialist with limited hard-court success lately, faces an uphill matchup despite his experience reaching multiple Grand Slam main draws. Traders price the outcome around Fearnley’s form, surface suitability, and ranking differential, with limited recent head-to-head data on hard adding some uncertainty to the qualifier.
Moneyline
$127.5K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$1.3K Vol.Set Total
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Total Sets: O/U 2.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$520 Vol.Total Games
$15 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Match O/U 21.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Match O/U 22.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Match O/U 23.5
More Bets
$161 Vol.Set Handicap
$152 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena Set 1 Winner (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena?
$11.6M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baena on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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