This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Topo and Miguel Damas in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Marko Topo' if Marko Topo advances against Miguel Damas.
This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Marko Topo.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas
ATP
Miguel Damas66
Marko Topo34Final
Game context
Marko Topo and Miguel Damas meet for the first time in the opening round of the Augsburg Challenger on clay, with traders assigning Topo an implied probability edge near 67 percent. Both players sit in the low 300s of the ATP rankings and enter with comparable 2026 win rates around 50 percent on the surface, though Topo’s recent clay results include stronger qualifying performances and a marginally steadier second-serve win percentage. Damas, the taller Spaniard, brings a higher career-high ranking and occasional deep runs but has posted several early exits in recent European challengers. Home-country status for the German and the absence of head-to-head history leave the outcome sensitive to day-of serve efficiency and return consistency on the slow Augsburg courts.
Moneyline
$147.2K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set 2 O/U 8.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set 2 O/U 9.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$17 Vol.Total Games
$576 Vol.Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Match O/U 21.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Match O/U 22.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Total
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set 1 O/U 8.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set 1 O/U 9.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
Set Handicap
$40 Vol.Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set Handicap +/-1.5
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas Set 1 O/U 8.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas?
Total turnover stands at $9.5M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 8.599%YesNo
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo Set 1 O/U 9.599%YesNo
Carlos Alcaraz32%YesNo
Alexander Zverev19%YesNo
