The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Jaques Wagner
$10.3K Volume
55%
Rui Costa
$3.6K Volume
19%
Angelo Coronel
$457 Volume
18%
João Roma
$375 Volume
8%
Carlos Sodré
$272 Volume
1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Volume
1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$387 Volume
1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Volume
1%
Marcelo Santtana
$586 Volume
1%
Professora Delliana
$471 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place?
No runaway leader here - Jaques Wagner at 54% versus Candidate A at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place?
At 54% implied for Jaques Wagner, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place?
Total turnover stands at $17.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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