This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Sebastian Baez in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Hugo Grenier.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez
ATP
Sebastian Baez70
Hugo Grenier50LIVE · S2
Game context
Sebastian Baez enters the Winston-Salem Open round of 32 as the clear favorite against Hugo Grenier, backed by his No. 50 ranking, superior 2026 win rate near 60 percent, and strong hard-court consistency despite a recent Cancun Challenger final loss. The Argentine, a 2023 tournament champion with a bye into this round, leverages experience and return pressure on the hard courts at Wake Forest. Grenier, ranked around 255 as a lucky loser, notched an upset over Roman Safiullin in the opening round with heavy serving but carries a weaker overall record and faces his first meeting against Baez. The significant ranking and form gap shapes trader consensus around Baez advancing, though Grenier’s ace production offers limited upset potential in a best-of-three format.
Moneyline
$360.2K Vol.Match Completed
Set Winner
1st Set Winner
$809 Vol.Set Total
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$91 Vol.Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$486 Vol.1st Set Total
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5
More Bets
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez?
At 99%, Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 has pulled far clear of Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez?
Traders price Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez market resolve?
Mark 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez?
$16.6M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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