A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Mike Derry
$8.3K Volume
84%
Kyle Campbell
$2.1K Volume
16%
John Roggeveen
$311 Volume
1%
Kyle Joseph
$300 Volume
1%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
Person D
50%
Person E
50%
Person F
50%
Person G
50%
Person H
50%
Person I
50%
Person J
50%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person U
50%
Person V
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner?
The money is on Mike Derry at 82%; Person A follows at 50%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner?
The market makes Mike Derry the favorite at 82%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 14 Sep 2026 (21 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner?
$10.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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