The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
No change
$24K Volume
77%
25 bps increase
$14.3K Volume
22%
50+ bps increase
$3K Volume
5%
50+ bps decrease
$2.6K Volume
1%
25 bps decrease
$2.8K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change leads the field at 77%, with 25 bps increase next at 21%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Traders lean toward No change, pricing it at 77%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Bank of Japan Decision in October market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Oct 2026 (67 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Bank of Japan Decision in October?
$2.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bank of Japan Decision in October on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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