On July 7, fears of a partial building collapse lead New York City authorities to evacuate 235 East 42nd Street, also known as the Pfizer building, and surrounding areas. You can read more about that here: https://apnews.com/article/nyc-manhattan-building-collapse-risk-04dfeb966e0daa2caba74006ad174ea1.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual for conduct that caused or contributed to the structural issues that prompted evacuations relating to this building between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
New York
· Manhattan
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 22%, with No at 78%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 22%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
$2.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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