This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
No runaway leader here - Up at 51% versus Down at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
At 51% implied for Up, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
Traders have put $452.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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