RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig enter the Bundesliga opener as clear favorites at the Red Bull Arena, where their historical edge in this fixture—11 wins in the last 20 meetings—supports the 62.5% implied probability. Home advantage, combined with Gladbach's depleted squad, underpins trader consensus. Both sides face absences from international duty and injuries, with Leipzig missing David Raum, Rômulo, and others, while Gladbach contend with long-term issues for Jens Castrop and Yukhym Konoplia plus precautionary concerns for Tim Kleindienst. Preseason results and recent H2H trends favor Leipzig's attacking options despite the early-season uncertainty, keeping the draw at 20.5% and away side at 17%.