US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori

ATP
Kei Nishikori
0-0
vs
25/08 15:00
Sebastian Ofner
0-0
Game context

Nishikori, the 36-year-old former world No. 4 and 2014 US Open finalist, enters on a qualifying wild card for his final season before retirement, adding emotional weight to the first-round clash on hard courts. He notched his lone 2026 ATP win in July at Washington before early exits in Toronto and Cincinnati qualifiers. Ofner, the 16th seed and current world No. 125, holds the ranking edge and a straight-sets victory over Nishikori on hard courts in Miami 2024, yet arrives with a sub-.300 win rate this season amid multiple hard-court losses and a reported heel issue. Recent North American hard-court form and the three-set qualifier format will shape outcomes in this closely contested opener.

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Moneyline
$10.2K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Kei Nishikori in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Kei Nishikori.

This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Sebastian Ofner.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori?
No runaway leader here - US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 21.5 at 57% versus US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 55%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori?
Traders give US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 21.5 a 57% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori market resolve?
Mark 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori?
Total turnover stands at $11.9M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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